Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 10, 2015Wayne County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Aug 10, 2015, 3:08 PM EDT for Wayne County, New York. It was in force for 6 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2015, 3:08 PM EDT (19:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2015, 8:47 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 10, 4:15 PM EDTFLASH FLOODMacedon, NY1974 DAANSEN RD... WATER FLOWING SWIFTLY ACROSS THE ROADWAY.
Aug 10, 4:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPalmyra, NY3140 MAPLE AVE... WATER FLOWING SWIFTLY ACROSS THE ROADWAY.
Aug 10, 4:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPalmyra, NY4122 DEE SMITH ROAD WATER FLOWING SWIFTLY ACROSS THE ROADWAY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

314 
WGUS51 KBUF 101908
FFWBUF
NYC117-102200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0023.150810T1908Z-150810T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
308 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT
    
* AT 307 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING 
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THIS STORM IS EXTREMELY SLOW 
  MOVING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HEAVY RAIN TO THE SAME 
  LOCATIONS. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  ONTARIO...NEWARK...WILLIAMSON...MARION...PALMYRA...SODUS...WALWORTH
  AND MACEDON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7736 4328 7731 4328 7717 4329 7715
      4329 7710 4328 7707 4327 7703 4327 7696
      4303 7705

$$

APFFEL
4 follow-up statements
706 
WGUS71 KBUF 102028
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
428 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYC117-102200-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150810T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAYNE NY-
428 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 427 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
ALREADY FALLEN JUST WEST OF SODUS NEAR WILLIAMSON AND NEAR MACEDON 
AND PALMYRA. THIS HEAVY RAIN IS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.

THESE STORMS ARE EXTREMELY SLOW MOVING. EXPECT HEAVY RAIN TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 500 PM...ESPECIALLY IN THE MACEDON AND 
PALMYRA AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7736 4328 7731 4328 7717 4329 7715
      4329 7710 4328 7707 4327 7703 4327 7696
      4303 7705

$$

APFFEL
161 
WGUS51 KBUF 102149
FFWBUF
NYC117-110100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150811T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
549 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
    
* AT 546 PM EDT...SPOTTER REPORTS CONFIRM THAT OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN 
  HAS FALLEN IN THE WARNED AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS FALLEN IN 
  WILLIAMSON...PALMYRA...AND MACEDON. ALTHOUGH THE FIRST ROUND OF 
  HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING. 
  THERE ARE MORE STORMS UPSTREAM WHICH MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL HEAVY 
  RAINFALL. AS A RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7736 4328 7731 4328 7717 4329 7715
      4329 7710 4328 7707 4327 7703 4327 7696
      4303 7705

$$

APFFEL
916 
WGUS71 KBUF 102325
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
725 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYC117-110100-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150811T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAYNE NY-
725 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 719 PM EDT...A COMBINATION OF SPOTTER REPORTS AND DOPPLER RADAR 
ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN 
WITHIN THE WARNED AREA...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAVING FALLEN IN 
WILLIAMSON...PALMYRA...AND MACEDON. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING... 
AND ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7736 4328 7731 4328 7717 4329 7715
      4329 7710 4328 7707 4327 7703 4327 7696
      4303 7705

$$

JJR
777 
WGUS71 KBUF 110047
FFSBUF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
847 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

NYC117-110056-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150811T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAYNE NY-
847 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

CALLS TO AREA LAW ENFORCEMENT INDICATE THAT FLOOD WATERS HAVE 
RECEDED...AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY...SO THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PLEASE 
CONTINUE TO HEED ANY LEFTOVER ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 4306 7736 4328 7731 4328 7717 4329 7715
      4329 7710 4328 7707 4327 7703 4327 7696
      4303 7705

$$

CHURCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 3:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis51 min
Aug 10, 3:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe49 min
Aug 10, 4:31 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF59 min
Aug 10, 4:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWayne47 min
Aug 10, 5:15 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF60 min
Aug 10, 5:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWyoming45 min
Aug 10, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming43 min
Aug 10, 5:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Wayne53 min
Aug 10, 6:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming3 hr
Aug 10, 6:16 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFWayne3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.