Gale Warning 7, NWS Buffalo, NY

876 
WHUS71 KBUF 270304
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

LEZ040-041-271115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-271115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1900Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-271115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-271115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T2000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO
NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-271115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1104 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

341 
WHUS71 KBUF 270603
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
203 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

LEZ040-041-271415-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
203 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-271415-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1900Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
203 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-271415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
203 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-271415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T2000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
203 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-271415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
203 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

662 
WHUS71 KBUF 270849
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

LEZ040-041-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1900Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T2000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR/RSH

262 
WHUS71 KBUF 271151
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
751 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

LEZ040-041-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
751 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1900Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
751 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
751 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T2000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
751 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
751 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

054 
WHUS71 KBUF 271432
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1032 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

LEZ040-041-272245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1032 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-272245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1900Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
1032 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-272245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T1600Z-150628T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1032 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-272245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T2000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1032 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-272245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1032 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

073 
WHUS71 KBUF 271759
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

LEZ040-041-280200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150628T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-271900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

LOZ042-062-280200-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.150627T1900Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-280200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-280200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150627T2000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-280200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.150628T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
159 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

163 
WHUS71 KBUF 280250
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

LOZ042-281100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150628T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-280400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150628T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW GALE FORCE.

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-280600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T0600Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-280600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T0600Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150628T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1050 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
142 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL SUPPLY OUR REGION WITH FAIR DRY WEATHER INTO
THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY DETERIORATE FOR
THE WEEKEND. AN UNUSUALLY WELL ORGANIZED STORM SYSTEM FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR WILL STALL OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY WHILE PRODUCING
AN INCH AND A HALF TO AS MUCH AS THREE INCHES OF RAIN FOR OUR
REGION. IMPROVEMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE START OF THE NEW
WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN OUR WEATHER PATTERN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS... BUT
FOR THE NEAR TERM...WE CAN ENJOY ONE LAST DAY OF FAIR DRY WEATHER
WITH NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

WHILE A POTENT SHORTWAVE OVER THE OTTAWA VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL
GRAZE THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON...A WEALTH
OF DRY AIR OVER THE GEORGIAN BAY AND SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL SWEEP
AROUND THE BASE OF THE SHORTWAVE TO SUPPORT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
FOR THAT AREA. MEANWHILE OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES...SFC BASED
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE A WEAK UPSLOPE
FLOW THAT WILL DELAY PRONOUNCED CLEARING UNTIL AT LEAST LATER
THIS MORNING. NEVERTHELESS... ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK WILL EXPERIENCE FINE WEATHER TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S FOR MOST AREAS.

A INNOCUOUS LOOKING SHORTWAVE ON WV IMAGERY IN THE VCNTY OF THE
DAKOTAS THIS MORNING WILL DIG SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MID-WEST
TODAY AND TO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...WHERE IT WILL
ESSENTIALLY ENERGIZE A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A WAVE ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY WILL ORGANIZED INTO A CONSOLIDATED SFC LOW OVER OHIO BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL EVENTUALLY DEEPEN TO NEARLY
995MB...WHICH IS RATHER UNUSUAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IN
FACT...THIS FEATURE HAS AN OCCURRENCE INTERVAL OF ABOUT FIVE TO
TEN YEARS (FOR LATE JUNE).

THE FALL LIKE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL JET...WHICH WILL HELP TO
ADVECT COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE FOR THE WESTERN
COUNTIES WHERE A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT. SEE DETAILS ON
THIS WATCH IN THE SHORT TERM SECTION BELOW.

BREAKING THIS DOWN INTO A FORECAST FOR TONIGHT...AS THE SFC LOW
CONSOLIDATES AND LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER HALF OF THE OHIO
VALLEY...THE STRENGTHENING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT
INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF THE
STATE. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING AND THICKENING CLOUDS FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST DURING THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT... WITH
STRENGTHENING H85-7 FRONTOGENETIC FORCING OVER THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD RAIN. QPF
BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH
NORTH OF A LINE FROM BUFFALO TO WARSAW...TO ABOUT A THIRD OF AN
INCH NEAR THE PENNSYLVANIA BORDER.

THE RAIN COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS FROM THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO THE LAKE ERIE SHORE. WHILE IDEAL CONDITIONS
(SOUTHEAST WINDS) WILL NOT BE IN PLACE FOR A STRONG DOWNSLOPE
EVENT...35 TO 40 KTS AT 1500 FEET MAY BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE GUSTY
WINDS AT THE SFC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. STILL LOOKING LIKE THE HEAVIEST
SLUG OF RAIN WILL END THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...WITH LIGHTER RAIN
FOR SUNDAY. PREVIOUS DISCO BELOW...

IN A NUTSHELL...IT WILL BE A WET WEEKEND ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK...ONE GOOD FOR MOSTLY INDOOR ACTIVITIES.

ONGOING AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN ACROSS NORTH
AMERICA WILL PERSIST RIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH A
BUILDING WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN RIDGE LEADING TO THE CONTINUED
DOWNSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OF A DEEPENING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEASTERN STATES. THE 00Z GUIDANCE SUITE
REMAINS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH SETTING
UP JUST TO OUR WEST ON SATURDAY...BEFORE EVER SO SLOWLY DRIFTING
EAST ACROSS NEW YORK STATE DURING THE COURSE OF SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT. MEANWHILE ON ITS EASTERN FLANK...AN ASSOCIATED COMPLEX
SURFACE LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL
SLOWLY MEANDER ITS WAY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES AND INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE COURSE OF SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

UNDER THIS REGIME...OUR WEATHER WILL TURN INCREASINGLY WET ON
SATURDAY AS THE RESULTING LOWER/UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATIONS COMBINE
TO PUMP INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO OUR REGION...IN THE
PRESENCE OF STRENGTHENING LARGE-SCALE LIFT GENERATED BY INCREASING
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE NOSE OF A DEVELOPING 50+ KNOT LOW
LEVEL JET... AS WELL AS AN INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW PATTERN
ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN RAIN INITIALLY OVER THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AT THE START OF SATURDAY SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY
AND THEN CONTINUING ON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WHILE ALSO
BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES IN RESPONSE TO THE INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
SYNOPTIC-SCALE FORCING AND MOISTURE. BY SUNDAY MORNING...THE AXIS
OF THE STEADIER AND HEAVIER RAIN SHOULD BE SHIFTING EAST OF OUR
REGION IN CONCERT WITH THE DEPARTING LOW LEVEL JET...HOWEVER LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN SHOULD STILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION RIGHT
THROUGH THE DAY AS UPSLOPE EFFECTS SET UP AT THE LOWER
LEVELS...AND AS THE CORE OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWLY
MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS OUR REGION ALOFT. AT THIS JUNCTURE...IT
APPEARS THAT RAINFALL CHANCES WILL NOT REALLY BEGIN TO DROP OFF
NOTICEABLY UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT...WHEN THE CORE OF THE MID AND UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM IS FINALLY PROGGED TO PULL EAST OF OUR AREA. NEEDLESS
TO SAY...WITH THE NEAR CERTAINTY OF A WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINFALL
HAVE CONTINUED WITH HIGH-END CATEGORICAL POPS FOR THE SATURDAY-
SUNDAY PERIOD...WITH THE HIGHEST OF THESE /100S/ COMING SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

ASIDE FROM THE NORTH COUNTRY ON SATURDAY...WHICH SHOULD
EXPERIENCE SOME PARTIAL MORNING SUNSHINE AND THUS BETTER HEATING
PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE RAIN...HAVE ALSO CONTINUED TO HOLD
TEMPERATURES BELOW GUIDANCE FOR BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY GIVEN THE
EXPECTED WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY
BE THE CASE ON SUNDAY...WHEN THE ADDITIONAL INFLUENCE OF A GENERAL
NORTHERLY/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE LOWER LEVELS AND THE CORE OF
THE COOL POOL ALOFT WILL LIKELY HELP KEEP HIGHS CONFINED TO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S...OR SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS FOR LATE JUNE. FOR OUR THREE MAJOR CLIMATE SITES...SUCH
HIGHS WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO RECORD LOW MAXIMUMS FOR JUNE 28...
WHICH ARE 63 AT BUFFALO (2004)...61 AT ROCHESTER (1919)...AND
64 AT WATERTOWN (1968).

IN TERMS OF POTENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS... THE 00Z GUIDANCE SUITE
CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD 1.5 TO 2
INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM THE NORTH COUNTRY WESTWARD TO THE GENESEE
VALLEY THIS WEEKEND...WITH AS MUCH AS 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
FALLING ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK...WITH SUCH AMOUNTS LARGELY
COMING OVER A 36-HOUR WINDOW AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION.

WITH RESPECT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING...AT THIS POINT OUR
FEELING REMAINS THAT WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE UP TO 2 INCHES
OF RAIN WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT ISSUES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
PROBLEMS THEN INCREASING WITH PROGRESSIVELY HIGHER AMOUNTS BEYOND
THIS THRESHOLD. THIS WOULD PARTICULARLY BE THE CASE IF SUCH
HIGHER AMOUNTS WERE TO FALL WITHIN A SUBSTANTIALLY SHORTER TIME
FRAME THAN THAT MENTIONED ABOVE...A POSSIBILITY THAT IS NOT AT
ALL OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK. WITH THE
AVAILABLE GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO EMPHASIZE THAT THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL WILL FOCUS ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK THIS WEEKEND...
THE LATEST AVAILABLE MMEFS CONTINGENCY FORECASTS HAVE SHOWN AN
INCREASE IN THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THE CREEKS AND RIVERS
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TO REACH ACTION OR MINOR FLOOD STAGE THIS
WEEKEND...WITH A NUMBER OF THESE FORECASTS NOW SUGGESTING A
45%-60% POTENTIAL FOR MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR.

GIVEN ALL OF THE ABOVE...WE HAVE ELECTED TO HOIST A FLOOD WATCH
FOR OUR EIGHT WESTERN NEW YORK COUNTIES IN COLLABORATION WITH
NEIGHBORING WFOS...WITH THE WATCH RUNNING FROM 5 AM SATURDAY
THROUGH 2 PM SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE WHERE CONFIDENCE IN FLOODING
OCCURRING IS LOWER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL
FOR SUCH IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
EVEN AFTER THE WEEKEND SYSTEM PULLS AWAY SUNDAY NIGHT...A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH
THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED
ACTIVE PATTERN FOR OUR REGION WITH YET ANOTHER /ALBEIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE/ SYSTEM BEARING DOWN ON OUR REGION AND BRINGING
ADDITIONAL GENERAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
MIDWEEK...WHILE TEMPERATURES REMAIN A LITTLE BIT BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT 18Z VFR FLIGHT
CONDITIONS WERE FOUND ACROSS THE REGION. A NORTHEAST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE TAF SITES...THIS FLOW BETWEEN A DEPARTING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE...AND AN AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE BETWEEN 08Z AND 14Z TO MVFR AND
EMBEDDED IFR ACROSS WNY AS A SHIELD OF RAIN ADVANCES NORTHEASTWARD
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. SFC LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF MICHIGAN AND
STRONG MID AND UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS TAF SITES SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH
THE END OF THE TAF CYCLE. THIS RAIN WILL ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD
REACHING EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION JUST PAST 18Z.

WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHEAST...INCREASING A BIT OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS
OF THE TAF CYCLE AS THE STORM SYSTEM INCREASES IN STRENGTH.

OUTLOOK...

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN.
MONDAY...MVFR/VFR WITHIN A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TUESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL KEEP A WEAK SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE
OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL SUPPORT
MORE FINE BOATING CONDITIONS AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE ON THE WAY.

AN UNUSUALLY WELL ORGANIZED STORM SYSTEM WILL STALL OVER THE
UPPER OHIO VALLEY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN TO UNDER 1000MB...WHICH WILL GREATLY ENHANCE
THE NORTHEAST WINDS OVER BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. WINDS WILL
FRESHEN TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER LAKE ERIE AND THE
WESTERN HALF OF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH NEAR GALE
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT. A GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE NEW YORK NEARSHORE WATERS
WILL BE ISSUED IN A LATER FORECAST PACKAGE.

AS THE SUB-1000MB LOW TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF THE LAKES SATURDAY
NIGHT...MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GENERATED
ALONG WITH UNUSUALLY HIGH WAVES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY AS THE PROXIMITY OF THE
WEAKENING SFC LOW WILL ENCOURAGE WINDS AND WAVES TO SUBSIDE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...WITH
BETWEEN 1.5 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS OUR BASINS
OVER A 36 HOUR PERIOD...WITH THE 00Z GUIDANCE SUITE CONTINUING TO
SUGGEST THAT THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS /2 TO 3 INCHES/ WILL
FALL WEST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY. IT IS POSSIBLE FOR A LOCALIZED
AREA OF 3+ INCHES OF RAINFALL TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST NEW
YORK INTO NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN
THESE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS DEVELOPING...CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THE
EXACT PLACEMENT. DEPENDING ON WHERE AND HOW QUICKLY THIS
FALLS...THIS COULD RESULT IN RIVER OR CREEK FLOODING.

THE PRIMARY DETERMINING FACTOR IS SIMPLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN
FALLS. IN GENERAL...SMALLER BASINS WILL BE MORE VULNERABLE SINCE
HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT LOCALIZED AND THUS LESS LIKELY TO
ALL FALL INTO A VERY LARGE BASIN. RIVER FLOODING DURING THE SUMMER
MONTHS IS NOT COMMON BUT IT CAN HAPPEN. BASED ON MMEFS ENSEMBLE
DATA AND IN HOUSE RIVER MODELING...MOST BASINS CAN PROBABLY HANDLE
UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN BUT THE RISK FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE IF
RAIN EXCEEDS 2 INCHES OR IF IT FALLS DURING A QUICKER TIMEFRAME
THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. THE HEAVIEST OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
WESTERN NY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING INTO EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME LAKES TO RISE TO ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS.

ALSO...HIGH WATER MAY HAVE A BIT MORE IMPACT ON RIVERS...CREEKS...
AND LAKES THIS TIME OF YEAR SINCE MANY CAMPS AND CAMPGROUNDS ARE
UNOCCUPIED DURING THE WINTER AND SPRING MONTHS WHEN FLOODING IS
MORE COMMON.

BASED ON INCREASING CERTAINTY IN THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FOCUSING ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK THIS WEEKEND...WE HAVE ISSUED
A FLOOD WATCH FOR OUR WESTERNMOST EIGHT COUNTIES FOR LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE FURTHER TO THE EAST
WHERE THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT NOT NONEXISTENT...
HAVE CONTINUED TO MENTION THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...CHURCH/RSH
SHORT TERM...JJR/THOMAS
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...RSH
HYDROLOGY...APFFEL/JJR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

NYZ003>008-013-014-272000-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY...WITH THE RAIN POSSIBLY BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE CURRENT FORECAST PROJECTIONS STILL
SUGGEST THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW THOSE NEEDED
TO CAUSE FLOODING...THIS COULD CHANGE IF HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST ARE ACTUALLY REALIZED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-272000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-043>045-063>065-SLZ022-024-272000-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK NEAR THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY. STRONG EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY AND WILL INCREASE TO JUST BELOW GALE
FORCE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS
ACROSS THE RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-272000-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-272000-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF