Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015
Storm Warning 12, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 21, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 21, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 21, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
269 FZAK51 PAJK 211309 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-220100- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL FORM IN THE CENTRAL GULF WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO NEAR YAKUTAT BAY BY WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER LAND LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THURSDAY. $$ PKZ011-220100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT SHIFTING S IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-220100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT SHIFTING S AND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-220100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT SHIFTING S AND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-220100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-220100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-220100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-220100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-220100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-220100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-220100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-220100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 75 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
908 FZAK51 PAJK 211926 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-221330- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL FORM IN THE CENTRAL GULF WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO NEAR YAKUTAT BAY BY WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER LAND LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THURSDAY. $$ PKZ011-221330- GLACIER BAY- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT SHIFTING S IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-221330- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT SHIFTING S AND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-221330- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT SHIFTING S AND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-221330- ICY STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-221330- CROSS SOUND- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-221330- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-221330- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-221330- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-221330- FREDERICK SOUND- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-221330- SUMNER STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-221330- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 75 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
474 FZAK51 PAJK 220040 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-221400- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE FAR NE GULF WILL WEAKEN THERE WED NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT OVER THE FAR EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE ACROSS SE AK WED EVENING. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON THU. $$ PKZ011-221400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N WIND 20 KT NORTHERN ARMS. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-221400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-221400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ021-221400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-221400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-221400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-221400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-221400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-221400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-221400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ036-221400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 20, 3:00 PM AKST, 13 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 20, 3:00 PM AKST, 13 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
300 PM AKST TUE JAN 20 2015
.SHORT TERM...ATMOSPHERIC RIVER IS MOVING NNE INTO THE AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL REMAIN MAINLY E OF 140W THRU WED. LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE N-CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN THRU TONIGHT...WHILE
ANOTHER LOW MOVES NNE THRU THE ERN GULF WED. FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER
THE FAR ERN GULF WILL GENERALLY STAY THERE THRU WED MORNING...THEN
PUSH ONSHORE SE AK WED AFTERNOON. USED BLEND OF THE 12Z NAM AND
ECMWF AS THEY HAD THE BEST HANDLE ON THE MAIN FEATURES.
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE PRECIP AMOUNTS...WINDS...POTENTIAL
FOR LAND/MUDSLIDES/SMALL STREAM FLOODING...AND TEMPS. RIGHT
NOW...GIVEN A STRONG AND DEEP LAYER SSW FLOW AND ANOMALOUSLY HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BEING ADVECTED IN (0.8-1.1 INCHES) WITH
THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER...AM EXPECTING WIDESPREAD HEAVY PRECIP FOR
THE MAIN PART OF THE PANHANDLE THRU WED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3+
INCHES ARE LIKELY IN MOST OF THOSE AREAS THRU WED AFTERNOON. STILL
SOME SNOW FALLING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND EVEN REACHING SEA
LEVEL NEAR PAGY ATTM DUE TO SNOWMELT COOLING EFFECT. AS WARMER AIR
MOVES IN THRU TONIGHT...EXPECT ANY SNOW IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
(BELOW 1500 FT) TO BECOME RAIN BY EARLY EVENING. KEPT THE WINTER
WX ADVY FOR THE HAINES ZONE NEAR THE BORDER THRU 6 PM THIS
EVENING...AND WINTER STORM WARNING FOR WHITE PASS THRU 5 AM WED.
THINK THE PASS WILL SEE AROUND ANOTHER FOOT OF SNOW BEFORE IT
WARMS ENOUGH FOR RAIN TO MIX IN WED MORNING. THE PAYA AREA WILL
MISS A LOT OF THE PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM UNTIL WED
AFTERNOON...WHEN LOW MOVING IN SHOULD PULL A BAND OF PRECIP BACK
TO THE W TO THAT AREA. DID KEEP LOW POPS GOING THERE THRU WED
MORNING AS THERE COULD BE A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
DURING THAT TIME.
WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER THE SE HALF OF THE
AREA. EXPECT GALES TO CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THAT AREA INTO WED
AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SMALL INCREASES THEN DECREASES DURING
THIS TIME DUE TO PASSING SHORTWAVES ALOFT...BUT IN GENERAL GALES
SHOULD BE THE RULE. GOING WITH STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR ZONES
26...27...AND 28 FOR TONIGHT AND WED...WITH ZONE 23 JOINING IN FOR
WED.
THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE LAND
AND MUDSLIDES ESPECIALLY ON SLOPES FACING FROM SELY TO SWLY. THE
HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED MAY CAUSE SOME URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING ISSUES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT NOT EXPECTING
ANY LARGE RIVER FLOODING AS WATER LEVELS IN THOSE BASINS ARE ON
THE LOW SIDE. GOING TO ISSUE AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVY
FOR MOST PARTS OF THE MAIN PANHANDLE AREA.
TEMPS WILL BE FAIRLY STEADY OR RISE A BIT DURING THE NIGHT
TONIGHT. TEMPS ON WED WILL ONLY RISE A COUPLE MORE DEGREES IN MOST
PLACES FROM WHERE THEY ARE EARLY WED MORNING.
.LONG TERM...MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY
FOR CONTINUED WET WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ALASKA. USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND NAM FOR THEIR GOOD
CONSENSUS THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALL RAIN OVER THE
PANHANDLE...EXCEPT THE FAR NORTHERN HIGHWAYS WHERE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE NEAR WHITE PASS AND MIXED PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BORDER
OF HAINES HIGHWAY. OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH A
SERIES OF WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. EACH WAVE PASSING OVER THE
PANHANDLE WILL LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY GUSTY WINDS TO MAINTAIN
POTENTIAL HIGH RISK OF MUDSLIDES. USED THE SREF GUIDANCE FOR POPS
AND QPF FIELDS AND TONED DOWN RAINFALL RATE A BIT.
EXPECT MORE WAVES MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH THE MID
WEEK NEXT WEEK...BUT MODEL DIFFERENCES BECOME LARGER AND USED THE
LATEST WPC ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS FROM SATURDAY ONWARD. ONE NOTICEABLE
CHANGE OVER THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WITH THE LATEST MODEL
CONSENSUS HINTS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE ALASKA INTERIOR
STRENGTHENING AND MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A COLDER AIR ADVANCING TO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE...GIVING A CHANCE FOR SEASONAL JANUARY TEMPERATURES.
HOWEVER...NEXT STORM FROM THE SOUTH WILL LIKELY TO PUSH THE COLD
AIR BACK TO THE NORTHWEST AND THE PANHANDLE WILL RETURN TO ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE MID WEEK.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ026.
STRONG WIND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ027-028.
STRONG WIND FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR AKZ023.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ019.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ031-034>036-041-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ013-021-022-032-033-043-051>053.
&&
RWT/AHN
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 3:15 PM AKST | Areal Flood Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jan 20, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Jan 20, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 20, 7:01 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 91 min | |
| Jan 20, 8:32 PM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AJK | 7 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 8 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:50 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 7 hr | |
| Jan 21, 11:35 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Jan 21, 11:42 AM AKST | Flash Flood Watch | AJK | 4 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.