Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2015
Small Craft Advisory 784, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 10, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 10, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 11, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
270 FZAK52 PAJK 101259 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-110100- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... LOW PRESSURE WILL DEPART EAST AWAY FROM THE PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY. A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL THEN ENTER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-110100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-110100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ043-110100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 33 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-110100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-110100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
057 FZAK52 PAJK 102104 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-111515- 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... 30 KT W WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED MORNING. A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL THEN ENTER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF FROM THE W BY WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-111515- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-111515- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ043-111515- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 33 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-111515- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-111515- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1204 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
480 FZAK52 PAJK 110032 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-111400- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... 30 KT W WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED MORNING. A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL THEN ENTER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF FROM THE W BY WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-111400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 34 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-111400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 34 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-111400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-111400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-111400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
991 FZAK52 PAJK 110834 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-111330- 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... 30 KT W WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED MORNING. A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL THEN ENTER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF FROM THE W BY WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-111330- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 34 FT. SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-111330- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 34 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-111330- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-111330- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-111330- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1134 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
620 FZAK52 PAJK 111248 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-120100- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SECOND AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF DURING THURSDAY. $$ PKZ041-120100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 32 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-120100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 34 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-120100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT DECREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-120100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 40 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 26 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-120100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 9, 3:13 PM AKST, 12 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 9, 3:13 PM AKST, 12 hours 47 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
313 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015
.SHORT TERM...A FRONT LIES OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE AS OF THIS AFTERNOON AND IS MAKING SLOW PROGRESS TO THE
SOUTH. A VERY LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE IN LOW TO MID LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLIES IS CAUSING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF
THE PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. A
DEVELOPING WAVE ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SPIN UP A WEAK LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND ENHANCE RAIN SHOWERS SOUTH
OF FREDERICK SOUND AND EAST OF CHATHAM STRAIT OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL
TOTALS THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN THIS AREA WILL RANGE FROM 1
TO 2.5 INCHES. FARTHER NORTH, SHORT TERM RAINFALL TOTALS RANGING
FROM AND ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH. ON
THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS, COLDER TEMPERATURES THERE SHOULD
YIELD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW.
A LOW OVER SOUTHWESTERN YUKON CAUSED SOME STRONG SOUTHERLIES OVER
THE FAR NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS, BUT PEAK CONDITIONS HAVE PAST.
STRONG WINDS IN SKAGWAY AND JUNEAU AS WELL AS GUSTY CONDITIONS IN
HAINES WILL RELAX LATER THIS EVENING. GALES IN LYNN CANAL WILL
ALSO WEAKEN THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE TO THE SOUTH, CONDITIONS ARE
STILL RAMPING UP AND STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR ZONE 27 AND 28
THIS EVENING WITH DEVELOPING GALES OVER CLARENCE STRAIT ENDING BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
ADJUSTED QPF GRIDS WITH INPUT FROM RFC. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES TO
PREVIOUS FORECAST. OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
.LONG TERM...COOLER WEATHER IN THE WORKS FOR TUE NIGHT INTO WED AS
A COLD AIR MASS FROM THE BERING SEA WORKS ITS WAY ACROSS THE GULF
AND PANHANDLE TUE INTO WED. THE AIR MASS IS NOT VERY COLD AS IT
WILL BE HEAVILY MODIFIED BY THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF BEFORE IT
REACHES THE PANHANDLE. HOWEVER IT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR 850
MB TEMPS TO DROP TO AROUND -4 TO -7C TUE NIGHT AND BRING THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME SNOW MIXING IN WITH THE RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT AND WED MORNING. THE COOL WEATHER
DOES NOT LAST AS SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT STARTS TO
WARM THINGS UP AGAIN LATE WED.
MAIN CONCERN IN THE LONG RANGE CONTINUES TO BE THE
STORM SYSTEM THAT IS EXPECTED FOR WED NIGHT INTO THU. BORN FROM A
965 MB LOW THAT TRACKS ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE ON THE SOUTHERN
SIDE OF THE BERING SEA COLD AIR MASS, THE LOW WILL TRACK INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THERE THROUGH FRI AS ITS GALE
FORCE FRONT SLAMS INTO THE PANHANDLE WED NIGHT. STILL SOME
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN MID RANGE MODELS ON TIMING OF THE FRONT. GFS
AND THE CANADIAN CONTINUE TO REPRESENT THE FASTEST SOLUTION AND
ARE RATHER CONSISTENT WITH THEIR PREVIOUS FORECASTS AND WITH EACH
OTHER. MEANWHILE, THE ECMWF AND THE NAM ARE AROUND 3 HOURS
SLOWER, BUT THE LAST FEW RUNS OF THE ECMWF HAS INCREASED THE SPEED
OF THE FRONT, AND IS STARTING TO APPROACH THE GFS AND CANADIAN
SUGGESTIONS. SO CURRENT FORECAST LEANS MORE TOWARD THE GFS AND
CANADIAN WITH GALE FORCE WINDS SPREADING ACROSS THE GULF WED
EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS INCREASING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WED NIGHT.
PRE-FRONTAL WINDS AT 850 MB ARE APPROACHING 55 TO 60 KT. NOT
QUITE ENOUGH FOR HIGH WIND WARNINGS BUT STRONG WIND GUSTS BETWEEN
40 AND 60 MPH ARE LIKELY WED NIGHT ALONG THE OUTER COAST, SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE, AND VARIOUS AREAS OF THE INNER CHANNELS. POST-FRONTAL
WINDS TURN W AND SW THU AND INCREASING TO GALE FORCE AGAIN ACROSS
MUCH OF THE GULF. THE LONG SW FETCH WILL INCREASE WAVE HEIGHTS
ACROSS THE GULF AS A RESULT. ALSO, THE OUTER COAST WILL LIKELY
SEE STRONG GUSTS, FROM THE SW THIS TIME, FOR MUCH OF THU AND FRI.
AS FOR PRECIP, THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HAVE
WARMED UP MANY AREAS ENOUGH THAT MAINLY RAIN WILL BE THE RESULT.
ANY HEAVY RAIN WILL NOT LAST VERY LONG AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH
RATHER QUICKLY AND SHOWERS QUICKLY TAKE OVER FROM STRATIFORM
PRECIP BY THU. AS FOR SNOW THE ONLY PLACES OF CONCERN ARE THE
HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS WHERE LINGERING COLD AIR AND LOW SNOW
LEVELS WILL LIKELY ALLOW A SIGNIFICANT SNOW FALL TO OCCUR AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS TO LOWER FOR LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
AS COLD AIR FROM THE BERING TRIES TO NOSE BACK INTO THE AREA. THE
LINGERING LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL KEEP THAT AT BAY TILL AT
LEAST THE WEEKEND. BY THAN, MODEL DIFFERENCES IN THE VARIOUS
SHORT WAVES ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE COLD AIR AND/OR COMING UP
FROM THE SOUTH WILL AFFECT HOW STRONGLY THE COLD AIR MASS WILL BE
AS IT COMES IN THIS WEEKEND. THE ECMWF IS FAVORING A SLIGHTLY
WARMER SCENARIO AT THE MOMENT AS IT HAS MORE SW FLOW ACROSS THE
GULF RATHER THEN W FLOW LIKE THE COOLER GFS. IN ANY CASE, THE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP CHANCE TO LIKELY SHOWERS IN THE AREA WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW MIXING IN AGAIN FOR THE NORTH THIS
WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...MARGINAL VMC TO IMC CONDITIONS DUE TO LOW CIGS AND
REDUCED VISIBILITY IN HEAVIER RAIN/SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE PANHANDLE. LOWEST CONDITIONS TO THE SOUTH. VMC OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF. WIND SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE REMAIN AN
ISSUE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF WITH LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY JET
STRENGTH UP TO 60 KTS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS IMPROVING FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH OVERNIGHT, BUT THEN DETERIORATE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AS A 50 KT LOW LEVEL WESTERLY JET MOVES IN OVER THE CENTRAL OUTER
COAST.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ027.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018-025.
STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-036-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ013-021-022-031>035-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ043-051-052.
&&
FRITSCH/EAL
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 15 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 10, 6:41 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Nov 10, 7:30 AM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 5 hr | |
| Nov 10, 9:29 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.