Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 39, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 3, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 3, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 4, 2015, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
809 FZAK52 PAJK 040047 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-041400- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... COLD AND STRONG NORTHERLY AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUN FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRUSH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATE SUN AND SUN NIGHT. CONTINENTAL OUTFLOW WILL CONTINUE BUT SLOWLY WEAKEN MON AND MON NIGHT AS EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE GULF. $$ PKZ041-041400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-041400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-041400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SE SWELL. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-041400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SE SWELL. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-041400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WINDS SOUTHEASTERN PORTION. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SE SWELL LATE. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
424 FZAK52 PAJK 040118 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-041930- 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... COLD AND STRONG NORTHERLY AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUN FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRUSH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATE SUN AND SUN NIGHT. CONTINENTAL OUTFLOW WILL CONTINUE BUT SLOWLY WEAKEN MON AND MON NIGHT AS EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE GULF. $$ PKZ041-041930- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-041930- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-041930- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-041930- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-041930- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 418 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WINDS SOUTHEASTERN PORTION. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL LATE. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
713 FZAK52 PAJK 040551 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-050000- 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... COLD AND STRONG NORTHERLY AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUN FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRUSH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATE SUN AND SUN NIGHT. CONTINENTAL OUTFLOW WILL CONTINUE BUT SLOWLY WEAKEN MON AND MON NIGHT AS EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE GULF. $$ PKZ041-050000- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-050000- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-050000- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-050000- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-050000- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 851 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WINDS SOUTHEASTERN PORTION. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL LATE. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$
854 FZAK52 PAJK 041238 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-050100- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... COLD AND STRONG NORTHERLY AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUN FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRUSH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATE SUN AND SUN NIGHT. CONTINENTAL OUTFLOW WILL CONTINUE BUT SLOWLY WEAKEN MON AND MON NIGHT AS EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE GULF. $$ PKZ041-050100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-050100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-050100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-050100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-050100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 4 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL LATE. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 3, 5:10 AM AKST, 10 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 5:10 AM AKST, 10 hours 50 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
510 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015
.SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE EXTENDS FROM THE ALASKA
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND NORTHERN
ALBERTA. 850 MB TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND
BRITISH COLUMBIA RANGES FROM THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S BELOW THE
COLDEST AIR HAS ALREADY MOVED TO ALBERTA OR IS OVER NORTH CENTRAL
BRITISH COLUMBIA. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST
MOUNTAINS HAS STRONG GUSTY WINDS THROUGH INTERIOR PASSES AND
THROUGH THE INNER CHANNELS. MOUNTAIN WAVE FLOW PATTERS OVER SOME
THE COASTAL RANGE RIDGES SUCH AS THE TAKU WINDS ARE ALSO IN FULL
SWING TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY. WILL KEEP THE HIGH WIND WARNING
FOR THE TAKU WINDS IN JUNEAU GOING ON. HAVE NOT MADE A FINAL
DECISION ON THE WIND WATCH FOR THE SKAGWAY AREA FROM SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR THE WARNING LEVEL
WINDS...JUST DO NOT HAVE THE HIGH CONFIDENCE IT THAT YET.
SKIES ARE GENERALLY CLEAR OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF AND NORTHERN
THIRD OF THE PANHANDLE. HIGH TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE OVER THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND A SECTION OF LOW CLOUDS ARE DRAPED ACROSS
THE THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE PANHANDLE. DON'T EXPECT THE CLOUD
COVER TO CHANGE MUCH THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
DO EXPECT THE DRY AND COOLER AIR TO CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO
SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND FILLING IN THE VALLEYS AND INNER CHANNELS.
WITH THE COLDER TEMPS AND STRONG WINDS MARINERS WILL HAVE SOME
ISSUE WITH FREEZING SPRAY IMPACTING VESSELS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST.
MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING A DEVELOPING LOW MOVING NORTHEAST
INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA BUT LOOKS TO BE AIMING TOWARDS
HAIDA GWAII FOR EARLY SUNDAY. THINK THE TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH
NORTH TO PUSH SOME PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTHERN THREE
ZONES...MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THEM. WITH THE TEMPERATURES IN
PLACE AM EXPECTING MOST OF IT TO START AS SNOW...WHILE THE FAR
SOUTHERN PORTIONS PONDER THE IDEA OF A MIX BACK TO RAIN AS IT
PUSHES SOME WARMER AIR INTO THE DIXON ENTRANCE REGION. THE SOUTH
PART OF PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND COULD SEE ABOUT 2 INCHES OF SNOW
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS GOOD TO THE FORECAST AND MADE LITTLE IN WAY
OF FORECAST CHANGES TO THE PACKAGE.
.LONG TERM...UPPER TROUGH POSITIONED OVER THE WRN/CNTRL GULF THIS
MORNING IS FORECAST TO SHEAR EWD ACROSS FAR SRN PORTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLE SUN AFTERNOON. ASCENT FORCED BY THIS FEATURE WILL AID
IN LIGHT PRECIPITATION OVER SRN AREAS...LIKELY IN THE FORM OF SNOW
GIVEN THE SUB-FREEZING LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS CURRENTLY MOVING S ACROSS
THE REGION. ATTM...ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE
LESS THAN 2 INCHES DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF
STRONGER ASCENT IN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE AND DRY OFFSHORE LOW-
LEVEL WINDS.
WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE ON SUN. HIGH
PRESSURE NEAR 1040 MB WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE OVER NWRN
CANADA...WITH THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT FURTHER STRENGTHENED
AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS HAIDA GWAII. THIS WILL SUPPORT STORM
FORCE WINDS OVER LYNN CANAL...WITH HIGH END SMALL CRAFT TO GALE
FORCE WINDS LIKELY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE INSIDE CHANNELS. WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY GOING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
WITH THE HIGH PERSISTING OVER NWRN CANADA...AND SEMI-PERMANENT LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE GULF...OUTFLOW WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
RESTRENGTHEN ON TUE/WED/THU. IN ADDITION...COLD TEMPERATURES AND
STRONG WINDS WILL FAVOR FREEZING SPRAY OVER THE NRN INSIDE WATERS
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
GUSTS FROM 50-60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND S
DOUGLAS ON SUN DUE TO CONTINUED 60 KT CROSS BARRIER FLOW /OBSERVED
IN HI-RES MODEL OUTPUT/. DEEP-LAYER WIND DIRECTIONS BECOME UNI-
DIRECTIONAL OUT OF THE ENE BY THEN...BUT SPEEDS DECREASE WITH
HEIGHT ABOVE 850 MB...WHICH COULD SUPPORT A SELF-INDUCED CRITICAL
LEVEL. THESE FACTORS IN ADDITION TO A RIDGE TOP INVERSION SUGGEST
MOUNTAIN WAVE POTENTIAL WILL PERSIST BEYOND SUN MORNING. THIS
COULD PROMPT AN EXTENSION OF THE HIGH WIND WARNING...WILL CONTINUE
TO EVALUATE.
TUE THROUGH FRI...A DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO EVOLVE S OF
THE ALEUTIANS...WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT TRANSITIONING TO A WARM
FRONT OVER THE SRN PANHANDLE. 850 MB TEMPERATURES FROM 2-6C WILL
BE PRESENT S OF THE FRONT...AND WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD
NWD...RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND THAT WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED
FOR SRN AREAS...AND MORE SUBTLE FOR THE CNTRL/NRN PANHANDLE.
BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY IS THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF LOW-LEVEL WINDS
SPREADING FROM THE YUKON/NRN B.C. INTO THE CNTRL/NRN
PANHANDLE...WHICH WILL LOCK IN COLD TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE.
MOIST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ABOVE THE COLD
AIR...WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL PROBABLE FROM JUNEAU N TO
HAINES/SKAGWAY WED AND THU...AND RAIN FOR AREAS S OF JUNEAU.
BLENDED IN THE 00Z NAM/ECMWF WITH INHERITED PRESSURE GRIDS THROUGH
12Z MON. USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS WITH INHERITED POP GRIDS
THROUGH 12Z WED. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO TEMPERATURES. QPF
AMOUNTS ARE SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH PRECIPITATION
BECOMING MORE PROBABLE TOWARD MID TO LATE WEEK. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 AM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ025.
STRONG WIND THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ017-022.
STRONG WIND THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR AKZ019-029.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ018.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011-031.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ013.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031-034>036-041>043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ032-033-051>053.
&&
BEZENEK/GARNER
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 9:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 19 hr | |
| Jan 4, 1:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.