Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 261, NWS Juneau, AK

August 21, 2015

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Aug 21, 2015, 5:23 PM AKDT. It was in force for 23 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 21, 2015, 5:23 PM AKDT (01:23 UTC)
Expired
Aug 22, 2015, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

027 
FZAK51 PAJK 220123 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-221515-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF FROM THE WEST
FRI NIGHT WHILE THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADS WIND AND RAIN
ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE SAT MORNING. MEANWHILE THE SECOND WRAP OF
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND HIT THE
CENTRAL OUTER COAST SAT AFTERNOON WITH MORE RAIN AND WIND. 

$$

PKZ011-221515-
GLACIER BAY-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-221515-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-221515-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-221515-
ICY STRAIT-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-221515-
CROSS SOUND-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-221515-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. HIGHER GUSTS S
OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-221515-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO
5 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-221515-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCE. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-221515-
FREDERICK SOUND-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-221515-
SUMNER STRAIT-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-221515-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
523 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$
5 follow-up statements
507 
FZAK51 PAJK 220623
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-221515-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF FROM THE WEST
FRI NIGHT WHILE THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADS WIND AND RAIN
ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE SAT MORNING. MEANWHILE THE SECOND WRAP OF
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND HIT THE
CENTRAL OUTER COAST SAT AFTERNOON WITH MORE RAIN AND WIND. 

$$

PKZ011-221515-
GLACIER BAY-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-221515-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-221515-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-221515-
ICY STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-221515-
CROSS SOUND-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-221515-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. HIGHER
GUSTS S OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-221515-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-221515-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCE. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-221515-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-221515-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-221515-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$
961 
FZAK51 PAJK 220625 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-221515-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF FROM THE WEST
FRI NIGHT WHILE THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADS WIND AND RAIN
ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE SAT MORNING. MEANWHILE THE SECOND WRAP OF
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND HIT THE
CENTRAL OUTER COAST SAT AFTERNOON WITH MORE RAIN AND WIND. 

$$

PKZ011-221515-
GLACIER BAY-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-221515-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-221515-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-221515-
ICY STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-221515-
CROSS SOUND-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-221515-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. HIGHER
GUSTS S OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-221515-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-221515-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCE. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-221515-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-221515-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
LATE.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-221515-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1023 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$
656 
FZAK51 PAJK 221211
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-230100-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF SATURDAY
WHILE THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADS WIND AND RAIN THROUGH THE
PANHANDLE. MEANWHILE THE SECOND WRAP OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE E
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND HIT THE CENTRAL OUTER COAST LATE
SATURDAY WITH MORE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. 

$$

PKZ011-230100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING...
THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-230100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINIHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-230100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-230100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-230100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ031-230100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND...E WIND
30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-230100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

..SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-230100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-230100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-230100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-230100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$
818 
FZAK51 PAJK 222131 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-230100-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF SATURDAY
WHILE THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SPREADS WIND AND RAIN THROUGH THE
PANHANDLE. MEANWHILE THE SECOND WRAP OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE E
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND HIT THE CENTRAL OUTER COAST LATE
SATURDAY WITH MORE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. 

$$

PKZ011-230100-
GLACIER BAY-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-230100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-230100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-230100-
ICY STRAIT-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-230100-
CROSS SOUND-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ031-230100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND...E WIND
30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-230100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

..SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-230100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-230100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-230100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-230100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$
627 
FZAK51 PAJK 222335
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-231400-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AND MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD SAT NIGHT WHILE AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
SPREADS WIND AND RAIN ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. ON SUN THE LOW WILL
STALL AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF. THIS LOW
WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST ON MON. 

$$

PKZ011-231400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-231400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-231400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-231400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
4 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-231400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-231400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. STRONGEST WINDS
SOUTH SIDE OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-231400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-231400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-231400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT INTHE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-231400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-231400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Aug 21, 3:50 PM AKDT, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 21, 3:50 PM AKDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

.SHORT TERM...MAIN FOCUS FOR THE SHORT RANGE IS THE GALE FORCE
LOW THAT IS STRENGTHENING IN THE CENTRAL GULF AS WE SPEAK. THE LOW
BEING POSITIONED UNDER THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 90 KT JET STREAK
AT 500 MB COMBINED WITH THE VERTICALLY STACKED NATURE OF THE LOW
WILL ALLOW IT TO DEEPEN TO 988 MB BY LATE THIS EVENING. AFTER THAT
POINT THE LOW CENTER BEGINS TO STALL IN THE GULF AND DECOUPLE
FROM THE JET STREAK. THIS WILL CAUSE IT TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH
SUNDAY.

AS OF FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE PANHANDLE HAS YET TO FEEL THE LOW'S
EFFECTS ASIDE FROM AN INCREASE IN HIGH TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS TODAY.
THE GULF IS A DIFFERENT STORY. BUOY 46085 IS ALREADY SEEING WINDS
OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH SEAS UP TO 8 FT, AND CAPE SUCKLING AND CAPE
FAIRWEATHER BUOYS HAVE SEEN THEIR WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT THIS
AFTERNOON. GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE UP AND
WILL BE UP THROUGH AT LEAST SAT AFTERNOON. BIORKA ISLAND RADAR IS
ALSO STARTING TO SHOW THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONTAL RAIN BANDS.
THEY ARE STILL WELL OFFSHORE BUT GRADUALLY GETTING CLOSER.

WINDS, CLOUDS, AND RAIN WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE OUTER COAST WILL BE THE FIRST TO FEEL THE
RAIN AND WIND WITH THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND WIND ARRIVING
LATE THIS EVENING. HAVE DECIDED TO HOIST STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR
ZONES 22 AND 23 FOR TONIGHT AS THE INITIAL FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.
850 MB WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KT ALONG THE FRONT SUPPORT THE
POSSIBILITY OF GUSTS TO 40 MPH AT SEA LEVEL. FARTHER INLAND, WINDS
AND RAIN WILL START UP A FEW HOURS LATER WITH WINDS NOT QUITE AS
STRONG AS THE OUTER COAST ENCOUNTERED. STILL ENOUGH STRENGTH WILL
REMAIN FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE INNER CHANNELS AND
SUB-STRONG WIND GUSTS FOR MOST LAND AREAS LATER TONIGHT (THOUGH
THE OCCASIONAL GUST TO 40 MPH IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION).

FOLLOWING THE FRONT, WHICH MOVES THROUGH THE PANHANDLE RATHER
QUICKLY, THE PANHANDLE WILL EXPERIENCE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE RAIN
AND WIND AS THE SYSTEM'S DRY SLOT MOVES THROUGH SAT MORNING. THAT
IS NOT THE END OF IT HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM'S SECOND WRAP TAKES
AIM AT THE CENTRAL OUTER COAST FOR SAT AFTERNOON. STRONG WIND
HEADLINES ARE AGAIN BEING HOISTED FOR SAT AFTERNOON FOR ZONES 22
AND 23 WITH SUB-STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE.

AS FOR RAIN, THE SYSTEM IS RATHER JUICY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OF 1.5 INCHES IN THE SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME FEEDING
IT. THIS IS AROUND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
THE INITIAL FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH RATHER QUICKLY FRI NIGHT
SO WILL NOT BE STICKING AROUND LONG ENOUGH TO DROP A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS PART WILL ONLY BE
AROUND .5 TO .75 INCHES. FOLLOWING THE BREAK DUE TO THE DRY SLOT,
THE SECOND WRAP IS THE WORRY FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. HEAVY RAIN
WILL START ALONG THE CENTRAL OUTER COAST MIDDAY SAT AND IS
EXPECTED TO DROP AROUND A HALF INCH OF RAIN BY SAT EVENING WITH
RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE LONG RANGE PERIOD.

IN ADDITION, THE COLD CORE NATURE OF THE LOW WILL DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. LIGHTNING HAS ALREADY BEEN
DETECTED NEAR THE CORE OF THE LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF TODAY. WITH
THAT IN MIND, A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN ADDED TO
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND SAT AND THE OUTSIDE WATERS
MARINE FORECAST FOR SAT.

SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT BUT A FEW DIFFERENCES
REMAINED. OVERALL THERE WERE ONLY A FEW MB DIFFERENT ON THE
STRENGTH OF THE LOW, AND SOME SLIGHT SPREAD ON WIND SPEEDS.
OVERALL USED GFS AND SOME EC FOR OVERALL GUIDANCE TODAY.

.LONG TERM...STORM SYSTEM WILL BE JUST PAST ITS PEAK IN STRENGTH
AT 03Z SUN AND STILL OFFSHORE CENTERED OVER AND JUST WEST OF
MARINE ZONES 42/43 ACCORDING TO MODEL UPDATES. AT THAT TIME WILL
LIKELY BE CONTINUING WIDESPREAD GALES OFFSHORE AND SCAS IN THE
FAVORED INNER CHANNELS FOR N-S ORIENTED/PACKED ISOBARS. INCLUDED
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN SEVERAL OFFSHORE ZONES FOR THE SAT
NIGHT-SUN PERIOD AS POSITIVE BUOYANCY IS PORTRAYED BY THE MODELS.
RAINFALL WILL BE WIDESPREAD INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE LATE SUNDAY...HOWEVER THIS SECOND WRAP OF THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE RAIN TO CONTINUE ON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT BUT
WITH DECREASING RATES THEN. QPF VALUES REMAIN MARGINALLY HEAVY
FOR 6 HOUR PERIODS FOR A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN
PANHANDLE ON SAT NIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST WILL LIKELY NOT PRODUCE
FLOODING IN AREA RIVERS BUT RAPID RISES ARE POSSIBLE. CURRENT QPF
TOTALS FOR THE STORM ARE AT 3-3.5 FOR THE SITKA AREA AND 2-2.5 FOR
JUNEAU. SIGNIFICANTLY LESS RAIN IS EXPECTED OUT IN THE YAKUTAT
AREA AND IN THE FAR SOUTHERN REACHES.

ADJUSTED SOME WINDS FOR THE 03Z SUN-03 MON PERIOD...LOCAL
ENHANCEMENTS... BUT OTHERWISE DYNAMIC ADJUSTMENT WAS NOT
NECESSARY. THERMODYNAMIC UPDATES UTILIZED A BLEND OF EC/GFS/NAM
DATA WITH THE INITIAL RFC QPF FORECASTS. FOR SUN PM/MON...A DRYING
PERIOD...USED A GFS/EC BLEND FOR UPDATED PRESSURE FIELDS (WEAKER
GRADIENTS) AS THE NAM PATTERN APPEARED TO BE OUTLYING. CONTINUED
AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH USING RFC/EC/GFS GRIDS FOR THERMODYNAMIC
UPDATES. FOR DAY 4 (TUES)...USED EC/GFS GRIDS AS MODEL AGREEMENT
WAS STILL STRONG WITH THE REMNANT WEAK TROUGH MOVING OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST SLOWLY AND UPPER RIDGING TAKING OVER THE GULF. THIS
AGREEMENT CONTINUED ON THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE GEM MODEL BEING
THE OUTLIER WED-THU. EVOLVED TO WPC GRIDS BY WED...WHICH UTILIZED
100% EC ENSEMBLE GRIDS. BY DAY 7 EC/GFS SOLUTIONS BEGAN TO
DIVERGE SOMEWHAT WITH THE EC SHOWING MORE AMPLITUDE IN A PATTERN
INCLUDING A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE GULF. THIS STORMINESS
CONTINUED RIGHT ON THROUGH DAY 8 WITH THE EC CONTINUING TO SHOW
MORE AMPLITUDE...BUT THE LONGWAVE TROUGH POSITION SHOWING GENERAL
AGREEMENT. STORM TRACK OVER THE CENTRAL GULF CONTINUES WITH FALL-
LIKE CONDITIONS STEADILY TAKING OVER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
WITH THE EC/GFS MODEL AGREEMENT BEYOND 6 DAYS, CONFIDENCE WAS
ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE EXTENDED PACKAGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE EXPECTED RAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CAUSE
LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE. HOWEVER WITH THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL SPREAD OUT OVER ABOUT 2 DAYS RAPID RISES ARE NOT
EXPECTED. CURRENT FORECAST HAS WATERWAYS LIKE MENDENHALL LAKE,
TAIYA RIVER, AND MONTANA CREEK, ONLY REACHING ABOVE BANKFULL BY
SUN MORNING. SO NO FLOODING FROM RIVERS IS EXPECTED CURRENTLY. THE
OTHER CONCERN IS THE THREAT OF MORE MUDSLIDES FROM THE RAIN AND
WIND FROM THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
     FOR AKZ022-023.
         STRONG WIND FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     AKZ022-023.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036-042-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031>035-041-053.

&&

EAL/WESLEY

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 21, 3:13 PM AKDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
313 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

AKZ018>028-221200-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...
PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
313 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS FOR THE WEEKEND...

A GALE-FORCE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE
WESTERN GULF AND ITS CENTER WILL PROGRESS TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
BY LATE SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF MOSTLY
MODERATE RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO THE PANHANDLE WITH LOCAL AREAS
OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.5 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AT LOW ELEVATIONS
THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE....WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH GUSTS TO 45
MPH...STRONGEST ALONG THE OCEAN COAST FROM CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO
CAPE DECISION. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATE SUNDAY.

THE RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF MUDSLIDES.
AREA RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL ALSO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY BUT
AT THIS TIME ARE STILL EXPECTED TO STAY WITHIN THEIR BANKS. STAY
TUNED TO THE NWS FOR FURTHER UPDATES IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 21, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Aug 21, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Aug 21, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK60 hr
Aug 22, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK18 hr
Aug 22, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.