Red Flag Warning 23, NWS Fairbanks, AK

542 
WWAK63 PAFG 052300
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
300 PM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...RED FLAG WARING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT
MONDAY NIGHT....

AKZ223-061800-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0023.150706T2000Z-150707T0800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT MONDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
223...

* AFFECTED AREA...STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM DELTA JUNCTION 
  SOUTH. 

* WIND...SOUTH GUSTING TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. THE
  LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY EVENING. 
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ225-061800-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0023.150706T2000Z-150707T0800Z/
DENALI-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT MONDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
225...

* AFFECTED AREA...ALASKA RANGE PASSES.

* WIND...SOUTH GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. THE
  LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY EVENING. 
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ226-061800-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0023.150706T2000Z-150707T0800Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
300 PM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT MONDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
226...

* AFFECTED AREA...ALASKA RANGE PASSES.

* WIND...SOUTH GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. THE
  LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY EVENING. 
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

473 
WWAK63 PAFG 061531
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
731 AM AKDT MON JUL 6 2015

...RED FLAG WARING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY UNTIL 200 AM TUESDAY...

AKZ223-071000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0023.150706T2000Z-150707T1000Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
731 AM AKDT MON JUL 6 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM AKDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223.

* WIND...SOUTH GUSTING TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY. THE 
  LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ225-071000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0023.150706T2000Z-150707T1000Z/
DENALI-
731 AM AKDT MON JUL 6 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM AKDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225.

* WIND...SOUTH GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 26 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY. THE 
  LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ226-071000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0023.150706T2000Z-150707T1000Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
731 AM AKDT MON JUL 6 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM AKDT
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WIND FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226.

* WIND...SOUTH GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 26 PERCENT

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY. THE 
  LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

098 
WWAK63 PAFG 070942
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
142 AM AKDT TUE JUL 7 2015

AKZ223-225-226-071045-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150707T1000Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-DENALI-EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
142 AM AKDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 223...225 AND 226...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

WINDS CONTINUE TO GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH IN MANY AREAS AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE RISING ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1200 PM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND VERIFIED WELL AGAINST THE 12Z AND 18Z
ANALYSIS. MODELS SPREAD REMAINS LOW IN THE SHORT TERM AND
CONTINUES TO IMPROVE IN BOTH THE MID TERM AND LONG TERM BOOSTING
CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST FOR THOSE PERIODS.

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY 576 DAM LOCATED OVER THE
NORTHWEST COAST OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO MERGE WITH A 588 DAM RIDGE
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. RIDGE AXIS WILL LIE FROM WAINWRIGHT TO
YAKUTAT LINE MONDAY. A 541 DAM LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS WILL MOVE NORTH TO BE CENTERED NEAR ST PAUL ISLAND AS 538
LOW MONDAY MORNING. A STRONG SHORT WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE LOW
WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST MONDAY AND WILL BE THE FOCAL
POINT FOR WETTING RAINS OVER THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR MONDAY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A DENALI NATIONAL PARK TO THE
EASTERN SEWARD PENINSULA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TRANQUIL WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTH SLOPE.

FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RAMP UP AGAIN TOMORROW OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN INTERIOR ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE AS VERY WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH STRONG GAP FLOWS IN AN NEAR THE
ALASKA RANGE. MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT OVER MOST
OF THE INTERIOR NORTH AND EAST OF MCGRATH WITH LOWEST VALUES
DROPPING TO NEAR 20 PERCENT OVER THE YUKON FLATS. WINDS MAY
LOCALLY GUST TO NEAR 20 MPH ALONG THE THERMAL TROUGH WHICH WILL
LIE ALONG A EAGLE TO GALENA LINE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...HOWEVER
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA IN ALL ZONES
EXCEPT FOR ZONES 223...225 AND 226. GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH AND NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE PASSES WITH PEAK WINDS
EXPECTED MONDAY EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
APPROACHING 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR ALASKA RANGE PASSES.
RED FLAG HEADLINES FOR STRONG WINDS TO ACCOMPANY AFTERNOON FIRE
WEATHER PACKAGE FOR ZONES 223...225 AND 226 EFFECTIVE NOON TO
MIDNIGHT MONDAY.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND
4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 45 MPH IN AND NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE
PASSES COMBINED WITH MIN RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE 20S WILL
PROMPT RED FLAG HEADLINES WITH THE AFTERNOON FIRE WEATHER PACKAGE
EFFECTIVE FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT FOR ZONES 223...225 AND
226. EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A MCGRATH TO THE EASTERN
SEWARD PENINSULA LINE MONDAY AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES WILL
INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR BEHIND INCOMING FRONT. TOUGH
CALL AT THIS POINT AS TO HOW MUCH OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL
REMAIN CHINOOKED WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT VS A MORE
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ230.
&&

CCC JUL 15