High Wind Watch 2, NWS Fairbanks, AK

057 
WWAK72 PAFG 080142
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
442 PM AKST SAT NOV 7 2015

AKZ227-081500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WI.Y.0031.151108T2000Z-151110T1200Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
442 PM AKST SAT NOV 7 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 3 AM AKST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 3 AM AKST
TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

AKZ214-081500-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0002.151109T0600Z-151109T1800Z/
YUKON DELTA-
INCLUDING...MOUNTAIN VILLAGE...EMMONAK...ALAKANUK...KOTLIK...
PILOT STATION...ST MARYS...SCAMMON BAY...MARSHALL...NUNAM IQUA...
PITKAS POINT
442 PM AKST SAT NOV 7 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING FOR COASTAL AREAS...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS.

* WINDS...35 TO 50 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 65 MPH NEAR THE COAST.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY WITH THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS LATE SUNDAY EVENING AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

334 
WWAK72 PAFG 081243
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
343 AM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

AKZ214-090300-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0002.151109T0600Z-151109T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0010.151109T0300Z-151109T1800Z/
YUKON DELTA-
INCLUDING...MOUNTAIN VILLAGE...EMMONAK...ALAKANUK...KOTLIK...
PILOT STATION...ST MARYS...SCAMMON BAY...MARSHALL...NUNAM IQUA...
PITKAS POINT
343 AM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
AKST MONDAY FOR COASTAL AREAS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST
MONDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS.

* WINDS...35 TO 50 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 65 MPH NEAR THE COAST.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH THE
  STRONGEST WINDS THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. PROPERTY DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PREVENT PROPERTY
DAMAGE. 

&&

$$

AKZ227-090300-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0031.151108T2000Z-151109T0900Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
343 AM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 40 WITH GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS INCREASING THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH
  MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
305 AM AKST SAT NOV 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...VERY GOOD AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY THROUGH THE
MID RANGE. INITIALIZED WELL AGAINST THE 06Z SURFACE ANALYSIS. WILL
GO WITH A BLEND FOR THE SHORT TERM LEANING ON CONTINUITY FROM THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST AND NUDGING PROBABILITIES UP WITH THE SREF. THEN
LEAN TOWARD THE GFS FROM SUNDAY ON MAINTAINING CONTINUITY WITH THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...520 DAM LOW CENTER OVER THE UPPER YUKON WILL
SLOWLY FILL TODAY AND MERGE WITH A STRENGTHENING SHORTWAVE THAT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE WEAK
RIDGE THAT WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BY EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING EXTENDING FROM POINT LAY TO MANLEY HOT SPRINGS TO
ANCHORAGE AND SOUTH. THE SHORTWAVE WILL HANG ON OVER THE NORTHEAST
INTERIOR THROUGH AROUND NOON SUNDAY. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER TH
ALCAN BORDER LATE SUNDAY EVENING...THEN INTO CANADA. A 505 DAM LOW
SITTING OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE OVER ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS IT DEEPENS TO 483 DAM. AN ASSOCIATED
SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE BERING STRAIT EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...THEN LIE FROM WALES TO NIKOLAI TO CHIGNIK BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BY MONDAY MORNING. AT
850 HPA...WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...THEN
AROUND 5 DEGREES CELSIUS OF WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH THE NEXT
SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. WEAK
COLD AIR ADVECTION MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

SURFACE...PRETTY BENIGN PATTERN OVER THE STATE WITH THE ONLY
SIGNIFICANT LOWS BEING A WEAKENING 992 MB LOW NEAR YAKUTAT AND A
WEAKENING 998 MB LOW MOVING INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA THAT WILL MERGE
WITH THE LOW IN THE BERING SEA TONIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE CONTINUES TO
LIE EAST ALONG 76N...BUT WILL BREAK DOWN AND RETREAT BACK OVER THE
RUSSIAN ARCTIC. THE 987 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL
MOVE EAST TODAY TO 300 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY LATE
EVENING WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE BERING
STRAIT THEN EAST OVER THE ARCTIC PLAINS. THE LOW CONTINUES EAST
TO OVER ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AT 954 MB. A WEAK
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL AREA AND THE
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR IN ADVANCE OF LOW.

MARINE...WITH THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND SUNDAY A SIGNIFICANT SOUTHWEST TO WEST FETCH WILL SET UP
AND PERSIST FOR ALMOST 30 HOURS. THIS WILL PUSH A LARGE AMOUNT OF
WATER INTO NORTON SOUND AND THE BERING STRAIT. CURRENT GUIDANCE
INDICATES SURGE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET OVER MOST OF THE OUTER
COASTAL AREAS WITH VALUES OF NEARLY 9 FEET IN NORTON BAY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. MAX SURGE IS ALSO COINCIDING WITH THE HIGH TIDES
IN THE AREA AND WAVE HEIGHTS WILL ALSO BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGH DUE
TO THE FETCH AND DURATION OF THE STRONG WINDS. ALL OF THIS WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUN UP ON TOP OF FLOODING OF
LOW AREAS. WILL CONTINUE WATCHES FOR THE NORTON SOUND AND BERING
STRAIT COAST AREAS...ZONES 211 212 AND 214...FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...WINDS DIMINISHING TODAY AS TROUGH
DEVELOPS OVER THE ARCTIC PLAIN. OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE
NORTHWEST COAST TODAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF BARROW PERSISTING
UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE NEARSHORE
WATERS. CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA TODAY WITH SOME CLEARING OVER THE NORTHWEST COAST TONIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING TO THE BERING STRAIT. NOT MUCH
FLUCTUATION IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ICE CONTINUES TO
BUILD OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS AND WITH THE MAINLY EAST WINDS
THE ICE WILL CONTINUE TO GROW TO THE WEST THOUGH A BIT MORE SLOWLY
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...QUIET TODAY...BUT A BIG MESS
MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AS THE LOW WITH NEAR STORM FORCE
WINDS MOVES EAST TO ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS
INCREASING ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND TONIGHT AND ALONG THE COAST BY
SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECTING GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. MAINLY SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTHWEST TO WEST AS THE LOW MOVES OVER ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SEE MARINE SECTION ABOVE FOR COASTAL FLOOD
INFORMATION. WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION TODAY WILL BECOME WEAK WARM
AIR ADVECTION TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL BE A MIX ALONG THE COAST
AND ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM. AREAS FROM NOME
TO KALTAG AND SOUTH OVER THE LOWER YUKON RIVER VALLEY AND THE
UPPER KUSKOKWIM RIVER VALLEY CAN EXPECT TO SEE A PERIOD OF RAIN
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. GAP WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE ALASKA
RANGE SUNDAY WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...WEAK SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL BE
ENHANCED A BIT TODAY SO LIGHT SNOW...SNOW SHOWERS...OR FLURRIES
WILL CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR. SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL BE AROUND 2 INCHES TODAY FOR MOST AREAS. SNOW
TAPERING OFF LATE THIS EVENING WITH SOME BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS...THEN SOME CLEARING ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
LIGHT TODAY WITH INCREASING WINDS IN THE ALASKA RANGE SUNDAY AS
GAP FLOW WINDS DEVELOP WITH WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 50 MPH NEAR
PASSES. WEAK TANANA JET ALSO DEVELOPS SO GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
NEAR DELTA JUNCTION SUNDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY
IN THE INTERIOR...THEN A FEW DEGREES WARMER SUNDAY...WITH A
COOLING TREND BEGINNING LATE MONDAY.

&&

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235-PKZ240.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.

&&

SDB NOV 15

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1129 PM AKST FRI NOV 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     SNOW             2 W TWO RIVERS          64.87N 147.17W
11/06/2015  M2.3 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SNOWFALL TODAY THROUGH 9 PM.

1115 PM     SNOW             1 SW COLLEGE            64.86N 147.85W
11/06/2015  M2.0 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AT UAF SINCE 9 AM TODAY.

&&

SCHWARTZ