Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015
Storm Warning 90, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 19, 2015, 7:58 AM AKDT. It was in force for 20 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 19, 2015, 7:58 AM AKDT (15:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 20, 2015, 3:28 AM AKDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
437 FZAK51 PAFC 191558 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-200315- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF MON MORNING...THEN TRACK INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY LATE MON AND WEAKEN IN PLACE TUE. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 970 MB 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK MON AFTERNOON AND THEN TRACK TO 320 NM EAST OF SITKINAK AT 982 MB EARLY WED. $$ PKZ119-200315- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ120-200315- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-200315- RESURRECTION BAY- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-200315- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-200315- PORT VALDEZ- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-200315- VALDEZ NARROWS- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-200315- VALDEZ ARM- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-200315- PASSAGE CANAL- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-200315- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-200315- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 UPDATE ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-200315- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ136-200315- CHINIAK BAY- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-200315- MARMOT BAY- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ138-200315- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 UPDATE ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-200315- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-200315- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-200315- KACHEMAK BAY- 758 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
292 FZAK51 PAFC 192336 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RESENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-201245- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL TRACK INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATE TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN IN PLACE TUE MORNING. A 972 MB LOW 330 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL TRACK TO 280 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 981 MB BY TUE NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN TO 988 MB AS IT TRACKS TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT BY WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-201245- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ120-201245- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-201245- RESURRECTION BAY- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-201245- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-201245- PORT VALDEZ- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-201245- VALDEZ NARROWS- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-201245- VALDEZ ARM- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-201245- PASSAGE CANAL- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-201245- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-201245- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-201245- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ136-201245- CHINIAK BAY- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-201245- MARMOT BAY- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING 40 KT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-201245- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-201245- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-201245- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-201245- KACHEMAK BAY- 336 PM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
543 FZAK51 PAFC 201128 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-210000- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE THIS MORNING. A 972 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL TRACK TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 981 MB WED MORNING...THEN MOVE TO 90 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU MORNING. $$ PKZ119-210000- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ120-210000- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-210000- RESURRECTION BAY- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-210000- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-210000- PORT VALDEZ- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-210000- VALDEZ NARROWS- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-210000- VALDEZ ARM- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-210000- PASSAGE CANAL- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-210000- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ131-210000- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-210000- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ136-210000- CHINIAK BAY- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-210000- MARMOT BAY- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-210000- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-210000- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-210000- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-210000- KACHEMAK BAY- 328 AM AKDT TUE OCT 20 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 19, 5:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 5:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT MON OCT 19 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE DOMINATE FEATURE FOR THE REGION THIS MORNING IS THE DEEPENING
TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ALONG 170W. AS
WITH YESTERDAY...TWO CLOSED LOWS REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH
WITH A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND AND A
DEVELOPING SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR. WHILE MOST OF THE POLAR JET
REMAINS DISPLACED TO BELOW 40N...THE TROUGH IS DIGGING DEEP ENOUGH
TO SHIFT THE JET NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC ALONG THE
EASTWARD SIDE OF THE TROUGH. THE JET IS WELL DEVELOPED WITH A
140KT JET MAXIMUM IN THE ASCENDING BRANCH. MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES ARE
ROTATING AROUND THE LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND...BRINGING SHOWERS TO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. ELSEWHERE...A
WEAKENING TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF IS ROTATING NORTHEASTWARD
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST NORTHWARD INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY.
A RIDGE IS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.
AT THE SURFACE...THE MAIN FEATURE ON THE WEATHER CHART THIS
MORNING IS THE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING 978 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THIS HAS EXCELLENT JET SUPPORT WHILE IT DEVELOPS IN
THE FRONT LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE ASCENDING BRANCH OF THE POLAR
JET. THIS FEATURE WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER FOR THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A WEAKENING SURFACE LOW NEAR NUNIVAK
ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. FINALLY...A LOW IS
DEVELOPING JUST OFF THE KAMCHATKA COAST ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT IN THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN AND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THE CANADIAN MODEL IS THE OUTLIER IN THIS PACKAGE WITH
A FASTER AND FURTHER WEST TRACK. THE GFS CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD
RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY...THUS IT WAS USED FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
TODAY WILL BE THE DAY BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS FOR MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN
MOVING OVER THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH IS BRINGING SOME RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS MORNING BUT WILL MOVE NORTH OF
THE ARE BY THE AFTERNOON. THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY WITH THE WEATHER
TODAY IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF FOG TO
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE COOK INLET REGION. IT REMAINS VERY
MOIST IN THE LOWER LEVELS AFTER THE PERSISTENT RAINFALL BUT THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MIXING WITH THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO KEEP
MUCH FOG FROM DEVELOPING. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK
FROM THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND BRING SOME GALE AND EVEN STORM
FORCE WINDS TO THE MARINE AREAS AROUND THE GULF. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO COASTAL AREAS BUT MOST OF THE INLAND
AREAS WILL ONLY SEE CHANCE OF RAIN AS THERE SHOULD BE A BIT OF
DOWNSLOPING ACROSS THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS WITH THIS SYSTEM.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK SURFACE LOW JUST SOUTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE BY
TUESDAY. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SHOWERY
WEATHER REGIME ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
HAVE A WEATHER FRONT TRACKING INTO THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY EVENING
ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM FORCE LOW TRACKING JUST SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL BRING STRONG EASTERLY GALE FORCE
WINDS TO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD RAIN
BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL
BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY. THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL HAVE A STORM FORCE NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKING NEAR 52N 159W
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
RESULTING IN STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING ALONG THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS ON THE PACIFIC SIDE THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING AS THE LOW TRACKS FARTHER EASTWARD. ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON...THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE A FAST MOVING LOW
PUSHING A FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH SMALL CRAFT SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE PATTERN LOOKS TO BE ACTIVE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AND
MOVING INTO THE WEEKEND. TUESDAY NIGHT THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT ON
A LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTHWEST BRINGING WARM AIR
TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND RAIN ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. THIS
SYSTEM WILL PUSH OFF TO THE EAST AND THEN THE MODELS BECOME MORE
CHAOTIC. SOMETIME ON WEDNESDAY ANOTHER LOW WILL APPROACH THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS BUT THERE IS DISCREPANCY ON WHERE THE LOW WILL
SETUP OR IF AND WHERE A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP RESULTING IN
LOWER CONFIDENCE. BECAUSE OF THE VARIATION IN DETERMINISTIC
SOLUTIONS A COMBINATION OF ENSEMBLES WAS USED...PRIMARILY THE EC
ENSEMBLE AND THE NAEFS. THIS NEW SOLUTION BRINGS AN ELONGATED LOW
INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY EVENING AND THEN TRACKS IT
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE GULF SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WITH THIS MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK THE MAJORITY OF
THE RAIN WILL BE ALONG THE ALEUTIANS AND EVENTUALLY THE NORTH GULF
COAST.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 130 131 136 137 138 160 165 172.
STORMS 132 150 155.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...DKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 3:33 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 hr | |
| Oct 19, 3:33 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 19, 3:33 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 19, 3:48 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Oct 19, 3:48 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Oct 19, 2:49 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Oct 19, 2:49 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Oct 19, 3:36 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 19, 3:36 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.