Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 215, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 26, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 26, 2015, 3:38 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2015, 3:38 AM AKST (12:38 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2015, 3:09 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

226 
FZAK52 PAFC 261238
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270145-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 963 MB LOW 160 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY MOVES 110 NM NORTHWEST
OF PORT HEIDEN AT 977 MB SAT NIGHT AND DISSIPATES SUN MORNING IN
BRISTOL BAY. A 981 MB LOW 370 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA MOVES 130 NM WEST
OF ADAK AS A 968 MB LOW THEN SHIFTS TO 145 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD
BAY AS A 974 MB LOW MON MORNING. A 974 MB LOW 290 NM SOUTHWEST OF
ATTU SUN MORNING COMBINES WITH A SECOND LOW AND MOVES TO 70 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ADAK AS A 961 MB LOW BY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-270145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR THE COAST.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
E OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT
NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ155-270145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ160-270145-
BRISTOL BAY-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-270145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND
40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-270145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-270145-
UNALASKA BAY-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-270145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ173-270145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-270145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT BUILDING TO 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-270145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-270145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-270145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 14 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT BERING SIDE...27 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-270145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. FROM SHEMYA W...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. S OF SHEMYA...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-270145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ180-270145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. S OF CAPE NEWENHAM...E WIND 25 KT
BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ181-270145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
ICE EDGE.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-270145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
338 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT...NE 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$
3 follow-up statements
801 
FZAK52 PAFC 270000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271300-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 70 NM NORTHWEST OF NELSON LAGOON DISSIPATES TONIGHT.
A 970 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA WEAKENS TO 968 MB SUN MORNING
NEAR ADAK AND THEN MERGES INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE CENTRAL BERING SUN NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW DEEPENS TO 967
MB SUN EVENING 275 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA AND THEN MERGES INTO A
COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING ON MON.


$$

PKZ150-271300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 30 KT
BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND
25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT EXCEPT 15 FT
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271300-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271300-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 FT IN THE EVENING BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM DUTCH HARBOR E...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 31 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 31 FT SUBSIDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT.
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BERING SIDE...E WIND 35 KT
BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25
FT. BERING SIDE...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF SHEMYA. SEAS 18 FT
EXCEPT 10 FT N OF SHEMYA. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT DIMINISHING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
SHEMYA W...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
CAPE NEWENHAM...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-271300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$
722 
FZAK52 PAFC 271253
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280145-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 966 MB LOW OVER ADAK MOVES TO KUSKOKWIM BAY MON MORNING THEN
ONSHORE. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT TRACKS FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A 979 MB LOW 430 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU MOVES
220 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AS A 961 MB LOW TUE MORNING THEN
SHIFTS 175 NM NORTHWEST OF ST PAUL ISLAND AS A 970 MB LOW TUE
AFTERNOON. A 979 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT SUN MORNING
DISSIPATES SUN NIGHT OVER BRISTOL BAY.

$$

PKZ150-280145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND W...S WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280145-
BRISTOL BAY-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. E OF PORT MOLLER...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280145-
UNALASKA BAY-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 31
FT SUBSIDING TO 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 29
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 35 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 14
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY
ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-280145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
353 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$
913 
FZAK52 PAFC 280009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281245-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 966 MB LOW 60 NM NORTH OF ATKA WILL BE A 956 MB LOW 120NM WEST
OF SAINT PAUL TUE MORNING THEN WEAKEN TO 963 MB 300 NM NORTHWEST
OF SAINT PAUL TUE EVENING. A 987 MB LOW 460 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY 
WILL INTENSIFY TO 979 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR PORT HEIDEN SUN EVENING
THEN MOVES TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND MON AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-281245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON W OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281245-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND
20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF PORT MOLLER IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281245-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT THEN
DIMINISH TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 45 KT.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11
FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BERING SIDE...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC
SIDE...SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW TOWARD MORNING. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-281245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 25, 4:53 PM AKST, 10 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 4:53 PM AKST, 10 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
453 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A POWERFUL STORM CENTERED IN THE EASTERN BERING DOMINATES THE
WEATHER ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON. AS
THE LOW CENTER PASSED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER COLD BAY THIS
MORNING...THE RECORDED PRESSURE DROPPED TO A VERY IMPRESSIVE 954
MB. THIS VERTICALLY STACKED LOW HAS CARVED A DEEP UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ACROSS THE BERING AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH DOWNSTREAM
RIDGING OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND EASTERN ALASKA. THE
STRUCTURE OF THE STORM IS MOST IMPRESSIVE ON WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE HIGH TOPPED CIRRUS DECK STRETCHES TO WESTERN CANADA
AND THE AK PANHANDLE...WITH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CLOUD DECK
REACHING ATKA...THOUGH THE ASSOCIATED WIND FIELD COVERS ALL OF THE
ALEUTIANS. A VERY POTENT FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE DRY SLOT EXTENDS FROM THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER IN SOUTHWEST
ALASKA...AND ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA INTO THE GULF.

WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE A KEY FEATURE WITH THE STORM. THE RAIN-
SNOW LINE HAS REACHED AS FAR NORTH AND INLAND AS SPARREVOHN AND
ANIAK IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS ARE BEING
REPORTED ALONG KACHEMAK BAY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS NEAR PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE SHORT TERM TRACK AND
LOCATION OF THE BERING LOW. EXCEPT FOR THE MOVEMENT OF MINOR
FEATURES...THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
OVERNIGHT AS WEAKENING BEGINS. THE MODEL DIFFERENCES BECOME MORE
EVIDENT OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STORM THAT CURRENTLY IS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC INTENSIFIES INTO
A NEW LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...MOVING EASTWARD WITH
THE PREVAILING UPPER LEVEL WINDS IN THE AREA. SINCE THIS WAVE IS
POORLY RESOLVED BY A LACK OF OBSERVATIONS OVER THE NORTHWEST
PACIFIC...THAT HAS RESULTED IN THE LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES OVER
THE WEEKEND REGARDING THE INTERACTION OF THIS NEW LOW WITH THE
CURRENT BERING STORM. THE GFS AND NAM WERE PREFERRED...DUE TO
BEING THE MORE CONSISTENT MODELS IN HANDLING THIS INTERACTION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL DUE TO THE WIDELY DIFFERING
SOLUTIONS BETWEEN THE MODELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STORM FORCE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL STALL ALONG THE
COAST TONIGHT AND BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT LOSES UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT. INLAND PORTIONS OF WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WILL CONTINUE TO BEAR THE BRUNT OF THE IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM AS
HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 16 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SEWARD HIGHWAY CORRIDOR FROM GIRDWOOD THROUGH TURNAGAIN PASS.
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE BY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE
DISSIPATING FRONT GIVES WAY TO A RELATIVELY UNSTABLE ONSHORE FLOW
REGIME. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP ABUNDANT SHOWER ACTIVITY FOCUSED
ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS VARIOUS UPPER LEVEL WAVES
MOVE OVERHEAD AND PERIODICALLY ENHANCE PRECIPITATION. MEANWHILE...
STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE FROM INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA UP THROUGH ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-
SU REGION...KEEPING THESE AREAS MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
THIS EVENING AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT FILTERS ACROSS THE AREA. BLOWING
SNOW CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT
VISIBILITIES WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE EARLY THIS EVENING AS SNOWFALL
TAPERS OFF. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 60 MPH WILL BE SEEN THROUGH THE
EVENING BEFORE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX AND WIND
GUSTS DROPPING INTO THE 35 TO 50 MPH RANGE AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH
THE STRONGEST GUSTS REMAINING OVER COASTAL LOCATIONS. THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL LIKELY REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE HEADING INTO
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING
SEA SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT MEANDERS SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL AND WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WILL LIKELY BE OBSERVED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

LOOKING SOUTH TOWARD BRISTOL BAY...THE HIGH WIND WARNING VERIFIED
THIS MORNING WITH 2 TO 3 HOURS OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS AT
PORT HEIDEN BUT OBSERVATION SITES (AT SEA LEVEL) HAVE FAILED TO
REPORT HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS SINCE THIS MORNING. WHILE THE
WIND GUSTS HAVE NOT BEEN OBSERVED BY AN OBSERVING SITES...IT IS
STILL LIKELY THAT LOCATIONS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND WESTERN
CAPES SAW SPORADIC WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. WENT AHEAD AND
CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING A FEW HOURS EARLY AS THE FRONT
THAT BROUGHT THE STRONGEST WINDS HAS SHIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA.
STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW HAS KEPT MUCH OF THE INLAND LOCATIONS
OF BRISTOL BAY ON THE DRY SIDE...ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
ABLE TO MAKE IT INTO KING SALMON AND A FEW OTHER AREAS. THESE
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND
AS THE LOW IN BRISTOL BAY MAKES LITTLE PROGRESS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ADIABATIC WARMING AND DRYING ON THE
LEE SIDE OF THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. THIS WILL KEEP THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE ABOVE FREEZING AND TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN WITH THE LOW OVER
SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH LATE SATURDAY WHEN THE LOW
FINALLY BEGINS TO DISSIPATE. A SHOT OF 60 TO 65 MPH WINDS WILL BE
SEEN ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING SEA. THE ISALLOBARIC FLOW SHOULD HELP STRENGTHEN THE WINDS
THROUGH NIKOLSKI AND DUTCH HARBOR BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL BE CLOSER TO NIKOLSKI AT THIS TIME. THE STRONG WINDS
WILL DIMINISH ON SATURDAY AS ISALLOBARIC FLOW WEAKENS AND THE LOW
MEANDERS TO THE EAST A BIT. A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF
GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ANYWHERE AS STRONG AS THE
LOW THAT BROUGHT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO ADAK LAST NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MOVING INTO NEXT WEEK ALL GUIDANCE IS TRENDING TOWARDS A DEEP
SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE BERING. HOWEVER...THE OPERATIONAL RUNS ARE
STRUGGLING WITH THE TIMING OF THIS FEATURE AND WHETHER OR NOT TO
KEEP IT AS A CONSOLIDATED LOW. BECAUSE OF THIS THE ENSEMBLE MEANS
WERE PREFERRED FOR NEXT WEEK WHICH HAVE BEEN CLOSE TOGETHER AND
CONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN. THE ENSEMBLES TRACK THE LOW INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING BY LATE MONDAY WHERE IT SITS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.
THIS LOOKS TO BRING PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE BERING FOR THE
WEEK. IT WILL ALSO BRING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND WHICH WILL KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST. THE CONSTANT SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD ALSO KEEP
TEMPERATURES FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA AT OR
ABOVE NORMALS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW 125.
MARINE...GALE 127 129 132 139 140 150-171 177 178 179 181 185.
         STORM 119 120 125 172-176 180.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181.
&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 25, 10:17 PM AKST, 5 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1017 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     SNOW             8 NW HOMER              59.72N 151.68W
12/25/2015  M8.5 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HR TOTAL. SNOW DEPTH 18 INCHES

&&

KUTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 25, 3:13 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 25, 3:13 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Dec 25, 3:20 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC72 hr
Dec 25, 3:22 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC72 hr
Dec 25, 3:22 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Dec 26, 3:14 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 26, 3:14 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Dec 26, 3:38 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Dec 26, 3:38 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Dec 26, 3:38 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC5 days

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.