Gale Warning 933, NWS Anchorage, AK

223 
FZAK51 PAFC 261431 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270415-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST SUN AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATES. A SECOND STRONGER FRONT
MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SUN EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-270415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT E WIND 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-270415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ121-270415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. HIGHER 
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-270415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ126-270415-
PORT VALDEZ-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT  BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-270415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-270415-
VALDEZ ARM-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-270415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-270415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ131-270415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ132-270415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT.

$$

PKZ136-270415-
CHINIAK BAY-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-270415-
MARMOT BAY-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ138-270415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-270415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-270415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-270415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
531 AM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

029 
FZAK51 PAFC 270032
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271330-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF REACHES THE NORTHEAST
GULF COAST SUN AFTERNOON. A SECOND STRONGER FRONT ENTERS THE
SOUTHWEST GULF SUN MORNING AND REACHES THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST
SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-271330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271330-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271330-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271330-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271330-
MARMOT BAY-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-271330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 PM AKST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

919 
FZAK51 PAFC 271226
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280115-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES ONSHORE
SUN AFTERNOON. A STRONGER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF 
SUN AFTERNOON THEN PUSH ONSHORE ACROSS COOK INLET EARLY MON AND
THEN THE NORTH GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-280115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND 
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280115-
PORT VALDEZ-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280115-
VALDEZ ARM-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280115-
CHINIAK BAY-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280115-
MARMOT BAY-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
326 AM AKST SUN DEC 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
453 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A POWERFUL STORM CENTERED IN THE EASTERN BERING DOMINATES THE
WEATHER ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON. AS
THE LOW CENTER PASSED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER COLD BAY THIS
MORNING...THE RECORDED PRESSURE DROPPED TO A VERY IMPRESSIVE 954
MB. THIS VERTICALLY STACKED LOW HAS CARVED A DEEP UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ACROSS THE BERING AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH DOWNSTREAM
RIDGING OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND EASTERN ALASKA. THE
STRUCTURE OF THE STORM IS MOST IMPRESSIVE ON WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE HIGH TOPPED CIRRUS DECK STRETCHES TO WESTERN CANADA
AND THE AK PANHANDLE...WITH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CLOUD DECK
REACHING ATKA...THOUGH THE ASSOCIATED WIND FIELD COVERS ALL OF THE
ALEUTIANS. A VERY POTENT FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE DRY SLOT EXTENDS FROM THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER IN SOUTHWEST
ALASKA...AND ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA INTO THE GULF.

WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE A KEY FEATURE WITH THE STORM. THE RAIN-
SNOW LINE HAS REACHED AS FAR NORTH AND INLAND AS SPARREVOHN AND
ANIAK IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS ARE BEING
REPORTED ALONG KACHEMAK BAY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS NEAR PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE SHORT TERM TRACK AND
LOCATION OF THE BERING LOW. EXCEPT FOR THE MOVEMENT OF MINOR
FEATURES...THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
OVERNIGHT AS WEAKENING BEGINS. THE MODEL DIFFERENCES BECOME MORE
EVIDENT OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STORM THAT CURRENTLY IS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC INTENSIFIES INTO
A NEW LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...MOVING EASTWARD WITH
THE PREVAILING UPPER LEVEL WINDS IN THE AREA. SINCE THIS WAVE IS
POORLY RESOLVED BY A LACK OF OBSERVATIONS OVER THE NORTHWEST
PACIFIC...THAT HAS RESULTED IN THE LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES OVER
THE WEEKEND REGARDING THE INTERACTION OF THIS NEW LOW WITH THE
CURRENT BERING STORM. THE GFS AND NAM WERE PREFERRED...DUE TO
BEING THE MORE CONSISTENT MODELS IN HANDLING THIS INTERACTION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL DUE TO THE WIDELY DIFFERING
SOLUTIONS BETWEEN THE MODELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STORM FORCE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL STALL ALONG THE
COAST TONIGHT AND BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT LOSES UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT. INLAND PORTIONS OF WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WILL CONTINUE TO BEAR THE BRUNT OF THE IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM AS
HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 16 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SEWARD HIGHWAY CORRIDOR FROM GIRDWOOD THROUGH TURNAGAIN PASS.
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE BY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE
DISSIPATING FRONT GIVES WAY TO A RELATIVELY UNSTABLE ONSHORE FLOW
REGIME. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP ABUNDANT SHOWER ACTIVITY FOCUSED
ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS VARIOUS UPPER LEVEL WAVES
MOVE OVERHEAD AND PERIODICALLY ENHANCE PRECIPITATION. MEANWHILE...
STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE FROM INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA UP THROUGH ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-
SU REGION...KEEPING THESE AREAS MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
THIS EVENING AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT FILTERS ACROSS THE AREA. BLOWING
SNOW CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT
VISIBILITIES WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE EARLY THIS EVENING AS SNOWFALL
TAPERS OFF. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 60 MPH WILL BE SEEN THROUGH THE
EVENING BEFORE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX AND WIND
GUSTS DROPPING INTO THE 35 TO 50 MPH RANGE AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH
THE STRONGEST GUSTS REMAINING OVER COASTAL LOCATIONS. THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL LIKELY REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE HEADING INTO
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING
SEA SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT MEANDERS SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL AND WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WILL LIKELY BE OBSERVED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

LOOKING SOUTH TOWARD BRISTOL BAY...THE HIGH WIND WARNING VERIFIED
THIS MORNING WITH 2 TO 3 HOURS OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS AT
PORT HEIDEN BUT OBSERVATION SITES (AT SEA LEVEL) HAVE FAILED TO
REPORT HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS SINCE THIS MORNING. WHILE THE
WIND GUSTS HAVE NOT BEEN OBSERVED BY AN OBSERVING SITES...IT IS
STILL LIKELY THAT LOCATIONS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND WESTERN
CAPES SAW SPORADIC WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. WENT AHEAD AND
CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING A FEW HOURS EARLY AS THE FRONT
THAT BROUGHT THE STRONGEST WINDS HAS SHIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA.
STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW HAS KEPT MUCH OF THE INLAND LOCATIONS
OF BRISTOL BAY ON THE DRY SIDE...ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
ABLE TO MAKE IT INTO KING SALMON AND A FEW OTHER AREAS. THESE
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND
AS THE LOW IN BRISTOL BAY MAKES LITTLE PROGRESS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ADIABATIC WARMING AND DRYING ON THE
LEE SIDE OF THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. THIS WILL KEEP THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE ABOVE FREEZING AND TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN WITH THE LOW OVER
SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH LATE SATURDAY WHEN THE LOW
FINALLY BEGINS TO DISSIPATE. A SHOT OF 60 TO 65 MPH WINDS WILL BE
SEEN ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING SEA. THE ISALLOBARIC FLOW SHOULD HELP STRENGTHEN THE WINDS
THROUGH NIKOLSKI AND DUTCH HARBOR BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL BE CLOSER TO NIKOLSKI AT THIS TIME. THE STRONG WINDS
WILL DIMINISH ON SATURDAY AS ISALLOBARIC FLOW WEAKENS AND THE LOW
MEANDERS TO THE EAST A BIT. A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF
GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ANYWHERE AS STRONG AS THE
LOW THAT BROUGHT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO ADAK LAST NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MOVING INTO NEXT WEEK ALL GUIDANCE IS TRENDING TOWARDS A DEEP
SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE BERING. HOWEVER...THE OPERATIONAL RUNS ARE
STRUGGLING WITH THE TIMING OF THIS FEATURE AND WHETHER OR NOT TO
KEEP IT AS A CONSOLIDATED LOW. BECAUSE OF THIS THE ENSEMBLE MEANS
WERE PREFERRED FOR NEXT WEEK WHICH HAVE BEEN CLOSE TOGETHER AND
CONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN. THE ENSEMBLES TRACK THE LOW INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING BY LATE MONDAY WHERE IT SITS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.
THIS LOOKS TO BRING PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE BERING FOR THE
WEEK. IT WILL ALSO BRING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND WHICH WILL KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST. THE CONSTANT SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD ALSO KEEP
TEMPERATURES FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA AT OR
ABOVE NORMALS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW 125.
MARINE...GALE 127 129 132 139 140 150-171 177 178 179 181 185.
         STORM 119 120 125 172-176 180.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181.
&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1017 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     SNOW             8 NW HOMER              59.72N 151.68W
12/25/2015  M8.5 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HR TOTAL. SNOW DEPTH 18 INCHES

&&

KUTZ