Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 162, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 5, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 5, 2015, 3:37 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 5, 2015, 3:37 PM AKST (00:37 UTC)
Expired
Dec 7, 2015, 3:15 PM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

295 
FZAK62 PAFC 060037
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
337 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-061415-
337 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW AT 48N 176E AND A 969 MB LOW NEAR 48N 168W WILL
MERGE TO BECOME A BROAD COMPLEX 969 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 53N 167W
SUN AFTERNOON. THE BROAD LOW WILL STAY RELATIVELY STATIONARY OVER
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS AT 967 MB THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-061415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
337 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-061415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
337 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 58N.
.SUN...N TO E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-061415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
337 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015

.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...N TO E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N TO E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-061415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
337 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING 20 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
757 
FZAK62 PAFC 061247
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
347 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-070245-
347 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A BROAD COMPLEX OF LOWS CENTERED NEAR 50N 169W WILL MERGE AND
STRENGTHEN INTO A 965 MB LOW CENTERED OVER DUTCH HARBOR BY MON
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-070245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
347 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF 176E.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF 176E.
.MON...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-070245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
347 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-070245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
347 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

.TODAY...N TO E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-070245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
347 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
053 
FZAK62 PAFC 070014
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-071445-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A BROAD 968 MB LOW CENTERED 50 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE
TO 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 962 MB MON
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 967
MB TUE AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ411-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 26 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ413-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
020 
FZAK62 PAFC 070014 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-071445-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A BROAD 968 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 53N 166W WILL MOVE TO 52N 171W AT
962 MB MON AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 53N 163W AT 967 MB TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 26 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ413-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-071445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
314 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
403 
FZAK62 PAFC 071241
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
341 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-080230-
341 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 963 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THEN
DRIFT TO 51N 158W AT 973 MB LATE TUE NIGHT...LEAVING BROAD LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-080230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
341 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF 176E.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF 176E.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF 176E.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-080230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
341 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 58N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ413-080230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
341 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-080230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
341 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
128 
FZAK62 PAFC 080015
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
315 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-081515-
315 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 962 MB LOW NEAR 53N 170W MOVES TO 53N 162W AT 966 MB TUE
AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMES ABSORBED BY THE 965 MB GULF LOW NEAR 57N
151W WED AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING TUE AFTERNOON AND REMAINS STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-081515-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
315 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF
175E.
.TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.

$$

PKZ412-081515-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
315 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
57N.
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.

$$

PKZ413-081515-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
315 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.

$$

PKZ414-081515-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
315 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
N OF 58N.
.WED...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 5, 5:07 AM AKST, 10 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 5:07 AM AKST, 10 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
507 AM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE MAIN NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM CONTINUES TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE
REGION...KEEPING THE ALASKA REGION OUT OF THE ACTIVE STORM TRACK.
A STRONG AND VERY LARGE LOW EXISTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA...WITH AN ELONGATED TROUGH SOUTH
OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA EXTENDING EASTWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA...THERE IS
A WEAK AND BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE
RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA. OVER SOUTHCENTRAL...A
SERIES OF WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL...AND WILL REACH THE CANADIAN BORDER BY LATE THIS
MORNING. WITH THE WEAKENING OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STRONG NORTHEAST PACIFIC LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...AND INCREASING PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS SOUTHERN
ALASKA...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE HEADING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OUT WEST...THE NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL STRENGTHEN TO AN
IMPRESSIVE 190 KTS AND MOVE EAST...WITH WAVINESS ALONG THE JET
RESULTING IN A SERIES OF LOWS TRACKING INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL
PACIFIC AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY TUESDAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE SCALE
HEMISPHERIC PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEKEND...AND ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE GENERAL IMPACTS REGION WIDE INTO NEXT WEEK...BUT THEY
BEGIN TO DIVERGE WITH THE DEVELOPING DEEP LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA LATE MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY. THEY ALSO DIVERGE
RATHER QUICKLY ACROSS THE BERING WITH RESPECT TO NUMEROUS SMALL
MESOSCALE LOWS WRAPPING AROUND/ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE BERING SEA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...THESE IMPACTS ARE MUCH LOWER AND
OVERALL DO NOT IMPACT THE FORECAST ALL THAT MUCH. THE ECMWF AND
GFS TENDED TO AGREE WITH THE OVERALL PRESSURE PATTERN AND UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN THE BEST...SO THEY WERE FAVORED FOR BOTH THE SHORT
TERM AND EXTENDED...ALTHOUGH SOME NAM WAS FAVORED ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL TO BETTER HANDLE OFFSHORE GAP WINDS HEADING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. FOR THE DEEP LOW LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...A TREND
TOWARD THE GFS AND ECMWF WAS FAVORED...BUT LARGE UNCERTAINTY STILL
CLOUDS THE DEVELOPMENT OF THAT LOW...ALTHOUGH THERE IS NOW
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE LOW WILL EXIST SOMEWHERE IN
THE GULF...JUST LOW CONFIDENCE ON TRACK. NONETHELESS...THAT LOW
WILL LARGELY BE A MARINE IMPACT...WITH A CONTINUED OFFSHORE
PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPING INLAND LOCATIONS LARGELY DRY THROUGH
TUESDAY BEFORE THE REMNANTS OF THE LOW MOVE INLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LAST OF A SERIES OF UPPER SHORT-WAVES IS EXITING TO THE NORTH
TODAY. WITH THE LOSS OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND DEVELOPMENT
OF SURFACE-BASED TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS...AREAS OF STRATUS AND FOG
HAVE FORMED. A RECENT SUOMI-VIIRS NIGHTTIME MICROPHYSICS RGB
SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS A WELL DEFINED AREA AREA OF STRATUS/FOG FROM
THE WESTERN KENAI WITH A NARROW STRIP BANKED UP AGAINST THE CHUGACH
MOUNTAINS FROM ANCHORAGE TO EKLUTNA. THERE LIKELY ARE OTHER AREAS
ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL...BUT MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BLOCKING
THE VIEW. THE LOW SUN ANGLE THIS TIME OF YEAR USUALLY MEANS THIS
STUFF WILL HANG AROUND FOR A WHILE. HOWEVER...EXPECT INCREASING
NORTHERLY WINDS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A WARM
FRONT MOVING UP FROM THE PACIFIC AND TRACKING WESTWARD ACROSS THE
GULF TO KODIAK ISLAND. THUS...GENERALLY EXPECT DIMINISHING CLOUDS
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND AT LEAST PARTIAL EROSION OF FOG/STRATUS
WITH THE INCREASE IN VERTICAL MIXING.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A CUT-OFF HIGH SETTING
UP DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS WILL BE IDEAL
CONDITIONS FOR SIGNIFICANT COOLING OF THE AIR MASS. EXPECT COOLING
TEMPERATURES REGION-WIDE...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN.

CONTINUED ACTIVITY ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND NORTHEAST PACIFIC
COMBINED WITH COOLING OVER INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL WILL LEAD TO
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND DEVELOPMENT OF GAP WINDS ALONG
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH GULF COAST. THERE WILL NOT BE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT TO ADVECT THE COLDER AIR
OFFSHORE. THEREFORE...GENERALLY EXPECT THIS TO BE A WEAK EVENT
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS AND IN THE IMMEDIATE
EXIT OF THE GAPS...BUT NOT MUCH FARTHER. WITH THE COLDEST AIR
SETTING UP IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...THE VALDEZ TO THOMPSON
PASS AREA CAN EXPECT SOME OF THE STRONGEST GAP WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE WITH DRY CONDITIONS WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE POSITIONED OVER THE REGION. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
FILTER IN FROM THE NORTH AND COINCIDE WITH OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH
SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE POSITIONED IN THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER PRODUCING WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COASTLINES. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
WILL BE FARTHER INLAND THROUGH THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BROAD COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
TO CENTRAL ALEUTIAN CHAIN THIS MORNING. THE STRONG 175 KNOT
NORTHWESTERLY ZONAL JET STREAM LOCATED IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
CONTINUES TO DIG INTO THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH BEFORE
TRANSITIONING TO ZONAL FLOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS
WILL KEEP STORMS SOUTH OF THE CHAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OTHERWISE...THE BERING IS PREDOMINANTLY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AND
LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE OVER THE WESTERN
BERING BY LATE TONIGHT. BY SUNDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE INCREASED
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND THE GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE WINDS. THE BERING AND THE
ALEUTIANS WILL BE UNDER A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...MON THROUGH
FRI)...
A BROAD LONG WAVE PATTERN CENTERS NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FOR
THE EXTENDED FORECAST ON MONDAY...SHIFTING SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE
WEEK. THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WILL BE
FOCUSED AROUND THE LOW CENTER THAT DEVELOPS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
ON MONDAY. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY SPIN UP
FROM THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT.
MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM...THEREFORE ONLY MINOR EDITS WERE MADE TO INCREASE WINDS
AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES USING INFLUENCE FROM THE ECMWF WHICH HAD
THE BEST RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. THE 06Z GFS IS STARTING TO ALIGN
BETTER WITH THE ECMWF AND BOTH ARE BRINGING A SURFACE LOW BETWEEN
950-955MB INTO THE EASTERN GULF EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM
IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE KENAI.
ANOTHER STRONG WAVE ENTERS THE WESTERN BERING EARLY WEDNESDAY AND
IS PROJECTED TO MERGE WITH A PACIFIC WAVE WHICH ESSENTIALLY
AMPLIFIES THE LONG WAVE AND SETS A NEW PATTERN INTO MOTION.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 180 181 185.
         GALES 130 138 177 178 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...KH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 5, 3:37 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Dec 5, 3:43 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Dec 5, 3:43 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Dec 5, 4:08 PM AKSTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Dec 5, 10:18 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC17 hr
Dec 6, 3:51 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 6, 3:51 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.