Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2015
Small Craft Advisory 971, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 5, 2015, 10:18 PM AKST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 5, 2015, 10:18 PM AKST (07:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 6, 2015, 3:23 PM AKST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
397 FZAK51 PAFC 060718 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 UPDATED ZONE 121 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-062015- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WILL LIFT NORTH AND WEST TO THE COAST BY SUN MORNING. A 977 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA SUN AFTERNOON WILL TRACK TO 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 984 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-062015- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ120-062015- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ121-062015- RESURRECTION BAY- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-062015- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-062015- PORT VALDEZ- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-062015- VALDEZ NARROWS- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-062015- VALDEZ ARM- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-062015- PASSAGE CANAL- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-062015- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EARLY INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-062015- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-062015- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-062015- CHINIAK BAY- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-062015- MARMOT BAY- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ138-062015- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EARLY INCREASING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-062015- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-062015- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-062015- KACHEMAK BAY- 1018 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
506 FZAK51 PAFC 061246 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-070145- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT. A 955 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA MON AFTERNOON THROUGH MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-070145- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ120-070145- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ121-070145- RESURRECTION BAY- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-070145- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-070145- PORT VALDEZ- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-070145- VALDEZ NARROWS- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-070145- VALDEZ ARM- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-070145- PASSAGE CANAL- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-070145- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-070145- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-070145- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-070145- CHINIAK BAY- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-070145- MARMOT BAY- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ138-070145- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ139-070145- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-070145- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-070145- KACHEMAK BAY- 346 AM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
022 FZAK51 PAFC 070023 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-071315- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... RIDGING PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A 957 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND STALLS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MON AFTERNOON...WHILE THE LOW MOVES TO 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 958 MB TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-071315- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ120-071315- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-071315- RESURRECTION BAY- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-071315- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-071315- PORT VALDEZ- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-071315- VALDEZ NARROWS- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ128-071315- VALDEZ ARM- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-071315- PASSAGE CANAL- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR WHITTIER...W WIND GUSTING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-071315- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY TOWARD KAMISHAK BAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ131-071315- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ132-071315- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ136-071315- CHINIAK BAY- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-071315- MARMOT BAY- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-071315- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ139-071315- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-071315- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-071315- KACHEMAK BAY- 323 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 5, 4:44 PM AKST, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 4:44 PM AKST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
444 PM AKST SAT DEC 5 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA.
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ARE TWO VERTICALLY STACKED LOWS...ONE SOUTH
OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND ONE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.
THERE IS ALSO A WEAK SHORT-WAVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BERING AND
ALASKA PENINSULA...WHICH IS ESSENTIALLY A "BACK DOOR" WARM FRONT
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. FURTHER EAST THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA WITH WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW AT THE LOWER
LEVELS. THERE IS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF MOVING TOWARDS
THE WEST. THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE OVER THE GULF TO BRING SOME
SHOWERS TO KODIAK ISLAND IN NORTHEAST FLOW.
OF NOTE FROM A LARGER WEATHER/CLIMATE PERSPECTIVE IS THE VERY
EXTENDED EAST ASIAN JET (EAJ). THIS IS RUNNING ALMOST DUE EAST
BETWEEN 35 AND 40 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE FROM KOREA TO ABOUT 140
DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE. THE WINDS IN THIS JET EXCEED 190 KTS IN
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC. THIS EXTENDED EAJ IS A COMMON
OCCURRENCE DURING EL NINO YEARS AND IS A SIGN THAT THE CURRENT EL
NINO IS WELL COUPLED WITH THE MID LATITUDE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE
SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN
HOW THEY HANDLE THE INTERACTION OF THE VARIOUS LOWS OVER AND JUST
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN/CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA FROM
SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS DOES NOT HAVE A
LARGE IMPACT ON THE WEATHER FORECAST...BUT DOES INTRODUCE SOME
UNCERTAINTY. WITH THIS IN MIND...THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS NEAR
NORMAL FOR THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA AND A BIT ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA MAINLAND.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK AND ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE WILL
USHER HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. DEPENDING ON
THE AMOUNT OF INSOLATION PROVIDED...FOG WHICH HAS DEVELOPED AROUND
SUNSET THIS AFTERNOON...OR IN SOME PLACES HAS PERSISTED SINCE
THIS MORNING...MAY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AS THESE CLOUDS MOVE
OVERHEAD TONIGHT. AS OF 3 PM...VIIRS NPP POLAR SATELLITE DETECTED
THIS FOG EXTENDING FROM THE KNIK AND LOWER MATANUSKA RIVER VALLEYS
SOUTH ALONG THE WESTERN CHUGACH RANGE TO EAST ANCHORAGE...THEN
DEVELOPS AGAIN FROM POTTER MARSH THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM DOWN TO
PORTAGE AND PERHAPS TURNAGAIN PASS. ANOTHER BATCH OF LOW CLOUDS
AND FOG EXISTS ALONG THE STERLING HIGHWAY FROM NEAR SOLDOTNA EAST
TO NEAR COOPER LANDING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE IMPACTED AREAS IN ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY UNTIL 6
AM AKST TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS FOG...WITH THE MAIN IMPACTS BEING
SLICK ROADS FROM THE FOG DEPOSITING ICE ON THE ROADWAYS...MAINLY
ALONG THE GLENN HIGHWAY...AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A CUT-OFF HIGH SETTING
UP DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
THIS WILL BE IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR SIGNIFICANT COOLING OF THE AIR
MASS. EXPECT COOLING TEMPERATURES REGION-WIDE...WITH THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING.
CONTINUED ACTIVITY ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND NORTHEAST
PACIFIC COMBINED WITH COOLING OVER INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL IS
LEADING TO TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND DEVELOPMENT OF GAP
WINDS ALONG PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH GULF COAST. THERE
WILL NOT BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT TO ADVECT THE
COLDER AIR OFFSHORE. THEREFORE...GENERALLY EXPECT THIS TO BE A
WEAK EVENT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS AND IN THE
IMMEDIATE EXIT OF THE GAPS...BUT NOT MUCH FARTHER. WITH THE
COLDEST AIR SETTING UP IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...THE VALDEZ TO
THOMPSON PASS AREA CAN EXPECT SOME OF THE STRONGEST GAP WINDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...SUN AND
MON)...WEATHER WILL REMAIN COLD AND RELATIVELY CALM...ESPECIALLY
FOR DECEMBER...FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS THE BROAD LONGWAVE
TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...A WEAK SHORTWAVE
RIDGE WILL ACTUALLY BUILD OVER THE MAINLAND. WITH THE COLD AIR
ALREADY IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHWEST...THIS WILL CREATE A MODERATE
OFFSHORE SURFACE GRADIENT. THIS WILL CAUSE THE NORTH TO EAST WINDS
TO CREEP UP SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
WESTERN CAPES OF BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A WEAK WARM
FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA LATE SUN INTO MONDAY. THIS COULD BRING A SHOT OF LIGHT
SNOW INTO THOSE AREAS. BUT AS IT USHERS IN THE WARMER AIR...EXPECT
THE SNOW TO CHANGE QUICKLY TO RAIN. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO HELP
TEMPERATURES OVER THE MAINLAND TO SLOWLY MODIFY TO START THE WEEK.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...SUN AND
MON)...THE BEST WAY TO SUM UP THE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS IS COMPLICATED BUT LOW-IMPACT. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
SET-UP IN THE VICINITY OF DUTCH HARBOR. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
LOW THERE WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND WARMER AIR BEING
ADVECTED FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. SNOW SHOWERS WILL TURN TO RAIN
SHOWERS AS FAR NORTH AS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. ON THE WEST
SIDE...THERE WILL BE COLD AIR SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS. SEVERAL WEAK PIECES OF ENERGY WILL ROTATE ACROSS
THE BERING IN A CYCLONIC/COUNTER-CLOCKWISE FASHION AROUND THE LOW
CENTER. MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT SOME OF THIS ENERGY COULD PRODUCE
A POLAR LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY
BRING A NARROW BAND OF STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SUN.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...MON THROUGH FRI)...
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING THAT HAS BEEN A
SEMI-PERMANENT FEATURE LATELY WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT INTO THE GULF
AND DEEPEN EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A GALE (OR POTENTIALLY
STORM FORCE) LOW INTO THE GULF BY LATE MONDAY WHICH WILL PERSIST
IN THE GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK UNDER
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THIS WILL KEEP MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER
CONFINED TO THE GULF AND EASTERN BERING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THIS WILL BRING GENERALLY OFFSHORE FLOW
AND CLEAR SKIES FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL...WHILE OVER THE
BERING...BROAD NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING COLD AIR
ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA. BY LATE NEXT WEEK THERE IS
VERY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THE GULF LOW WILL DISSIPATE
SOMEWHERE AROUND THE NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING INCREASING
CHANCES FOR SNOWFALL TO THE SOUTH MAINLAND.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...DENSE FOG 101 111.
MARINE...GALES 130 138 160 177 178 180 181 185
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 180 181 185.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...DEKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 3:37 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Dec 5, 3:37 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Dec 5, 3:43 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 5, 3:43 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 5, 4:08 PM AKST | Dense Fog Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 6, 3:51 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 6, 3:51 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.