Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015
Storm Warning 160, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 26, 2015, 5:55 PM AKST. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 26, 2015, 5:55 PM AKST (02:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 27, 2015, 3:05 PM AKST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
610 FZAK51 PAFC 270255 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 UPDATED ZONE 119 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-271515- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 997 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 50 NM WEST OF KODIAK CITY AT 982 MB LATE THU NIGHT...THEN MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY FRI AFTERNOON. ANOTHER WEAKER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE FRI NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-271515- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 45 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ120-271515- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-271515- RESURRECTION BAY- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-271515- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-271515- PORT VALDEZ- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-271515- VALDEZ NARROWS- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-271515- VALDEZ ARM- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR THE SOUND. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR THE SOUND IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-271515- PASSAGE CANAL- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-271515- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-271515- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-271515- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ136-271515- CHINIAK BAY- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-271515- MARMOT BAY- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-271515- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-271515- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-271515- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-271515- KACHEMAK BAY- 555 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
150 FZAK51 PAFC 271301 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-280230- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY FRI AFTERNOON. ANOTHER WEAKER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE FRI NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY SAT AFTERNOON AND REMAINS THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ119-280230- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT SE 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ120-280230- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-280230- RESURRECTION BAY- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-280230- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-280230- PORT VALDEZ- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-280230- VALDEZ NARROWS- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-280230- VALDEZ ARM- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR THE SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-280230- PASSAGE CANAL- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-280230- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT...DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-280230- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-280230- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ136-280230- CHINIAK BAY- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-280230- MARMOT BAY- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-280230- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-280230- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-280230- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-280230- KACHEMAK BAY- 401 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
437 FZAK51 PAFC 280005 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-281245- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 976 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK MOVES TO 70 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AS A 997 MB LOW SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATES SUN AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SWEEPS INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA BY SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-281245- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ120-281245- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ121-281245- RESURRECTION BAY- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-281245- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. GUSTS 45 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT DURING THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-281245- PORT VALDEZ- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-281245- VALDEZ NARROWS- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-281245- VALDEZ ARM- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-281245- PASSAGE CANAL- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-281245- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-281245- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ132-281245- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ136-281245- CHINIAK BAY- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-281245- MARMOT BAY- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ138-281245- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-281245- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-281245- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-281245- KACHEMAK BAY- 305 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 26, 4:34 PM AKST, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 26, 4:34 PM AKST, 1 hour 21 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
434 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES OVER
THE REGION WITH THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND ENTIRELY WITHIN THE DEEP
SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER WESTERN
CANADA AND A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA.
WITHIN THIS PATTERN...A WELL-DEFINED UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ON ITS WAY
TOWARD THE YUKON. THIS IS THE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT UP TO ONE-HALF
INCH OF RAIN TO THE ANCHORAGE AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY AIR WRAPPING
INTO THE BACK OF THIS SYSTEM HAS RESULTED IN SUBSIDENCE ALOFT OVER
THE BRISTOL BAY...KENAI PENINSULA...AND ANCHORAGE AREAS...RESULTING
IN AREAS OF FOG. AN EQUALLY SHARP SHORTWAVE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE LONGWAVE RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA EXTENDS ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF AND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE NORTHERN
BERING...ALSO MOVING NORTH AND INLAND. ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS LOCATED IN THE NORTH PACIFIC AND WILL MOVE NORTH TOWARD
SOUTHERN ALASKA THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING INLAND FRIDAY.
FURTHER WEST...THE STRONGEST SYSTEM ON THE WEATHER MAP IS A
STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A 970 MB SURFACE LOW JUST SOUTH
OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEMS CIRCULATION ENCOMPASSES
MOST OF THE BERING REGION...BUT IS CURRENTLY WEAKENING...WITH
STORM FORCE WINDS LARGELY DIMINISHING TO STRONG GALES OVER OUR
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GREAT SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT UNTIL SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WHEN DISCREPANCIES BEGIN TO EMERGE WITH THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE
SHORTWAVE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF
THE EASTERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA INTO CANADA. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES
QUICKLY NORTH INTO THE GULF THIS EVENING AND MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TONIGHT AND THEN INTO THE NORTHERN BERING BEFORE STALLING
OUT BETWEEN SAINT MATTHEW AND NUNIVAK ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE SUBSEQUENT SYSTEM MOVES NORTH IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THIS
DISTURBANCE INTO THE GULF EARLY TOMORROW (FRIDAY MORNING) AND WILL
MOVE ALMOST DUE NORTH TOWARD THE INTERIOR. THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP
REINFORCE THE EXISTING BARRIER JET ALONG THE COAST BEFORE IT MOVES
INLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE...THE LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES
TO WEAKEN BEFORE CURVING NORTHEAST TOWARD THE AKPEN AND KODIAK AND
THEN BECOMING ABSORBED INTO THE NEXT LOW MOVING ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS THIS WEEKEND. THIS NEXT LOW WILL BRING A LARGE AREA OF
GALES TO THE ALEUTIAN REGION WITH SOME LOCALIZED STORM FORCE WINDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE COMES IN FROM THE GULF TONIGHT SPREADING
RAIN FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF COAST. THE COOK
INLET REGION WILL REMAIN LARGELY DOWNSLOPED AND DRY WITH THIS
DISTURBANCE...HOWEVER SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN COULD MAKE IT
TO THE SURFACE...NOTHING MAJOR. A BRIEF PERIOD OF FOGGY CONDITIONS
AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA WILL LINGER THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS PICK UP AND MIX THE LOW ATMOSPHERE A BIT.
ANOTHER TROUGH SWINGS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TOMORROW...KEEPING RAIN
GOING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST...AND ALSO USHERS IN A NEW AIR
MASS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY. THIS AIR MASS IS AN UNSTABLE
ONE AND WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY IN MOST AREAS
AROUND THE SOUTHCENTRAL. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL
GENERALLY BE WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN...HOWEVER IN THESE PATTERNS
HEAVIER BOUTS OF PRECIPITATION WILL LEAD TO PERIODIC CHANGEOVER TO
SNOW AS COLD AIR GETS DRAGGED DOWN.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONT OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA MOVES NORTH TONIGHT SPREADING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE AS
SNOW AND RAIN ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
NORTH AND WEST OF DILLINGHAM WITH UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS EAST FACING
MOUNTAINS. AS THE FRONT MOVES NORTH TONIGHT STRONG EASTERLY FLOW
INCREASES AND CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY. THIS FLOW BRINGS IN A
SLIGHTLY WARMER PACIFIC AIR MASS JUST OFF THE SURFACE. THERE WILL
BE A CHANCE FOR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ALONG
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...HOWEVER LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AS
THE FRONT WEAKENS RAPIDLY ON ITS NORTHWARD TRACK. SCATTERED RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS ANOTHER SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPS LATE FRIDAY ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THEN LIFTS
SLOWLY NORTH.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SURFACE LOW ALONG THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MOVES TO THE ALASKA
PENINSULA TONIGHT BRINGING RAIN...SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH
FRIDAY. GALE WINDS ACROSS THE MARINE AREAS ALONG THE WESTERN
BERING AND ALEUTIANS WILL TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS EARLY SATURDAY.
GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS CONTINUE INTO
EARLY SATURDAY AND THEN THE SURFACE LOW WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN BERING.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
STARTING OFF THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD...THE MODELS ARE IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL PATTERN GIVEN BEING 3 DAYS OUT.
THE PATTERN FEATURES A VERY BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ANCHORED OVER
THE BERING SEA. MEANWHILE LOBES OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY REVOLVING
CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE CENTER OF THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
BERING WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND GULF
OF ALASKA. A HIGHLY ENERGETIC SUBTROPICAL JET SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE FLOW AS AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHICH IS ALSO ONE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LOBES
OF ENERGY...PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN GULF SATURDAY NIGHT.
WITH TIME THE MODELS PREDICTABLY BEGIN DIFFERING MORE AND MORE ON
WHERE THE INDIVIDUAL UPPER-LEVEL FEATURES ARE...WHICH IN TURN
IMPACTS WHERE EACH MODEL DEPICTS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER...THE BROAD PATTERN INDICATES A GRADUAL SOUTHWARD DRIFT OF
THE SUBTROPICAL JET FURTHER FROM THE ALEUTIANS...WITH GRADUAL
EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL COLD AIR TOWARD MAINLAND
ALASKA.
THE RESULT OF THIS PATTERN FAVORS AN EVENTUAL RETURN TO MORE
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA...THOUGH IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE PATTERN ALSO DOES NOT FAVOR INTRUSIONS OF
BITTERLY COLD AIR INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA. WITH THE CENTER OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND
GENERAL RIDGING EAST OF THE AREA...THAT PATTERN ALSO TENDS TO
FAVOR ACTIVE WEATHER WITH RELATIVELY FREQUENT ROUNDS OF
PRECIPITATION.
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119.
GALE WARNING 120 125 128 129 130 131 132 139 155 170 171
172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 181 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...181 185.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 3:09 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Nov 26, 3:09 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Nov 26, 3:09 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 26, 3:27 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 26, 3:27 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 29 hr | |
| Nov 27, 3:40 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 27, 3:51 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Nov 27, 3:51 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 27, 4:01 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Nov 27, 4:01 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 11 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.