Gale Warning 814, NWS Anchorage, AK

074 
FZAK52 PAFC 270218 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

UPDATED ZONE 150 160 171 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271530-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF NIKOLSKI MOVES TO 75 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAND POINT AT 975 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS INTO A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. A 977 MB LOW FORMS NEAR QUINHAGAK FRI
AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 75 NM WEST OF HOOPER BAY AT 980 MB SAT
AFTERNOON. A 983 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA LATE FRI NIGHT
MOVES TO 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA AT 973 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271530-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271530-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND
15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271530-
BRISTOL BAY-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271530-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 20 KT IN THE
MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271530-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271530-
UNALASKA BAY-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271530-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271530-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271530-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271530-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271530-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271530-
ADAK TO KISKA-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271530-
KISKA TO ATTU-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271530-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271530-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271530-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. AND PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-271530-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
518 PM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

686 
FZAK52 PAFC 271251
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280145-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 970 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WEAKENS INTO A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AS IT DRIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF BY
SATURDAY. A 977 MB LOW FORMS 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF NUNIVAK FRI
AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 90 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW AT 982
MB SUN MORNING. A 970 MB LOW 440 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA EARLY SAT
MOVES TO 110 NM SOUTH OF ATKA AT 976 MB SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-280145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT ALONG THE COAST.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT ALONG THE COAST. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT ALONG THE COAST. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280145-
BRISTOL BAY-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10
FT E OF PORT MOLLER IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280145-
UNALASKA BAY-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY FROM SHEMYA W.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. S OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 20 KT
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
ALONG THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-280145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
351 AM AKST FRI NOV 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
544 AM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING OVER KODIAK ISLAND IS
BRINGING RAIN THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE SOUTH MAINLAND TO THE EAST OF
THE ALASKA RANGE UNDER DEEP...MOIST...AND WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE
EXCEPTION TO THIS REMAINS FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SUSITNA
VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN WHICH CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE
SNOWFALL...THOUGH RAIN IS STARTING TO MIX AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS
THE COLUMN WARMS. A GALE FORCE COASTAL JET AND TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT AHEAD OF THIS LOW IS STILL BRINGING HEAR HIGH WINDS TO
GAP WIND AREAS OF THE GULF COAST SUCH AS TURNAGAIN ARM. WINDS OVER
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL HAVE HOWEVER HAVE WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY SINCE
YESTERDAY AS THE LOW POSITION NEAR KODIAK ISLAND IS BRINGING
STRONGER DOWN INLET FLOW. CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL IN THE AREA
HOWEVER ARE KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST AREAS
OVERNIGHT. BEHIND THE LOW...SKIES ARE CLEARING UNDER WEAKENING WINDS
AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES IN FROM THE EASTERN BERING. THIS IS A
VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER AS THE NEXT SYSTEM IS ALREADY
PASSING THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE
TRACKING INTO NORTH PACIFIC TODAY...KEEPING ACTIVE WEATHER FOR
MUCH OF THE SOUTH MAINLAND INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GREAT SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT UNTIL SATURDAY
MORNING WHEN THERE BEGIN TO BE DISCREPANCIES WITH THE TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THERE
ARE HOWEVER SOME SMALL SCALE ISSUES IN THE EARLY TERM...MAINLY
WITH REGARDS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THIS MORNING.
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAD BROUGHT THIS PRECIPITATION AS FAR WEST AS
DILLINGHAM...HOWEVER RECENT MODELS HAVE TRENDED MUCH FURTHER TO
THE EAST...KEEPING MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION CONFINED TO EASTERN
BRISTOL BAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF KODIAK HAS BEEN BRINGING
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT...WITH SNOW
FALLING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA. AS THIS LOW PROGRESSES
TOWARDS MATANUSKA VALLEY TODAY...THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE GULF OF ALASKA
COAST...WITH HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THOMPSON PASS. IN
CONTRAST...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ACROSS
THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...AND AS A RESULT THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELED.

IN ADDITION TO SUPPORTING HEAVY PRECIPITATION...THIS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL INCREASE WINDS THROUGH LOCAL GAPS...AND SUPPORT
SUFFICIENT WINDS FOR DOWNSLOPING ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA BY THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK WAVE WILL
AGAIN ENHANCE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COAST BEGINNING EARLY
FRIDAY AND CONTINUING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE WILL ALSO
INCREASE PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND BRING GAP WINDS BEGINNING EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE REMNANTS OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER COOK INLET
WILL BRING WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE INTO THE REGION RESULTING IN MIXED
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE ALEUTIAN RANGE
THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY. BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING A STORM FORCE
LOW WILL BE LOCATED NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WITH AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
MOVING INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA REGION. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE
WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE BRISTOL
BAY INTERIOR. THIS WILL BRING PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN
AND WILL MOVE SPREAD NORTHWARD. THE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL BE COOLER RESULTING IN A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND
FREEZING RAIN AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STORM FORCE LOW LOCATED NEAR ATKA THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK PARALLEL ALONG THE CHAIN BEFORE MOVING NEAR THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINDS IN THE BERING SEA WILL SHIFT
FROM NORTHEASTERLY TO PREDOMINANTLY NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION BY
FRIDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ALONG THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME
ALONG THE CHAIN AND THROUGHOUT THE BERING SEA HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THAT BY FRI EVENING THE LOW
MOVING ALONG THE ALEUTIANS WILL REACH THE AKPEN...AND THEN MOVE
INTO THE EASTERN BERING WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE ALONG THE COAST
SAT AFTERNOON. THE NEXT LOW...HOWEVER...CONTAINS ABUNDANT TROPICAL
MOISTURE FROM THE WESTERN PACIFIC AND AS A RESULT IS INCREASING
MODEL UNCERTAINTY. THE GFS AND EC BRING THE LOW TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS ON SAT...AND THEN THEY HINT AT MOVING THE LOW TO THE
EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS WITH DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS. WPC UTILIZED
THEIR ENSEMBLE APPROACH...KEEPING THE LOW SOUTH OF THE CHAIN AS IT
TRAVELS TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AND EASTERN BRISTOL BAY TUE THROUGH
THU. THE FORECAST USES THIS SOLUTION...ESPECIALLY CONFIDENT
IN THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE LOW.

THE EAST DOMAIN WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG, WARM,
SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SAT WITH THE FIRST LOW...AND THEN AGAIN
LATE SAT INTO WED WITH THE SECOND. THIS WILL BRING RAIN TO THE
COAST CHANGING TO SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND COPPER
RIVER BASIN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

THE WEST WILL HAVE SMALL CRAFT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE INITIAL
LOW AND THEN POTENTIAL GALES EARLY NEXT WEEK ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THE SECOND LOW. RAIN ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SECOND LOW
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CHAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW ON THE BACKSIDE BEGINNING SUN AND LASTING THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORMS 119 177
         GALES 120 125 130 155 165 170 171 172 173 174
         175 176 178 185 351 352 411 412 413 414
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180 181

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1015 AM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 AM     SNOW             32 NNE CHASE            62.90N 149.84W
11/26/2015  M10.0 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CHULITNA AIRPORT OBSERVER REPORTS 10 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
            SNOWFALL SINCE 10PM LAST NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW ONGOING WITH
            IMPROVING VISIBILITIES UP TO 3/4 MILE. TOTAL SNOW DEPTH
            NOW 83 INCHES. CURRENT TEMPERATURE IS 33 DEGREES.

&&

JPW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1019 AM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

AKZ101-270100-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA
1019 AM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...EXTREMELY SLICK ROADS REPORTED IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA...

BE ALERT FOR EXTREMELY SLICK ROADS AS BLACK ICE HAS BEEN REPORTED
BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTERS AROUND PARTS OF THE
ANCHORAGE AREA. SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING
AND HAVE COMBINED WITH AIR TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR FREEZING
TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS BLACK ICE FORMATION.

CAUTION IS ADVISED IF YOU MUST TRAVEL ON AREA ROADWAYS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE USE EXTRA FOLLOWING DISTANCE AND ALLOW
PLENTY OF EXTRA SPACE FOR BRAKING WHEN COMING TO A STOP.

CASSELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1019 AM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

AKZ101-262230-
ANCHORAGE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA
1019 AM AKST THU NOV 26 2015

...EXTREMELY SLICK ROADS AND SIDEWALKS REPORTED IN THE ANCHORAGE
AREA...

BE ALERT FOR EXTREMELY SLICK ROADS AND SIDEWALKS AS BLACK ICE HAS
BEEN REPORTED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTERS AROUND PARTS
OF THE ANCHORAGE AREA. SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR BELOW
FREEZING AND HAVE COMBINED WITH AIR TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR
FREEZING TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS BLACK ICE FORMATION ON EXPOSED
SURFACES.

CAUTION IS ADVISED IF YOU MUST TRAVEL ON AREA ROADWAYS AND
SIDEWALKS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE USE EXTRA FOLLOWING
DISTANCE AND ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA SPACE FOR BRAKING WHEN COMING
TO A STOP.

CASSELL