Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 146, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 19, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 19, 2015, 3:23 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 19, 2015, 3:23 PM AKST (00:23 UTC)
Expired
Nov 21, 2015, 2:59 PM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

273 
FZAK51 PAFC 200023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201300-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF BY
LATE FRI MORNING. A 988 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK FRI AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE TO NEAR VALDEZ LATE FRI NIGHT AT 983 MB...THEN MOVE INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-201300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING
SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201300-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201300-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201300-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201300-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS EVENING DIMINISHING TO
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
565 
FZAK51 PAFC 201249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210200-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN
GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN. A 988 MB LOW 90 NM WEST OF SITKINAK
THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK TO 15 NM SOUTHEAST OF VALDEZ AT 983 MB
TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INLAND.


$$

PKZ119-210200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210200-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TODAY...WIND BECOMING SW 15 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO
10 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO
15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210200-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN IN
THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210200-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210200-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN
IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT THIS MORNING THEN NE 10 KT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
602 
FZAK51 PAFC 210023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211300-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 60 NM WEST OF KING SALMON WILL MOVE TO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND TONIGHT THEN CONTINUE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST. A 1008 MB LOW
WILL FORM IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 90 NM
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY SUN AFTERNOON AS IT DISSIPATES TO A TROUGH.

$$

PKZ119-211300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211300-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211300-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211300-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO W 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211300-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO W 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN
BECOMING SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
412 
FZAK51 PAFC 211246
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220215-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL MOVE INLAND
AND WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING. A 1017 MB LOW IN THE SHELIKOF
STRAIT SUN MORNING WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND AT 1022 MB SUN NIGHT AS IT DISSIPATES TO A TROUGH.

$$

PKZ119-220215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT...BECOMING W 30 KT BEFORE NOON...WITH GUSTS
TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220215-
PORT VALDEZ-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220215-
VALDEZ ARM-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220215-
CHINIAK BAY-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220215-
MARMOT BAY-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
346 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
075 
FZAK51 PAFC 211603 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

UPDATED ZONES 125 127 128 129 137 138 139 140 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220430-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL MOVE INLAND
AND WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING. A 1017 MB LOW IN THE SHELIKOF
STRAIT SUN MORNING WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND AT 1022 MB SUN NIGHT AS IT DISSIPATES TO A TROUGH.

$$

PKZ119-220430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS 
AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT BY AFTERNOON. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF WESTERN 
BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220430-
PORT VALDEZ-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220430-
VALDEZ ARM-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR
WHITTIER. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN 
THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 20 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220430-
CHINIAK BAY-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220430-
MARMOT BAY-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
703 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
985 
FZAK51 PAFC 212359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221300-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A 1017 MB LOW WILL FORM OVER THE WESTERN GULF
SUN MORNING AND TRACK TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN EVENING...BEFORE
EXITING TO THE NORTHEAST GULF MON MORNING. A STRONG FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE WESTERN GULF ON MON.

$$

PKZ119-221300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF WESTERN 
BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221300-
PORT VALDEZ-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221300-
VALDEZ ARM-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221300-
CHINIAK BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221300-
MARMOT BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W WIND 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 19, 5:12 AM AKST, 10 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 5:12 AM AKST, 10 hours 11 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
512 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE ARCTIC AIR MASS THAT HAS EXTENDED OVER MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA
IS FINALLY BEING PUSHED BACK NORTH AS A FRONT FROM A DEEP BERING
LOW IS PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THIS SYSTEM FOLLOWS BEHIND A
WEAKER ONE THAT HAS DISSIPATED BUT HAS PRODUCED LINGERING SNOW
AROUND THE SOUTHCENTRAL. THE MAIN LOW IS SUPPORTED ALOFT BY A
STRONG 175 KT JET HELPING TO MOVE IT EAST. IT ALSO HAS A LONG
FETCH OF WARMER AIR BEING PULLED UP FROM THE SOUTH.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS HAVE A DECENT GRASP OF THE BERING LOW AND ITS IMPACTS
FOR TODAY BUT MOVING OUT IN TIME THEY STRUGGLE WITH THE NEXT LOW
MOVING TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. THE NAM MOVES THIS NEXT
SYSTEM FASTER THAN THE OTHERS WHILE THE GEM LAGS BEHIND WITH THE
EC AND GFS IN THE MIDDLE. THIS DISCREPANCY LOWERS CONFIDENCE IN
WHEN THE NEXT BATCH OF PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE IT TO MAINLAND
ALASKA SOMETIME ON FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF AN
APPROACHING WEATHER FRONT FROM THE WEST WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY BEGINNING THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING
UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE PERIODS OF
MODERATE SNOW ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA INTO THE EVENING HOURS
TODAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FAIRLY HEAVY TONIGHT OVER THE
VALDEZ ZONE WITH THE ONSET OF MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW. THE DEGREE OF
WARMING AND EXACT PRECIPITATION TYPES CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN
FORECAST CHALLENGE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THE CURRENT THINKING IS
WARM ADVECTION AND TURBULENT MIXING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN KENAI PEN
WILL PRODUCE MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL
SPREAD NORTH TO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL LATE THIS EVENING AND MATANUSKA
VALLEY ON FRI. PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTH GULF WILL BECOME
MIXED AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH THE COLD AIR IN THE VALDEZ
ZONE WILL BE SLOW TO SCOUR OUT. SNOW OR MIXED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS MANY AREAS ON FRI BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN FRI
NIGHT.

STRONG GAP FLOWS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL SYSTEM TODAY AND
TONIGHT WITH MAINLY OF THE MARINE AREAS IN THE UPPER SMALL CRAFT
TO GALE FORCE RANGE. THERE WILL ALSO LIKELY BE A NARROW BAND OF
STORMS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT OVER THE NORTH GULF
WATERS TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG FRONT WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERN COAST OF ALASKA
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TRACK FURTHER INLAND THROUGHOUT THE DAY
TODAY...BRINGING NOT ONLY A SURGE OF WARM AIR AND MIXED
PRECIPITATION...BUT ALSO BRINGING THE STRONG AND PROLONGED
ONSHORE WINDS THAT ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME WATER "PILING UP"
ALONG THE COAST. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BOTH
THE BRISTOL BAY AND DELTA COASTLINES DURING THE DAY TODAY. THE
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WITH THIS STORM WILL FALL INITIALLY AS
SNOW...BUT TRANSITION TO RAIN OVER BRISTOL BAY AND COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE DELTA. SNOW WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION
TYPE OVER THE LOW-LYING AREAS OF THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THIS
MORNING...AS THERE SEEMS TO BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF RESIDUAL COLD AIR
TRAPPED IN THESE AREAS. HOWEVER...WITH WITH THE WARMER SOUTHERLY
AIR SURGING INTO THE AREA...THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF SOME RAIN
TO MIXING IN IN THE AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL QUICKLY FIND ITS WAY BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND FRIDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM TRACKS ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC AND SPREADS SNOW BACK INTO THE
BRISTOL BAY AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG STORM FORCE LOW ENTERING THE CENTRAL BERING THIS MORNING
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA COAST TONIGHT...WITH THE ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST COAST TRACKING INLAND BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST
CORE OF STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY IMPACTING THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS...AND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO STRONG GALES TO MIN STORM
FORCE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS FURTHER EASTWARD TODAY. ANOTHER GALE
FORCE LOW WILL TRACK ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN AND SNOW TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...ALONG
WITH SOME COLDER AND GUSTIER NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER...ALTHOUGH LESS THAN OPTIMAL...AGREEMENT
WITH THE LOW EXPECTED TO MOVE THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA AND INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. BROADLY...THE 12Z
MODEL RUNS PLACE A SURFACE LOW FRIDAY NIGHT OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL
ALASKA WITH THE 12Z GFS/NAM PLACING A LOWER 980S MB LOW OVER THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST THAT MOVES INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
OVERNIGHT FRIDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE ECMWF IS SLOWER WITH A
DEEPER LOW OVER THE BRISTOL BAY REGION THAT MOVES FURTHER INLAND
BEFORE CURVING EASTWARD INTO THE YUKON. THE 18Z RUN OF THE GFS IS
APPROXIMATELY THE SAME STRENGTH AND POSITION AS THE 12Z RUN...SO
ON DAY 3 THE GFS GUIDANCE IS PREFERRED. THUS...USING THE GFS
SOLUTION...SNOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND ON FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. IN THE
COOK INLET REGION...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING AS A RAIN/SNOW MIX BEFORE RAPIDLY TRANSITIONING TO ALL
SNOW AS THE LOW MOVES EASTWARD AND THE REGION FALLS INTO THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE
ANCHORAGE AREA...BUT DUE TO THE UNCERTAINLY IN THE TRACK OF THE
LOW...IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCUSS POTENTIAL SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE
COOK INLET REGION AT THIS TIME. AS THIS LOW MOVES INTO THE YUKON
TERRITORY ON SATURDAY...MOST OF SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL STAY IN A
COLD SHOWERY PATTERN AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER THE EASTERN BERING
SEA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

FURTHER WEST...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING A STRONG LOW
IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA NEAR THE COMMANDER ISLANDS LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA
BY TUESDAY WHILE ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT ARCS EASTWARD THROUGH THE
BERING SEA AND WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BRING AT LEAST GALE FORCE WINDS WITH
HIGH SEAS THROUGH MOST OF THE BERING AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD.
THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO HAVE A DEEP SOUTHERLY CONNECTION TO THE
SUB-TROPICS.

FINALLY...AT THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...THE REMNANTS OF EX-
TYPHOON IN-FA WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC OCEAN. AS
WITH MOST FORMER TROPICAL SYSTEMS...MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH THE
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND TRACK. DUE TO THE LOW CONFIDENCE IN
THE DETAILS WITH THIS SYSTEM AT DAY 7...LITTLE DETAIL WAS INCLUDED
IN THE FORECAST OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE.

THE GFS WAS USED FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON DAY 3 AS A
MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO WPC GUIDANCE FOR
DAYS 4-7.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...101.
         WINTER STORM WARNING...145.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...125 131.
         HIGH SURF ADVISORY...155 161.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...128 128 139
         STORM WARNING...131 132 150 155 170 173 175 185
         GALE WARNING...119 120 130 136 137-139 141 160 165 172
                        174 176-181

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...RF/MMC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 19, 3:10 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 19, 3:10 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Nov 19, 3:10 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC61 hr
Nov 19, 3:23 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 19, 3:23 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 20, 3:49 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC27 hr
Nov 20, 3:49 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.