Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 790, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 20, 2015, 3:34 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 20, 2015, 3:34 AM AKST (12:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 21, 2015, 3:39 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
485 FZAK52 PAFC 201234 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-210200- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 982 MB LOW IN NORTON SOUND MOVES INLAND AND WEAKENS THIS AFTERNOON. A 992 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF ADAK QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS EVENING AT 984 MB. A 1010 MB LOW 340 NM WEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO TOKSOOK BAY AT 1012 MB SAT NIGHT. A 1005 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA FRI NIGHT MOVES TO 190 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 978 MB SAT NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-210200- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ155-210200- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT W 45 KT IN THE EVENING FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ160-210200- BRISTOL BAY- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ165-210200- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ170-210200- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ171-210200- UNALASKA BAY- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ172-210200- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT W OF UNALASKA. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT W OF UNALASKA. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ173-210200- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ174-210200- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ175-210200- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ176-210200- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ177-210200- ADAK TO KISKA- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 37 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ178-210200- KISKA TO ATTU- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ179-210200- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ180-210200- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ181-210200- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-210200- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 334 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
606 FZAK52 PAFC 210015 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-211315- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 1011 MB LOW 240 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MOVE TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND SAT NIGHT AND INLAND THEREAFTER. A 1015 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL INTENSIFY TO 995 MB 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA SAT AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA INTENSIFYING TO 973 MB SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-211315- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ155-211315- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-211315- BRISTOL BAY- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ165-211315- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ170-211315- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-211315- UNALASKA BAY- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-211315- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ173-211315- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ174-211315- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ175-211315- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-211315- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ177-211315- ADAK TO KISKA- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ178-211315- KISKA TO ATTU- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-211315- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ180-211315- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ181-211315- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-211315- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
408 FZAK52 PAFC 210121 CCA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-211315- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 1011 MB LOW 240 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MOVES TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND SAT NIGHT AND INLAND THEREAFTER. A 1015 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL INTENSIFY TO 995 MB 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA SAT AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA INTENSIFYING TO 973 MB SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-211315- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ155-211315- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-211315- BRISTOL BAY- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ165-211315- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ170-211315- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-211315- UNALASKA BAY- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-211315- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ173-211315- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ174-211315- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ175-211315- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-211315- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ177-211315- ADAK TO KISKA- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 34 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ178-211315- KISKA TO ATTU- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-211315- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ180-211315- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ181-211315- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-211315- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 315 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
605 FZAK52 PAFC 211239 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-220115- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 1012 MB LOW 325 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND 60 NM NORTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 1015 MB TONIGHT. A 1003 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA TONIGHT...THEN FURTHER INTENSIFY TO 966 MB NEAR 350 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-220115- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ155-220115- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-220115- BRISTOL BAY- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ165-220115- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. .SUN...W OF PORT MOLLER...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF PORT MOLLER...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ170-220115- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-220115- UNALASKA BAY- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ172-220115- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ173-220115- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ174-220115- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ175-220115- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. .MON...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-220115- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ177-220115- ADAK TO KISKA- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 22 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 38 FT. .MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ178-220115- KISKA TO ATTU- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 21 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 33 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-220115- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ180-220115- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ181-220115- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING ALONG THE COAST. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING ALONG THE COAST. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-220115- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 339 AM AKST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 19, 4:55 PM AKST, 10 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 4:55 PM AKST, 10 hours 39 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 455 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... THE MAJOR WEATHER FEATURE INFLUENCING THE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY IS A LARGE AND MATURE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WITH A SPRAWLING ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING OVER MOST OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE AS STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...CHANGING MOST PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. MEANWHILE...STRONG WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LARGE CIRCULATION ARE PRODUCING VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS AROUND DUTCH HARBOR AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS INTO THE AKPEN. THESE WILL ALL BE DIMINISHING WITH TIME AS THE ENTIRE WEATHER SYSTEM PROGRESSES QUICKLY EASTWARD. TO THE EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EVIDENT ON THE KENAI AND MIDDLETON RADARS AS A SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER AIR MASS MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH AND IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD ISENTROPIC ASCENT. THIS IS QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO HEAVIER AND MORE DYNAMICALLY-DRIVEN PRECIPITATION AS THE FRONT IS BEGINNING TO CROSS THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES INTO COOK INLET. HEAVY SNOW HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO FALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT IS ADDING TO ALREADY IMPRESSIVE VERTICAL MOTIONS. MEANWHILE...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAVE MADE THEIR INITIAL APPEARANCE AROUND KACHEMAK BAY WILL BEGIN TO RE-ORIENT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND COOK INLET OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... MODELS ARE FINE-TUNING THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED IN COOK INLET THIS EVENING BUT REMAIN LARGELY ON THE SAME PAGE. ADDITIONALLY...THERE IS INCREASING AGREEMENT REGARDING A SECOND STORM THAT WILL TRACK RAPIDLY INTO AND THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE ECMWF HAD BEEN AN OUTLIER IN PREVIOUS RUNS WITH A MORE NORTHERN TRACK THROUGH UPPER COOK INLET THAT WOULD HAVE RESULTED IN RAIN OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN MANY OF THE POPULATION CENTERS. LATEST RUNS HAVE NOW TRENDED A BIT SOUTHWARD...AND IT NOW LOOKS LIKE THE WESTERN KENAI TO ANCHORAGE AND UP INTO THE MAT-SU VALLEYS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR MOST SNOW DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...WITH ACCUMULATION OF SNOW LOOKING INCREASINGLY LIKELY. HI-RESOLUTION MODELS (GEM-REGIONAL AND NAM) ARE USEFUL AND WERE USED IN THE FORECAST PREPARATION TODAY. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... WARM AIR AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL WORK THEIR WAY UP COOK INLET THIS EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG FRONT. WINDS THROUGH WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM HAVE ALREADY BECOME QUITE STRONG...AND WILL REACH THEIR PEAK INTENSITY SHORTLY BEFORE FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND 9 PM THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND ALSO OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SNOWFALL IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN KENAI WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT UNTIL THE FRONT ITSELF APPROACHES THIS EVENING. AS THE FRONT PASSES THE AREA A BAND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION...LIKELY IN THE FORM OF SNOW...SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DROP A FEW INCHES OF SNOW BEFORE GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS MOVE INTO ANCHORAGE FROM TURNAGAIN ARM AND WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK. AT THIS SAME POINT TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO RISE ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM...ENDING THE BLOWING SNOW THREAT...THOUGH HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TURNAGAIN PASS. THE NEXT STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING STORM FORCE WINDS WITH IT. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK UP SHELIKOF STRAIT EARLY FRIDAY EVENING THEN CONTINUE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN KENAI PENINSULA COAST TO ARRIVE IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WITH THE STRONG WESTERLY JET SUPPORT AND GOOD COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE SYSTEM AM EXPECTING TO SEE MIXED PRECIPITATION TURNING RAPIDLY OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. WILL NEED TO WATCH QPF AMOUNTS CLOSELY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE CURRENT MODEL TRACKS FOR THIS LOW ARE FAVORABLE FOR BRINGING ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT ROUND OF SNOW INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE STRONG FRONT WHICH MOVED INLAND TODAY IS SHIFTING EAST...WITH STEADY RAIN AND SNOW TURNING MORE TO RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AS A COLD UPPER LOW BEHIND THE FRONT MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. SHOWERS WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY COAST. A FAST MOVING LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOST OF THE RAIN AND SNOW WILL IMPACT THE BRISTOL BAY AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY REGIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS KICKING UP BEHIND THIS LOW. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION...WITH TEMPS AGAIN FALLING BELOW FREEZING REGION WIDE. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY AS NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)... A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OFF OF NUNIVAK ISLAND IS WEAKENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET EVOLVES INTO A MORE DIRECTLY SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED FLOW. THIS IS EFFECTIVELY DIMINISHING THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE SUPPORTING THE STORM...THUS CONTINUED WEAKENING OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED. ALSO WITH THE STORM BEING VERTICALLY STACKED...ANY TEMPERATURE GRADIENTS THAT MAY KEEP THE STORM STRONG HAVE LONG BEEN MIXED OUT BY THE BROAD CIRCULATION. THE STORM IS GENERATING INSTABILITY SOUTH OF THE LOW AS POLAR AIR MOVES OVER THE WARMER WATERS OF THE BERING...PRODUCING LOCALIZED STORMS THAT ARE PRODUCING OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. THE NEXT BIG WEATHER MAKER FOR THE BERING IS A NORTH PACIFIC LOW CURRENTLY DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT FOR THIS STORM IS MUCH MORE FAVORABLE AS THE JET INTENSIFIES AND ROUNDS THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THIS ARC SHAPE TO THE JET STREAK FAVORS ADDITIONAL SUPPORTING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FOR THAT STORM IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. ADDITIONALLY...THE LOW IS TRACKING ALONG A VERY ROBUST BAROCLINIC ZONE...ALSO KNOWN AS AN AREA WITH A STRONG TEMPERATURE GRADIENT. THE LOWER LEVEL TEMPERATURE CONTRASTS BETWEEN THE WARM AIR SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LOW AND THE POLAR AIR OVER THE BERING NORTH OF THE LOW FUELS THE STORM. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOW...PRIMARILY ON THE NORTH PACIFIC SIDE OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ANOTHER FAR WEAKER LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A FEW GALES POSSIBLE WITH THAT FEATURE. ANOTHER VERY STRONG LOW ENTERS THE WESTERN BERING SUNDAY. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)... BY THE START OF THE MIDTERM...SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL BE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WHICH WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA...KEEPING THE REGION IN A COLD AND SHOWERY PATTERN THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. AS THIS LOW MOVES FURTHER EAST...GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WILL FALL BELOW GALE FORCE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST...A FAST MOVING LOW WILL RACE ACROSS THE BERING SEA INTO THE Y-K DELTA ON SUNDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHWEST ALONG WITH GALE FORCE WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL WATERS. THE MAIN STORY IN THE MID TO LONG TERM IS THE LARGE LOW ENTERING THE FORECAST AREA NEAR SHEMYA ON SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SEVERAL DAYS ON THE GENERAL STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS LOW. FOR THIS FORECAST...AT DAY 3 A BLEND OF THE GFS AND EC WAS USED BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO THE WPC FORECAST AT DAY 4. WINDS ALONG THE FRONT ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE STORM FORCE AS THE LOW INTENSIFIES INTO THE 965-970 MB RANGE BEFORE MOVING TO THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SEA NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY MONDAY EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SWEEP RAPIDLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE BERING SEA...PASSING THROUGH THE PRIBILOFS AND THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ON MONDAY MORNING. AS DISCUSSED PREVIOUSLY...THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO HAVE A DEEP SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO IT...WHICH WILL POTENTIALLY BRING HEAVY PRECIPITATION ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHCENTRAL BY TUESDAY...LIKELY BRINGING SNOW INLAND WITH RAIN IN COASTAL AREAS. WITH MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT...THE FORECAST TRENDED TO MOSTLY WPC FOR THE DAY 4-6 WITH SOME BLENDING OF THE GFS ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE BERING. WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY THE FORECAST BECOMES LESS CERTAIN. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GROSS AGREEMENT IN MAINTAINING THE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC WHILE AT THE SAME TIME BRINGING A LOW UP FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA. DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD...THE REMNANTS OF EX-TYPHOON IN-FA ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. MODELS ARE IN COMPLETE DISAGREEMENT ON THE TIMING...STRENGTH...AND LOCATION OF THE REMAINS ON IN-FA. WITH THIS IN MIND...THE FORECAST FOR DAYS 6-7 USED THE WPC FORECAST WHICH SHOWS SOME SORT OF CYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND DOES NOT INCLUDE THE LOW MOVING ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE. CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME IS LOW IN THE DAY 6-7 FORECAST DUE TO THE WIDE MODEL SPREAD IN THE HANDLING OF IN-FA. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 131 132 150. GALE WARNING 125 130 136 137 138 139 141 155 160 165 170 172 180 185. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA/JW LONG TERM...RF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 3:10 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 19, 3:10 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 19, 3:10 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Nov 19, 3:23 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 19, 3:23 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 19, 3:23 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 20, 3:34 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 20, 3:49 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 27 hr | |
| Nov 20, 3:49 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr |
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Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.