Storm Warning 142, NWS Anchorage, AK

378 
FZAK52 PAFC 180009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181315-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 MB LOW 425 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING AND WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BY WED
AFTERNOON. A 977 MB LOW 275 NM WEST OF ATTU ISLAND LATE TUE NIGHT
MOVES TO 75 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 971 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN
TO 75 NM WEST OF HOOPER BAY AT 975 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-181315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-181315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-181315-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT EAST 15 KT ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST...EAST WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-181315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-181315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ171-181315-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-181315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ173-181315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ174-181315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ175-181315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ176-181315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ177-181315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT.

$$

PKZ178-181315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 24 FT
BUILDING TO 34 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
34 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ179-181315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ180-181315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ181-181315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND IN
THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-181315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO
40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 40 KT.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 50 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

565 
FZAK52 PAFC 181209
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-190045-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 996 MB LOW 230 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND DISSIPATES THIS
AFTERNOON. A 976 MB LOW 330 NM WEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 140 NM
NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA AT 971 MB THIS EVENING THEN TO 80 NM NORTH OF
HOOPER BAY AT 977 MB THU EVENING. A 995 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL
MOVE TO 360 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-190045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-190045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-190045-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ165-190045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-190045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-190045-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-190045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ173-190045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-190045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ175-190045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-190045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-190045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
28 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ178-190045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
BERING SIDE...SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 34 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 34 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ179-190045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ180-190045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-190045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-190045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO
40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 50 KT.
SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 50 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

385 
FZAK52 PAFC 182353
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191230-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 MB LOW 130 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO 190 NM
NORTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 973 MB THU AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL
THEN MOVE INTO NORTON SOUND THU NIGHT AT 980 MB AND BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. A 995 MB LOW WILL FORM 240 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ADAK THU EVENING AND MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF KODIAK
CITY AT 988 MB FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-191230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191230-
BRISTOL BAY-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
27 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191230-
UNALASKA BAY-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 29 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
30 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
27 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17
FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-191230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 55 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY
W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN THE
AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

778 
FZAK52 PAFC 191205
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200130-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 972 MB LOW 250 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO
NORTON SOUND THU NIGHT AT 979 MB...THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
WHILE WEAKENING TO 988 MB FRI NIGHT. A 996 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW
575 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 25 NM SOUTHWEST
OF COLD BAY AT 985 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO THE WESTERN
GULF OF ALASKA FRI EVENING AT 983 MB.

$$

PKZ150-200130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200130-
BRISTOL BAY-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 26
FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200130-
UNALASKA BAY-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 32 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN
THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
511 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE
MAINLAND WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND THE
LOW CENTER. THIS IS A VERY DRY TROUGH HOWEVER...WHICH HAS ALLOWED
FOR CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
SEASON SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. AT THE SURFACE A WEAK
LOW IS FORMING OVER THE GULF...WHICH ALONG WITH A TIGHT THERMAL
GRADIENT PRODUCED FROM COLD AIR ENTRENCHED THROUGHOUT THE SOUTH
MAINLAND IS BRINGING GUSTY GAP WINDS TO THE GULF COAST. THE STRONGEST
OF WHICH ARE OCCURRING FROM WHITTIER TO KODIAK ISLAND WHERE STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION AND JET SUPPORT IS PRESENT. THE FIRST OF TWO
SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS JUST SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MOVING INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE OTHER
IS BEGINNING TO ENTER THE BERING FROM EASTERN SIBERIA...WHICH CAN
BEGIN TO BE SEEN WITH SNOW SHOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL BERING SPREADING EASTWARD TOWARDS THE PRIBILOFS. OVER THE
WESTERN BERING THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW NEAR
THE KAMCHATKA COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON THIS EASTWARD
TRACK TODAY AND BRING A PATTERN CHANGE TO THE MAINLAND BY MID
WEEK.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING WHEN
THEY BEGIN TO HAVE PROBLEMS WITH THE LOW CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE
NORTH CENTRAL BERING. THEY HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH THIS MORNINGS 12Z MODEL RUNS WITH THE POSITION OF THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN BERING. PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS
HAD BROUGHT THIS MUCH FURTHER TO THE NORTH INTO SIBERIA...WHILE
THE EC/NAM/GEM GLOBAL WERE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS LOW
WOULD MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE JET. THE 12Z GFS HAS SINCE COME IN
MUCH MORE IN LINE WITH THE REST OF THE MODELS...THOUGH THERE STILL
ARE SOME MINOR TIMING DIFFERENCES...ESPECIALLY WITH REGARDS TO
TIMING OF PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND ON WEDNESDAY. THE
12Z MODELS HAVE ALSO COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE
TRACK OF ANOTHER LOW THAT WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FIRST LOW IN THE
BERING ON THURSDAY...AND ARE NOW IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THIS LOW WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND ON THURSDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE FORMATION OF A SMALL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THIS EVENING WILL
TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL
STRENGTHEN WINDS TO STRONG WIND LEVELS TONIGHT...PARTICULARLY
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
ALONG COOK INLET AS PRECIPITATION BAND OSCILLATES NEAR THE KENAI
PENINSULA SHORE. ON TUE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS SOUTHCENTRAL FINDS
ITSELF BENEATH A WEAK RIDGE BETWEEN SYSTEMS. BY TUE NIGHT THE
NEXT FRONT FROM THE BERING LOW MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST AK...WITH
OVERRUNNING CLOUDS SPREADING EAST OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. ON WED
SNOW MOVES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND THE KENAI PENINSULA...BUT DOES NOT
REACH THE ANCHORAGE AREA UNTIL EARLY WED EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...TUE AND
WED)...THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MOST OF THE MAINLAND WILL REMAIN UNDER RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AND
VERY COLD CONDITIONS TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ALONG THE COAST FROM THE
DELTA SOUTH THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA...A QUICK HITTING "POLAR
FRONT" WILL MAKE FOR DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. A FEW POLAR
VORTICES HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THIS FEATURE. AS THEY PASSED
THROUGH THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THEY BROUGHT A VERY BRIEF BLAST OF
BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS. THEY CIRCULATIONS WILL BE VERY
COMPACT...BUT IF THEY WERE TO HIT A POPULATION CENTER...THEY WOULD
BRING VERY GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS. THE WORST
CONDITIONS LOOK TO REMAIN OVER THE WATERS OF BRISTOL BAY. AFTER
THIS CLEARS THE AREA TUE MORNING...WE SHIFT OUR ATTENTION TO A
WEAK WARM FRONT COMING ACROSS THE BERING. THIS SHOULD BRING SNOW
TO THE AREA STARTING ALONG THE WESTERN CAPES BY TUE EVENING.
THE ZONAL JET PUSHES THE LOW CENTER ITSELF QUICKLY ACROSS THE
BERING AND BRINGS THE REST OF THE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION INTO
THE MAINLAND ON WED. WHILE MOST INLAND LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN
SNOW...WE COULD START TO SEE SOME RAIN MIX IN ALONG THE COAST AND
ALASKA PENINSULA AS A WEAK PUSH OF WARM AIR MOVES IN FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC.

COASTAL FLOODING COULD ALSO BE A CONCERN LATER THIS WEEK. AS THESE
TWO STORMS TRACK QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST...THEY WILL BRING A
LONG FETCH OF WESTERLY SWELL TOWARD THE WEST COAST. THE SECOND
STORM IS THE STRONGER OF THE TWO AND TAKES THE MORE FAVORABLE
TRACK FOR A HIGHER SURGE. MODELS ARE NOW SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR
A STORM SURGE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE HIGHEST ASTRONIMCAL TIDE. THAT
SAID...THE EXACT SURGE WOULD BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE STORM
TRACK. MODELS HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING WITH EXACTLY WHERE THE LOW WILL
MOVE INLAND. SO WHILE CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN EXACT TIMING AND
HEIGHT OF THE SURGE...IT IS LIKELY THAT WATER LEVELS WILL RISE
ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE WEST COAST LATER THIS WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...TUE AND
WED)...A POTENT ZONAL JET OVER THE ALEUTIANS WILL MAKE FOR AN
ACTIVE PATTERN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FIRST LOW IS DEVELOPING
NORTH OF SHEMYA. IT IS HELPING TO CREATE SOME GALE FORCE
SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING. IT IS
ALSO BRINGING THE FIRST SHOT OF APPRECIABLE WARM AIR TO THE BERING
THAT WE HAVE SEEN IN ABOUT A WEEK. PRECIPITATION HAS TURNED OVER
TO ALL RAIN FOR SHEMYA. THIS LOW WILL TRACK QUICKLY ACROSS THE
BERING AND DRAG ITS GALE FORCE FRONT ACROSS THE ENTIRE CHAIN. IT
WILL ALSO BRING A FAIRLY BROAD SWATH OF PRECIPITATION THAT WILL
START AS SNOW BUT SHOULD TURN OVER TO RAIN FOR MOST LOCATIONS. THE
NEXT LOW WILL DEVELOP VERY NEAR SHEMYA ON WED. THIS STORM SHOULD
BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND BRING SOME STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE LONG RANGE FORECAST IS A STORM SYSTEM
THAT QUICKLY DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WEDNESDAY...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK. THIS STACKED SYSTEM ADVECTS A MUCH WARMER AIR
MASS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE BERING WHICH WILL BRING RAIN
ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING...INITIALLY MIXED WITH SNOW ACROSS THE
PRIBILOFS AND ALASKA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

THE FRONT PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH
THE WARMER AIR ALOFT SURGING INLAND AT A FASTER PACE. THERE IS
STILL A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN HOW FAR NORTH THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
MOVES...SO CONSERVATIVE EDITS WERE MADE TODAY USING A BLEND OF
THE ECMWF AND GFS WHICH INTRODUCES THE WARMER CONDITIONS FURTHER
NORTH. POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN COLD AIR ADVECTS
IN ON FRIDAY. EARLY THURSDAY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE WESTERN GULF AND SOUTHERN KENAI WITH SNOW ALONG THE NORTHERN
KENAI BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH THE
HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE EVENING HOURS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. CONTINUED SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THE SURFACE LOW LOSES MOMENTUM AS IT CROSSES INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF.

THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING ON SUNDAY.
TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM WAS SLOWED DOWN BY THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLES AS
RIDGING IN BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS AMPLIFIES OVER THE MAINLAND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...121 126 127 129 130 138 139 160
								180 181 185.
	GALE...121 126 127 129 130 131 132 136 137 138 150
	155 165 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...KH