Storm Warning 140, NWS Anchorage, AK

500 
FZAK51 PAFC 131625 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

UPDATED 131 136 137

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140515-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 968 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WEAKENS TO TO A BROAD 997 MB
LOW 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-140515-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE 
COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE 
COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-140515-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-140515-
RESURRECTION BAY-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-140515-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY 
W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-140515-
PORT VALDEZ-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-140515-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-140515-
VALDEZ ARM-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-140515-
PASSAGE CANAL-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT 
NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-140515-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ131-140515-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-140515-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT EXCEPT NW 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-140515-
CHINIAK BAY-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-140515-
MARMOT BAY-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-140515-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-140515-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS 
AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-140515-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-140515-
KACHEMAK BAY-
725 AM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

280 
FZAK51 PAFC 140050
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141415-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WEAKENS IN PLACE TO A BROAD 997
MB LOW LATE SAT NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATES MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-141415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-141415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-141415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-141415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-141415-
PORT VALDEZ-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-141415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-141415-
VALDEZ ARM-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-141415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-141415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-141415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
BARREN ISLANDS.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-141415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-141415-
CHINIAK BAY-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-141415-
MARMOT BAY-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-141415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-141415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-141415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
350 PM AKST FRI NOV 13 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
444 PM AKST THU NOV 12 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE REMNANTS OF THE HURRICANE FORCE LOW THAT PASSED FROM THE
ALEUTIANS INTO THE GULF YESTERDAY EVENING CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER
THE EASTERN GULF AND VERY SLOWLY WEAKEN. A CENTRAL PRESSURE
AROUND 960 MB ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE LOW ARE
ALLOWING FOR WIDESPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF...INCLUDING
MANY OF THE GAP WIND AREAS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. OVER THE
BERING SEA BROAD COLD AIR ADVECTION WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
IS BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE BERING SEA REGION. OVER
THE EXTREME BERING/SOUTHWEST COAST A DEFORMATION BAND CONTINUES TO
BRING CLOUDCOVER TO THE AREA...BUT IT WAS WEAKENED ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE ONLY SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS. OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL BERING...A
WEAK SHORTWAVE IS MOVING SOUTHEASTERLY TOWARDS THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS. THIS WAVE WILL BRING STEADY SNOW TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE PROGRESSING TOWARDS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS LATE THIS EVENING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BOTH THE DISSIPATION
OF THE GULF LOW AND STRENGTHENING OF ANOTHER LOW MOVING INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING ON FRIDAY. AS A RESULT THE HIGHER RESOLUTION
MODELS SUCH AS THE NAM WERE GENERALLY PREFERRED FOR THE FORECAST
AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY...WITH ASSISTANCE FROM THE ARW FOR
SMALL SCALE FEATURES. THIS IS RESULTING IN GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE
OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF INTO
THIS WEEKEND. OVER THE BERING THE GLOBAL GFS AND EC WERE USED TO
CONTINUE INCREASING THIS LOW TO GALE FORCE WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STORM FORCE LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF LOOKS TO REMAIN
STATIONARY JUST OFF SHORE NEAR YAKUTAT AND WEAKEN AS WE HEAD INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE
OFFSHORE STRONG GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY GAP FLOW WINDS.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE AND
BRING MORE COOLER AIR FROM THE NORTH AND WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN
THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS. THEREFORE...LOOK FOR CONTINUED GUSTY
STRONG GAP WINDS THROUGH WHITTIER...BARREN ISLANDS...THOMPSON PASS
AND THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AS WE RECEIVE MORE COLD AIR ADVECTION
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS WILL USHER IN MORE COLDER AIR FROM
THE NORTH WHICH WILL LEAD TO SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE REGION AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. BY SATURDAY THE
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A RIDGE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING AND A LOW IN THE NORTHERN
GULF WILL BRING NORTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TIGHTENS SLIGHTLY IN RESPONSE TO THE
ADVANCING RIDGE...KEEPING STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA
TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK INVERSION JUST OF THE
SURFACE SETS UP EACH NIGHT...THIS WILL BE LIMITED TO WIND SHELTERED
AREAS TONIGHT. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES FROM THE WEST COAST
TO THE ALASKA RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVES TO THE EAST WITH ZONAL FLOW BEHIND IT. A NEW
SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN BERING FRIDAY...WITH GALE
STRENGTH WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MUCH OF THE BERING AND
ALEUTIANS AS RIDGE TIGHTENS THE GRADIENT AS IT TRACKS JUST TO THE
SOUTH. SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW KEEPS
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS AS THE
LOWERS LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE STAY NEAR SATURATION...HOWEVER
ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE IS LIMITED DUE
TO THE SHALLOW NATURE OF MOISTURE ADVECTION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
ANOTHER POTENT UPPER LOW DROPPING OUT OF EASTERN RUSSIA THIS
WEEKEND WILL HELP TO REINFORCE THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA AND KEEP A VERY COLD AIR MASS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
COOK INLET REGION AND THE THE MAT-SU TO WELL BELOW ZERO OVER THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND AS THE BULK OF THE ENERGY REMAINS CONFINED TO
THE GULF. THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT MODEL DISCREPANCIES OVER THE
STRENGTH AND PLACEMENT OF A SURFACE LOW FORMING OVER THE GULF
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LOW DIVES DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
THE EVOLUTION OF THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND THE STRENGTH OF OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE
GULF COAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO SLOWLY MODERATE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AS
TRANSITORY RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST AND USHERS IN WESTERLY
UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

MEANWHILE...THE BERING WILL REMAIN IN A SHOWERY REGIME THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK IN UNSTABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH. A KAMCHATKA LOW WILL THEN MOVE TOWARDS THE
BERING STRAIT ON TUESDAY AND SWING A GALE FORCE FRONT ACROSS THE
BERING AND ALEUTIANS DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 121 127 128 129 130 131 132 136 137 138 150 155
165 170 172 173 174 175 177 178 185. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...CB