Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015
Storm Warning 138, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 11, 2015, 3:03 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 11, 2015, 3:03 AM AKST (12:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 11, 2015, 3:12 PM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
059 FZAK52 PAFC 111203 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-120130- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 966 MB LOW 70 NM NORTHWEST OF FALSE PASS MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF AKHIOK AT 962 MB THIS AFTERNOON THEN MOVES EAST INTO THE GULF. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH THU. $$ PKZ150-120130- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT...EXCEPT 40 KT N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-120130- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 65 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 43 FT EXCEPT 37 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-120130- BRISTOL BAY- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-120130- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ170-120130- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ171-120130- UNALASKA BAY- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 85 KT DIMINISHING TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ172-120130- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 70 KT DIMINISHING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF UNALASKA...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 34 FT SUBSIDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ173-120130- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ174-120130- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ175-120130- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ176-120130- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ177-120130- ADAK TO KISKA- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ178-120130- KISKA TO ATTU- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ179-120130- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-120130- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ181-120130- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ185-120130- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N AND W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
068 FZAK52 PAFC 111804 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED 150 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-120430- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 966 MB LOW 70 NM NORTHWEST OF FALSE PASS MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF AKHIOK AT 962 MB THIS AFTERNOON THEN MOVES EAST INTO THE GULF. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH THU. $$ PKZ150-120430- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-120430- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 65 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 43 FT EXCEPT 37 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-120430- BRISTOL BAY- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-120430- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ170-120430- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ171-120430- UNALASKA BAY- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 85 KT DIMINISHING TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ172-120430- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 70 KT DIMINISHING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF UNALASKA...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 34 FT SUBSIDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ173-120430- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ174-120430- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ175-120430- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ176-120430- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ177-120430- ADAK TO KISKA- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ178-120430- KISKA TO ATTU- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ179-120430- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-120430- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ181-120430- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ185-120430- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 904 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N AND W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
112 FZAK52 PAFC 120012 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-121245- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 964 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK MOVES TO THE CENTRAL GULF AT 961 MB THU MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH THU EVENING. A 1010 MB LOW OVER KAMCHATKA THU EVENING THEN MOVES TO 210 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1000 MB FRI AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-121245- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT BECOMING NW BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 42 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-121245- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 55 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 48 FT SUBSIDING TO 40 FT TOWARD MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ160-121245- BRISTOL BAY- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-121245- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ170-121245- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ171-121245- UNALASKA BAY- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ172-121245- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ173-121245- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ174-121245- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-121245- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ176-121245- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ177-121245- ADAK TO KISKA- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ178-121245- KISKA TO ATTU- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ179-121245- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ180-121245- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ181-121245- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ185-121245- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 312 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 10, 4:49 PM AKST, 10 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 4:49 PM AKST, 10 hours 14 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
449 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE JET IS READILY APPARENT WITH ONE
LOOK AT THE IR SATELLITE. IT IS STREAMING ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
BETWEEN 140-150 KTS. IT IS PROVIDING SOME UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT TO
THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING CYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO AS THE LOW INTERACTS WITH THE LEFT EXIT JET REGION
THROUGH THE DAY INTO TONIGHT. THE JET THEN TRACKS OFF TO THE EAST
AND DIVES SOUTHEAST IN THE GULF BEFORE TURNING SHARPLY BACK TO THE
NORTH AGAIN ALONG THE PANHANDLE. THIS IS KEEPING THE BROAD
LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND WITH COLD AIR ALOFT. THIS COLD
AIR IS CONTINUING TO TRIGGER SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE GULF WHERE THE WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE HELPED PRODUCE SOME LIGHTNING THIS
MORNING. THESE SHOWERS HAVE QUICKLY DROPPED VISIBILITY AT TIMES
AND PUT DOWN SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AT SOME OF THE POPULATION
CENTERS. A FEW WEAK WAVES OF ENERGY CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE
DECAYING LOW NEAR THE SEWARD PENINSULA ARE SWINGING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE STATE IN THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW AS WELL.
THESE ARE SERVING TO CONSOLIDATE THE SHOWERS AT TIMES...BUT JUST
ABOUT ALL AREAS WILL BE VULNERABLE TO A BRIEF SHOT OF SNOW OR A
RAIN/SNOW MIX CLOSER TO THE COAST.
A FEW SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ASCAT(SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS) PASSES
OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS CONFIRM THAT THE DEEPENING STORM IS ON
TRACK. SOUTHWEST GUSTS TO 60 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT ADAK AND
THINGS WILL ONLY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS SOME STRATOSPHERIC AIR
GETS PULLED DOWN INTO THE LOWER LEVELS.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE SHOWING GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE. THIS IS MAKING FOR MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
MANY OF THE BIG PICTURE ITEMS. THIS INCLUDES WARNING LEVEL WINDS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND PARTS OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. IT
ALSO INCLUDES THE TRACK OF THE LOW INTO THE GULF IN THAT IT LOOKS
LIKE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL STAY CONFINED TO THE COASTAL
REGIONS. SOME OF THE LESS CERTAIN ITEMS WHERE MODELS DISAGREE ARE
HOW COLD THE AIRMASS STAYS OVER ST PAUL ISLAND AND EXACTLY WHAT
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL FALL OVER THE GULF COAST LOCATIONS. FOR ST
PAUL...MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE TO NAIL DOWN THE EXACT
PRECIPITATION TYPE. BUT AS OF THE 18Z RUNS...THEY HAVE TRENDED
SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD ALLOW MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION THERE TO FALL AS SNOW...ALBEIT A WET HEAVY SNOW.
FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA COAST...THERE IS ALSO SOME UNCERTAINTY.
WE LEANED ON THE FASTER...FARTHER SOUTH SOLUTIONS (EC-GEM
REGIONAL) WITH SUCH A STRONG ZONAL JET. THIS WOULD KEEP PLACES
LIKE THE EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND POSSIBLY EVEN SEWARD ALL SNOW
AS COLD AIR IS PULLED NORTH TO SOUTH OFF THE LAND INTO THE SYSTEM.
BUT A SLIGHT JOG TO THE NORTH COULD DRAMATICALLY CHANGE
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION TYPES.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CENTERED OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND
WILL MOVE EAST INTO CANADA TONIGHT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
WILL LARGELY BE RELEGATED TO THE MOUNTAINS...BUT CONTINUED FAVORABLE
FLOW INTO THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY WILL SUPPORT LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH PARTIALLY CLEARING
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...PATCHY FOG THREATS WILL DEVELOP FROM COOK
INLET NORTH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAVORED VALLEYS AND BASINS.
ATTENTION QUICKLY TURNS TO A FAST MOVING STORM FORCE LOW WHICH
WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE TRACK IS TAKING A SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH TRAJECTORY...WHICH
WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION GENERALLY ALONG THE COAST. VERY STRONG
EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN A VERY WELL DEFINED
DOWNSLOPE SHADOW FOR INTERIOR LOCATIONS...WITH RAIN AND SNOW FOR
COASTAL LOCATIONS...EXCEPT ALL RAIN FOR KODIAK ISLAND. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME OFFSHORE...WITH GAP WINDS INCREASING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THIS EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. WEAK
RIDGING WILL END PRECIPITATION FOR THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA
WED THROUGH THU. THE ALEUTIAN LOW WILL SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE THROUGH THU AS IT MOVES EAST TO
THE AKPEN AND BEYOND.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE ALEUTIAN LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL SPREAD DANGEROUS WINDS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH TONIGHT...THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGH WIND
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS. AS THE LOW MOVES PAST
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT...THE LINE SEPARATING COLD FROM WARM
AIR MASSES WILL LIE BETWEEN SAINT PAUL AND SAINT GEORGE. WIND AND
SNOW OVER SAINT PAUL WILL CREATE AREAS OF LOW VISIBILITY...AND A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WHILE THIS IS HAPPENING...RAIN AND WIND
WILL AFFECT SAINT GEORGE.
OTHERWISE DIMINISHING WIND OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE CHAIN THROUGH THU...WHILE PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL KEEP SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE
SAME PERIOD.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE STRONG LOW
THAT TRACKS FROM THE BERING SEA INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE POSITIONED JUST OFF THE
COAST NEAR YAKUTAT. THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA...PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AND THE NORTHERN COASTAL REGION WILL GET THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION. THERE WILL BE RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE COASTLINE
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW INLAND ALONG THE CHUGACH AND
KENAI MOUNTAINS. THE INTERIOR WILL RECEIVE WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE
FROM THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL FOR THE
MOST PART BE DOWN-SLOPED OUT RESULTING IN DRIER CONDITIONS.
UPSTREAM COLD AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION BY
THURSDAY WITH THE OVERALL WIND FLOW SHIFTING FROM ONSHORE TO
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL
INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS RESULTING IN STRONG GUSTY
NORTHWESTERLY GAP WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF FROM SHELIKOF
STRAIT...BARREN ISLANDS...COOK INLET AND THROUGH THE WHITTIER AND
PORTAGE REGION. HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND THE WINDS WILL BECOME
MORE NORTHERLY AND THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION WILL SEE COOLER
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGIT RANGE COINCIDING AS MORE COLDER
AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION.
THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW RESULTING IN A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DROP DOWN FROM
THE NORTH BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH PRECIPITATION FALLING
AS SNOW SHOWERS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. BY SUNDAY EVENING
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AND THE LOWER WESTERN BERING SEA.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNINGS 181 185 187. BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY 195.
MARINE...HURRICANES 155 170 171 172 173
STORMS 119 120 130 139 150 165 174 175 176 179
GALES 125 127 131 132 136 137 138 140 141 160 177 180.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...PDIn the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 11, 12:20 AM AKST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1220 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ADAK STATION 51.84N 176.64W
11/10/2015 M70.00 MPH AK AWOS
0720 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ATKA 52.24N 174.21W
11/10/2015 M67.00 MPH AK AWOS
&&
JPWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 3:11 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:22 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 10, 3:22 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:22 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:27 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:46 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:46 PM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:46 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 6 days | |
| Nov 10, 3:46 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:03 PM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:03 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:03 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:03 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 25 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:29 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:29 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:29 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.