Small Craft Advisory 331, NWS Anchorage, AK

092 
FZAK51 PAFC 161149 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTEDD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

RETRANSMISSION

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170030-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 MB LOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND 
AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THU. A STRONG FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN
GULF FRI MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-170030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170030-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170030-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170030-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170030-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-170030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

224 
FZAK51 PAFC 162306
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171230-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK TO 75 NM SOUTHEAST
OF COLD BAY SAT AFTERNOON AT 973 MB. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL TRACK OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST FRI AND MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST FRI EVENING. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF COAST BY SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-171230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO
23 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO
22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171230-
PORT VALDEZ-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171230-
VALDEZ ARM-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 40 KT
BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171230-
CHINIAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171230-
MARMOT BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
447 PM AKDT WED APR 15 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF
ALASKA WITH A TRAILING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WITH THESE SYSTEMS IS
CURRENTLY LIMITED TO AREAS NEAR THE COAST. THERE IS AN UPPER LOW
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTAINS MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD. ITS
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS TO THE SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW AND IS
STILL DEEPENING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE BERING SEA
STRETCHING EAST OVER CENTRAL ALASKA. THE MAIN JET STREAM CONTINUES
TO BE STRONG AND FAIRLY ZONAL OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG ABOUT
45 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. WE GENERALLY PREFER THE
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS EARLY (NAM AND GEM REGIONAL) DUE TO THEIR
BETTER HANDLING OF SMALL SCALE DETAILS THEN MORE TOWARDS THE
ECMWF. THE MAIN DIFFERENCES INVOLVE PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
AMOUNT. THIS LOWERS THE CONFIDENCE A BIT BUT IT IS STILL A BIT
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AK LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS THE LOW OVER THE GULF PUSHES
INLAND OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND TRACKS INTO THE SUSITNA
VALLEY. THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
SOMEWHAT LIMITED KEEPING THE PRECIPITATION TYPE MOSTLY RAIN WITH
SNOW MIXING IN AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. PRESSURE RISES
BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
GAP WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH LIFTING NORTH THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY NIGHT WITH ANY
PRECIPITATION CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW AS COLDER AIR FILTERS BACK
INTO THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SYSTEM TRACKING INTO THE GULF FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LOW JUST EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO THE KENAI
PENINSULA BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FARTHER INLAND INTO MATSU VALLEY BY THURSDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING
BY FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED DRIER CONDITIONS WITH
THE NORTHERLY WINDS. THERE WILL BE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ALONG
THE ALEUTIAN RANGE/ALASKA PENINSULA. THE EASTERN INTERIOR OF THE
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXCEPT
FOR NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS BY THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE REMNANTS OF
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DISSIPATING. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON A WEATHER
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BE POSITIONED
THROUGH THE BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR. THIS FRONT WILL BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. AS THIS FRONT TRACKS
NORTHWARD BY SATURDAY MORNING IT WILL BE IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
REGION. THIS WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS FROM BETHEL TO THE
COASTLINE AND ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE. THE
SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE SETTING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING
SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BRISTOL BAY REGION AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN WILL HAVE
NORTHERLY WINDS WITH ISOLATED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING.
UPSTREAM THERE IS A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/BERING
SEA THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH THURSDAY.
FARTHER UPSTREAM JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS A STORM
FORCE LOW. THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK EASTWARD RUNNING PARALLEL TO
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. BY THURSDAY THIS LOW WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF
NIKOLSKI. RESULTING IN GUSTY GALE FORCE EASTERLY WINDS TO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE. BY
FRIDAY EVENING THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE LOCATED THROUGH THE
EASTERN BERING SEA AND INTO THE BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR. THIS WILL
PRODUCE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND SHIFT MORE NORTHERLY BY
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING
IN FRONT OF THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THERE WILL BE
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WITH A WINTRY MIX
OF RAIN/SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE COLDER TEMPERATURES
WILL BE FARTHER NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL BERING. THE SYNOPTIC
FEATURES ARE ALIGNING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY OR BLIZZARD WARNING WITH THE COLDER TEMPERATURES A LARGE
PLUME OF MOISTURE AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS BY SATURDAY MORNING
FOR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE DEEP LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL TURN NORTH SATURDAY AND
MOVE UP ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE STATE. THIS WILL BRING IN
CONTINUED WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTO MONDAY WHEN
THE SURFACE LOW DISSIPATES. ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LOW OVER
THE BERING COLD NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN.
HOWEVER THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH HOW ELONGATED THE LOW BECOMES
ALONG THE WEST COAST WHICH WILL IMPACT THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS
CIRCULATING AROUND THE LOW ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE NEAR
BRISTOL BAY. A MORE CONSOLIDATED LOW CENTER IS THE PREFERRED
CHOICE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...DK