Gale Warning 316, NWS Anchorage, AK

141 
FZAK61 PAFC 161143 CCA
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTEDD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
343 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

RETRANSMISSION

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-170115-
343 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 999 MB LOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND 
AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THE THU. A STRONG FRONT WILL ENTER THE
SOUTHERN GULF FRI MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE
FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-170115-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
343 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 30 TO 45 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ352-170115-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
343 AM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

839 
FZAK61 PAFC 162305
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
305 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-171330-
305 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 977 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK TO 54N 162W SAT
AFTERNOON AT 973 MB. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL CROSS THE
WESTERN GULF THU NIGHT AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY FRI
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRI
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-171330-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
305 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ352-171330-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
305 PM AKDT THU APR 16 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

666 
FZAK61 PAFC 171126
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
326 AM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-180130-
326 AM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON AND REACH
THE NORTHERN GULF SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ351-180130-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
326 AM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 30 TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ352-180130-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
326 AM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

756 
FZAK61 PAFC 172301
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
301 PM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-181330-
301 PM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL REACH THE NORTH
GULF COAST BY SAT MORNING. ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHWEST GULF SUN MORNING AND REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST SUN
AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW NEAR 54N 159W SAT EVENING WILL MOVE
INLAND ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ351-181330-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
301 PM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ352-181330-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
301 PM AKDT FRI APR 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.

$$

721 
FZAK61 PAFC 181149
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
349 AM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-190230-
349 AM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF SUN
MORNING AND REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-190230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
349 AM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ352-190230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
349 AM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$

434 
FZAK61 PAFC 182257
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
257 PM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-191315-
257 PM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE AND MOVE INLAND
THIS EVENING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF SUN
MORNING AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST SUN EVENING.

$$

PKZ351-191315-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
257 PM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ352-191315-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
257 PM AKDT SAT APR 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

101 
FZAK61 PAFC 191153
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
353 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-200200-
353 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND THIS MORNING
AND WEAKEN. ANOTHER FRONT NEAR THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL SLOWLY
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ351-200200-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
353 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ352-200200-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
353 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

796 
FZAK61 PAFC 192309
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
309 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-201315-
309 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A COLD FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO
THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN GULF ON MON.

$$

PKZ351-201315-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
309 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ352-201315-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
309 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
447 PM AKDT WED APR 15 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF
ALASKA WITH A TRAILING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WITH THESE SYSTEMS IS
CURRENTLY LIMITED TO AREAS NEAR THE COAST. THERE IS AN UPPER LOW
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTAINS MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD. ITS
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS TO THE SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW AND IS
STILL DEEPENING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE BERING SEA
STRETCHING EAST OVER CENTRAL ALASKA. THE MAIN JET STREAM CONTINUES
TO BE STRONG AND FAIRLY ZONAL OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG ABOUT
45 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. WE GENERALLY PREFER THE
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS EARLY (NAM AND GEM REGIONAL) DUE TO THEIR
BETTER HANDLING OF SMALL SCALE DETAILS THEN MORE TOWARDS THE
ECMWF. THE MAIN DIFFERENCES INVOLVE PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
AMOUNT. THIS LOWERS THE CONFIDENCE A BIT BUT IT IS STILL A BIT
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AK LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS THE LOW OVER THE GULF PUSHES
INLAND OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND TRACKS INTO THE SUSITNA
VALLEY. THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
SOMEWHAT LIMITED KEEPING THE PRECIPITATION TYPE MOSTLY RAIN WITH
SNOW MIXING IN AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. PRESSURE RISES
BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
GAP WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH LIFTING NORTH THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY NIGHT WITH ANY
PRECIPITATION CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW AS COLDER AIR FILTERS BACK
INTO THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SYSTEM TRACKING INTO THE GULF FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LOW JUST EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO THE KENAI
PENINSULA BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FARTHER INLAND INTO MATSU VALLEY BY THURSDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING
BY FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED DRIER CONDITIONS WITH
THE NORTHERLY WINDS. THERE WILL BE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ALONG
THE ALEUTIAN RANGE/ALASKA PENINSULA. THE EASTERN INTERIOR OF THE
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXCEPT
FOR NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS BY THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE REMNANTS OF
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DISSIPATING. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON A WEATHER
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BE POSITIONED
THROUGH THE BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR. THIS FRONT WILL BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. AS THIS FRONT TRACKS
NORTHWARD BY SATURDAY MORNING IT WILL BE IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
REGION. THIS WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS FROM BETHEL TO THE
COASTLINE AND ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE. THE
SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE SETTING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING
SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BRISTOL BAY REGION AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN WILL HAVE
NORTHERLY WINDS WITH ISOLATED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING.
UPSTREAM THERE IS A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/BERING
SEA THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH THURSDAY.
FARTHER UPSTREAM JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS A STORM
FORCE LOW. THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK EASTWARD RUNNING PARALLEL TO
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. BY THURSDAY THIS LOW WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF
NIKOLSKI. RESULTING IN GUSTY GALE FORCE EASTERLY WINDS TO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE. BY
FRIDAY EVENING THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE LOCATED THROUGH THE
EASTERN BERING SEA AND INTO THE BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR. THIS WILL
PRODUCE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND SHIFT MORE NORTHERLY BY
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING
IN FRONT OF THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THERE WILL BE
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WITH A WINTRY MIX
OF RAIN/SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE COLDER TEMPERATURES
WILL BE FARTHER NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL BERING. THE SYNOPTIC
FEATURES ARE ALIGNING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY OR BLIZZARD WARNING WITH THE COLDER TEMPERATURES A LARGE
PLUME OF MOISTURE AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS BY SATURDAY MORNING
FOR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE DEEP LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL TURN NORTH SATURDAY AND
MOVE UP ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE STATE. THIS WILL BRING IN
CONTINUED WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTO MONDAY WHEN
THE SURFACE LOW DISSIPATES. ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LOW OVER
THE BERING COLD NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN.
HOWEVER THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH HOW ELONGATED THE LOW BECOMES
ALONG THE WEST COAST WHICH WILL IMPACT THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS
CIRCULATING AROUND THE LOW ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE NEAR
BRISTOL BAY. A MORE CONSOLIDATED LOW CENTER IS THE PREFERRED
CHOICE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...DK