Small Craft Advisory 151, NWS Anchorage, AK

017 
FZAK52 PAFC 181252
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-190215-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 993 MB LOW 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF NOME WEAKENS AND FALLS APART BY
THU MORNING. A 978 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL PUSH A WEATHER FRONT
INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING LATE WED NIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE
EAST TO 750 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 985 MB BY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-190215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-190215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-190215-
BRISTOL BAY-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-190215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-190215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-190215-
UNALASKA BAY-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-190215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-190215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-190215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-190215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-190215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ177-190215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-190215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-190215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-190215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-190215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-190215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
352 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

102 
FZAK52 PAFC 190002
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191330-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 999 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTH OF GAMBELL ISLAND QUICKLY MOVES NORTHEAST
AND DISSIPATES BY THU MORNING. A FRONT OVER THE ALEUTIANS WILL
MOVE NORTH INTO THE BERING THU.

$$

PKZ150-191330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191330-
BRISTOL BAY-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191330-
UNALASKA BAY-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-191330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
302 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
511 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE MAIN DRIVER OF WEATHER TONIGHT IS
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SITTING JUST WEST OF BRISTOL BAY THAT PUSHED A
FAIRLY POTENT WARM FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE EARLIER TODAY. WHILE THE MAJORITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND
OVER THE INTERIOR PORTION OF THE STATE...IT BROUGHT A HEALTHY PUSH
OF WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM THE GULF THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS GUSTED
50-70 MPH ALONG MUCH OF THE GULF COAST AND SEVERAL LOCATIONS
RECEIVED 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24HRS. THIS LOW WILL
SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHWARD TODAY STRAFING THE WEST COAST UNTIL IT
FINALLY MOVES INLAND LATE WED. A 100 KT MERIDIONAL JET WILL KEEP
ENERGY MOVING FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TOWARDS THE EASTERN GULF
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN RATHER TIGHT AGREEMENT FOR THE
SHORT TERM (24HRS)...SO THE FORECASTERS WILL BE RELYING ON THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS DURING THAT TIME-FRAME. BEYOND
THAT...SOME RATHER SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCIES BEGIN TO APPEAR WITH
HOW THE MODELS HANDLE THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHING THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS WED NIGHT. THE NAM WAS THE OUTLIER BEING TOO
FAST AND FURTHER EAST WITH THIS SYSTEM BY THU MORNING...SO THE
FORECAST WAS TRENDED TOWARD THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE NAM WAS ONCE
AGAIN AN OUTLIER IN THE PRESSURE FIELDS AFTER 24HRS...SO THE
FORECAST TRENDED AWAY FROM ITS DEPICTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...WINDS
AND PRECIPITATION CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING AS MOST OF THE
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. PLENTY OF
LINGERING SHOWERS EXIST FROM VALDEZ THROUGH THE EASTERN KENAI
PENINSULA. BUT THE ROBUST SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW IS KEEPING MOST
PLACES ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE MOUNTAIN RANGES MOSTLY DRY THIS
MORNING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW PASSING SHOWERS. THOSE WINDS
ARE ALSO HELPING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER UNDER
CLEARING SKIES. IF TEMPERATURES WERE TO DROP BELOW FREEZING AS
SKIES CLEAR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR
EXCESS MELT-WATER TO POTENTIALLY REFREEZE ON SURFACES. WHILE THIS
SCENARIO DOES NOT LOOK LIKELY THIS MORNING...WE WILL HAVE TO
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT WHEN THE WINDS DO DIE OFF. THE
NEXT LOCAL EFFECT THAT COULD CAUSE SOME HEADACHES...ESPECIALLY FOR
COMMUTING...IS FOG THE NEXT COUPLE OF MORNINGS. WITH SHORTWAVE
RIDGING STARTING TO BUILD IN AND PLENTY OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE NEAR
THE SURFACE...IT IS TOUGH TO RULE IT OUT. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST
CHANCE FOR ANYTHING WIDESPREAD LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...WE ALLOWED
THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY TO EXPIRE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
EARLIER THIS MORNING. WITH A WARM NOISE STILL EVIDENT ON THE
BETHEL 12Z SOUNDING AND SOME LOCATIONS STILL BELOW FREEZING NORTH
AND WEST OF BETHEL...WE CANNOT RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE PRECIPITATION IS
DEFINITELY ON A DOWNWARD TREND...SO ANY AMOUNTS SHOULD BE VERY
LIGHT. WINDS REMAIN RATHER GUSTY THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE
TO BE SO FOR MUCH OF THE DAY..ESPECIALLY FOR THE BRISTOL BAY AREA.
EVEN THOUGH THE LOW WILL SLOWLY FILL...IT WILL ALSO TRACK CLOSER
TO MANY OF THE POPULATED AREAS...SO WINDS WON'T TRULY BEGIN TO
FALL OFF UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING.

AS THE LOW TRACKS ALONG THE COAST...EXPECT STEADY PRECIPITATION TO
START ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
EVENTUALLY SPREAD FURTHER INLAND TOWARD ANIAK LATER TONIGHT. AS
SOME WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION WORKS IN WITH THIS SYSTEM FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...IT SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH TO TIP THE SCALES IN FAVOR OF
SNOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...QUIET
WEATHER CONTINUES. THE AREA IS LEFT UNDER "SLACK" FLOW LATER TODAY
AND MOST OF WED AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOW CENTER TRACKS
INLAND NEAR THE SEWARD PENINSULA. BY LATE WED AND INTO THU...ONE
VERY WEAK SYSTEM IS TRYING TO BRING SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. BUT THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE ANOTHER FAIRLY
STRONG NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD OVERSPREAD AREAS FROM DUTCH HARBOR TO SAND POINT IN EARNEST
VERY EARLY THU MORNING AND SPREAD THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING THU
AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA
BEGINNING THURSDAY. QUIESCENT WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA EARLY
THURSDAY WILL RAPIDLY GIVE WAY TO AN ENCROACHING NORTH PACIFIC
FRONTAL ZONE. THIS FRONT WILL INTRODUCE ANOTHER INTRUSION OF WARM
AND MOIST NORTH PACIFIC MARITIME AIR INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR SOME
INLAND LOCATIONS TO SEE SNOW INITIALLY...BUT GIVEN THE
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF WARM AIR SURGING NORTH...THERE WILL LIKELY
BE A QUICK CHANGEOVER TO RAIN AND RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. THE WARM AND WET PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 150 155 165 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MSO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...JA