Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2015
Brisk Wind Advisory 15, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Feb 16, 2015, 3:17 PM AKST. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2015, 3:17 PM AKST (00:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 17, 2015, 3:48 AM AKST
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
895 FZAK52 PAFC 170017 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-171315- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 973 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHEAST OF UNALASKA WILL MOVE TO 65 NM NORTHWEST OF MEKORYUK AT 986 MB TUE AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 10 NM NORTH OF NOME WED AFTERNOON AT 998 MB. $$ PKZ150-171315- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-171315- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-171315- BRISTOL BAY- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ165-171315- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-171315- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-171315- UNALASKA BAY- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-171315- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ173-171315- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ174-171315- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ175-171315- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-171315- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ177-171315- ADAK TO KISKA- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ178-171315- KISKA TO ATTU- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ179-171315- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ180-171315- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ181-171315- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. $$ PKZ185-171315- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 317 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
231 FZAK52 PAFC 171248 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-180200- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 985 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTH OF MEKORYUK WILL MOVE TO 110 NM SOUTHWEST OF NOME AT 993 MB WED MORNING...THEN MOVE INLAND AND WEAKEN WED NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BRING ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY EARLY THU MORNING. $$ PKZ150-180200- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-180200- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-180200- BRISTOL BAY- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ165-180200- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-180200- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-180200- UNALASKA BAY- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-180200- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ173-180200- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ174-180200- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ175-180200- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-180200- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ177-180200- ADAK TO KISKA- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ178-180200- KISKA TO ATTU- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ179-180200- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ180-180200- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ181-180200- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SNOW. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. $$ PKZ185-180200- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 348 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Feb 16, 5:04 AM AKST, 10 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 5:04 AM AKST, 10 hours 13 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
504 AM AKST MON FEB 16 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER AIR PATTERN IS CHARACTERIZED BY A SEASONABLY STRONG NORTH
PACIFIC TROUGH DEAMPLIFYING INTO A COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE SURFACE LOW IS CURRENTLY
CENTERED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY...WITH AN
ASSOCIATED SPRAWLING STORM FORCE LOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA. THE WARM FRONT ALOFT CAN BE SEEN LIFTING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA ON BOTH RADAR AND SATELLITE...WITH A
SECOND SURGE OF MOISTURE ALONG THE LEFT EXIT OF THE UPPER LEVEL
JET STREAM LIFTING TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND. THIS SECOND SURGE OF
MOISTURE WILL BRING THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION OF THE EVENT TO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA MIDDAY THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE OCCLUDED FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT...WARMER MARITIME AIR WILL OVERSPREAD MANY
LOCATIONS...WITH A CORRESPONDING RISE IN LOCAL TEMPERATURES.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE SUITE OF NUMERICAL MODELS ARE ALL IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN HEADING INTO MIDWEEK. EVEN WITH
SMALLER SCALE DISCREPANCIES DEVELOPING MIDWEEK WITH RESPECT TO A
COMPACT WAVE DISTURBANCE TRACKING OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA...THE
OVERALL REGIONAL UPPER AIR PATTERN IS FAIRLY SIMILAR ACROSS ALL
THE MAJOR GLOBAL MODELING PLATFORMS INTO THE WEEKEND. AS A
RESULT...OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG NORTH PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA TODAY. THE FIRST FRONT THAT CAME THROUGH OVERNIGHT DROPPED
BETWEEN AN 1 AND 1 1/2 INCHES OF RAIN ON THE PACIFIC SIDE OF THE
KENAI PENINSULA. MEANWHILE...THE WESTWARD/PRECIP-SHADOWED AREAS
FROM THE EASTERN KENAI UP TO THE MAT-SU RECEIVED NOTHING. A STRONG
TRAILING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
AND IS DRIVING NORTHWARD ON A 140KT DUE SOUTHERLY JET. THIS
FEATURE WILL BRING A SECOND AND HEAVIER ROUND OF RAIN TO THE
COASTAL AREAS TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN EVEN
THROUGH TURNAGAIN PASS...BUT THOMPSON PASS AND THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN WILL LIKELY STAY COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW AT LEAST DURING THE
DAYTIME TODAY. MEANWHILE...THE TYPICAL DOWNSLOPE AREAS AROUND COOK
INLET WILL REMAIN MOSTLY OR COMPLETELY DRY ONCE AGAIN.
THE SECOND PHASE OF THE STORM WILL BEGIN AS THE UPPER WAVE DRIVES
UP COOK INLET THIS AFTERNOON AND REVERSES THE NORTHERLY PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN COOK INLET. THIS WILL ALLOW A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF ANCHORAGE AND THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY AS THE FRONT FINALLY CLEARS THE AREA...AND WILL
ALSO LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN OR RAIN
SHOWERS. BY LATE EVENING...COOLER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO FILTER INTO
THE AREA ALOFT AND WILL DROP SNOW LEVELS AS THE PRECIP WINDS
DOWN. HOWEVER...CONTINUED SOUTHERLY WINDS UP COOK INLET SHOULD
KEEP OVERNIGHT SURFACE TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING...SO ANY
PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL NOT ACCUMULATE MUCH AND MAY ACTUALLY FALL
AS RAIN. THIS GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND REGIME WITH A FEW
RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ABOVE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES AGAIN EXPECTED AT MOST OF THE POPULATION
CENTERS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MAIN STORY ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE NUMEROUS WAVES OF
MOISTURE TRACKING OVER THE AREA...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT COMING
TODAY AND TONIGHT. A CURRENT BAND OF SNOW TRACKING OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL MOVE OFFSHORE LATER TODAY...WITH A SECONDARY
SURGE OF MOISTURE TRACKING OVER THE ENTIRE REGION BY THIS
AFTERNOON...SPREADING RAIN...POCKETS OF SNOW AND LOCALIZED AREAS
OF FREEZING RAIN. THE BEST CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN WILL BE ACROSS
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY CHANGES BACK OVER TO RAIN AND SNOW.
ELSEWHERE...STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW OFF THE ALASKA RANGE WILL KEEP
PRECIP TYPE AS ALL RAIN. STRONG SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION...WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON. ON TUESDAY...ONSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT
IN SLOWLY COOLING TEMPERATURES AND MORE SHOWERY CONDITIONS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SEASONABLY STRONG LOW CENTERED NEAR COLD BAY WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
AND DRIFT NORTH TOWARD THE BERING STRAIT THROUGH TUESDAY. MODERATE
TO HEAVY BANDS OF PRECIPITATION WILL MOSTLY IMPACT THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS...WITH MORE SHOWERY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE WESTERN CHAIN. NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL ENOUGH FOR SNOW AND AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTH THROUGH TODAY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES IN TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND
PRECIPITATION TRENDS REGION WIDE.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN UPPER LEVEL AMPLIFIED RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE GULF AND WILL
EXTEND THROUGH THE MAINLAND NORTHWARD INTO THE BARROW REGION
BY THURSDAY. THIS RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE TO THE EAST WITH
CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE GULF EXTENDING INTO THE
INTERIOR OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA REGION. SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL
CLOSED LOW NEAR 42N 172W. THIS LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD
DUTCH HARBOR BY SATURDAY AND CROSS OVER THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN INTO
THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY SUNDAY. REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE IS A
NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH DUTCH
HARBOR AREA. THE MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH THE STRENGTH AND
POSITIONING OF THIS LOW AS IT TRACKS NORTHWARD HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND. THE SOUTHWEST/SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA REGIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO HAVE WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH A
CONTINUED WET PATTERN. THE GFS MODEL IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE POSITIONED OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA
EXTENDING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF...WHILE THE OTHER MODELS HAVE A
VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE FARTHER UPSTREAM OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.
IF THE GFS MODEL TRACK WORKS OUT THIS WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO
SOUTHWEST/SOUTHCENTRAL REGION BY FRIDAY. THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BERING SEA WILL HAVE WARMER TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND
AS THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TOWARDS DUTCH HARBOR BY SATURDAY.
THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SHOWERY PRECIPITATION AS THE SIBERIAN HIGH
REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...155.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...119 120 130 131.
GALE WARNING...125 138 139 150 155 160 165 170 172 173
174 179 180 181 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...PLDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 3:17 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 6 days | |
| Feb 16, 3:34 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 hr | |
| Feb 16, 3:34 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Feb 16, 6:51 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 9 hr | |
| Feb 16, 6:51 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Feb 17, 3:48 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 17, 3:56 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 17, 2:50 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Feb 17, 2:50 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every brisk wind advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.