Small Craft Advisory 1013, NWS Anchorage, AK

075 
FZAK51 PAFC 220013
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221315-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WEAKENS TO 990 MB AND 
MOVES TO 90 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT AND MOVES INLAND NEAR ELFIN 
COVE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-221315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 3 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT....EXCEPT 5 FT 
NEAR THE COAST.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221315-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221315-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT 
BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW 
WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221315-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221315-
MARMOT BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND 
PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF 
BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS IN ICE  FREE WATERS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT OR LESS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

972 
FZAK51 PAFC 221216
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230100-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK EXITS INTO THE EASTERN
GULF THIS AFTERNOON. A 986 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA
DRIFTS EAST AND DISSIPATES BY WED. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
WESTERN GULF BY THU.

$$

PKZ119-230100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230100-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230100-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230100-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230100-
MARMOT BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

703 
FZAK51 PAFC 230016
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231315-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD 992 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT DISSIPATES WED. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-231315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231315-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231315-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231315-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231315-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 25 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 20 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 10 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

794 
FZAK51 PAFC 231213
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240045-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST AND DISSIPATES THU MORNING. A
FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THU NIGHT AND PRESSES
OVER KODIAK CITY AND THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-240045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240045-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240045-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING AND TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240045-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240045-
MARMOT BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
431 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAYS WITH A STRONG
JET STREAM JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA AND A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE STATE. THE UPPER LOW CENTER IS LOCATED OVER KAMCHATKA AND
THIS ENERGY FROM THE JET STREAM IS FUELING THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT
OF THE LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE JET IS A VERY
STRONG ONE WITH 250 MB WIND SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 200 KT. SINCE THE
JET IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA IT WILL FAVOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TRIPLE POINT LOWS ALONG THE FRONT IS STRETCHING
OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND HEADING TOWARD THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO KEEP COLDER AIR OVER THE STATE
AND PREVENT WARMER PACIFIC AIR OUT OF MAINLAND ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODEL INITIALIZATION WAS VERY GOOD FROM THIS MORNINGS RUNS. THE
MODELS ALL HAVE THE SAME BASIC IDEA OF TAKING THE LOW MOVING INTO
THE BERING SEA AND ELONGATING IT WITH A PARENT LOW BECOMING QUASI
STATIONARY AND A TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTER
ALEUTIANS. AS IS TYPICAL IN THIS SORT OF PATTERN IS THAT THE
MODELS HAVE DIFFICULTY WITH THE PLACEMENT OF BOTH OF THOSE
FEATURES. FOR AREAS THAT ARE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FRONT...WHICH
IS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA...THIS WILL NOT HAVE A LARGE IMPACT.
THE AREAS THIS WILL IMPACT THE MOST IS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA WITH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FROM ADAK
EASTWARD HAVING THE MOST AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION
TONIGHT. PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP DURING THE LATE EVENING EXTENDING
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE CONTINUED OFFSHORE WINDS
WITH GUSTY GAP WINDS THROUGH WHITTIER...PORTAGE AND THE THOMPSON
PASS REGION. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT DUE TO THE WEAKENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS COLDER
AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH COINCIDING WITH THE NORTHERLY
OFFSHORE FLOW. THERE IS AN UPSTREAM WEAK SHORTWAVE ALOFT THAT
WILL MOVE FROM THE KODIAK REGION THIS EVENING NORTHWARD THROUGH
MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH PRECIPITATION
FALLING AS ALL SNOW THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA MOVES SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW CENTER
TONIGHT WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THIS SYSTEM LOSES ORGANIZATION AS IT NEARS THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS VALLEYS WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
A WEAK TEMPERATURE INVERSION JUST OFF THE SURFACE. FOG IMPROVES
LATER ON MONDAY AS A LIGHT NORTH FLOW PATTERN SETS UP WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
TONIGHT LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS NORTH OF KISKA BRINGING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS OUT OF THE WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS LOW
BEGINS TO LIFT TO THE NORTHERN BERING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND USHERS
COLDER AIR ACROSS THE CHAIN INTO MONDAY. FORECAST WINDS WERE
INCREASED ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC AND LOW PRESSURE IN THE
BERING. WINDS SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR CHANGES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN BERING...EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA...AS
THEY MAY BE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY PROJECTED ON MONDAY IF A TRIPLE
POINT LOW DEVELOPS IN THE VICINITY. OTHERWISE...ZONAL FLOW BRINGS
A WESTERLY FLOW WITH SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
WHILE THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE IDEA OF A STRONG LOW
LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS OUT NEAR KISKA ISLAND AROUND
WEDNESDAY...THERE IS HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT IN BOTH THE
TIMING AND HOW FAR NORTH THE LOW MAKES IT UP INTO THE BERING. THE
COMPLEXITIES APPEAR TO BE ARISING FROM AN INTERESTING BUCKLING IN
THE JET STREAM AROUND A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EMBEDDED IN
THE BROADER AND RATHER STRONG WESTERLY JET STREAM TO THE SOUTH. A
STRONG JET STREAK ON THE UPSTREAM SIDE OF THE RIDGE BECOMES
ORIENTED SOUTH TO NORTH BETWEEN 40 AND 50N ALONG 180 EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT IS THIS JET STREAK THAT PROPELS THE RAPIDLY
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW UP NORTH INTO THE BERING. THE QUESTION IS
HOW FAR NORTH THE LOW WILL MAKE IT BEFORE THE RIDGE BUCKLES AND
AMPLIFIES ENOUGH TO BE UNDERCUT BY THE LARGER JET COMING IN FROM
THE WEST BETWEEN 35 AND 40N RESULTING IN THE ENTIRE FEATURE BEING SWEPT
OFF TO THE EAST. BASED ON THE POSITION OF THE JET STREAK...WHICH
IS SIGNIFICANTLY MORE CONSISTENT BETWEEN THE VARIOUS MODELS THAN
THE SURFACE FEATURES...IT LOOKS LIKE THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD MAKE
IT NORTH TO AROUND 54N WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE IT PUSHES OFF TO
THE EAST SOUTHEAST AS IT FILLS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

MEANWHILE FURTHER TO THE EAST COLD AIR BUILDS OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA THROUGH MIDWEEK AS A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW CROSSES THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. AN ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ROTATES ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING. ASIDE FROM SOME ISOLATED TO POSSIBLY SCATTERED MOUNTAIN
SHOWERS THE MAIN IMPACT OF THE TROUGH WILL BE TO PUSH MORE COLD
INTERIOR AIR INTO THE AREA AND FURTHER STRENGTHEN OFFSHORE GAP
WINDS.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW COMING IN FROM THE WEST WILL REACH THE WESTERN
TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AROUND FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHING FROM BRISTOL BAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA...KODIAK ISLAND AND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE KENAI PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF. AS WITH THE MIDWEEK SYSTEM
THERE IS ALSO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY OF REGARDING HOW FAR NORTH
THIS SYSTEM WILL MAKE IT. CURRENTLY THINKING THAT IT WILL BRUSH
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BUT THE COMBINATION OF THE OFFSHORE FLOW
AND THE FRONT SHEARING APART AS IT GETS MORE DISTANT FROM THE LOW
WILL KEEP THE MOISTURE FROM MAKING IT VERY FAR INLAND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 177 175 173
         GALE 132 150 155 170 174 176 178 352 411 412 413 414

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR