Gale Warning 916, NWS Anchorage, AK

686 
FZAK51 PAFC 210013 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211315-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MOVES TO 25 NM SOUTH OF
SITKA MON AFTERNOON AND THEN INLAND BEFORE DISSIPATING TUE
MORNING. A 980 MB LOW FORMS MON AFTERNOON 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF
CHIGNIK AND MOVES 135 NM SOUTHWEST OF KLAWOCK BY TUE AFTERNOON. A
986 MB LOW FORMS 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF CORDOVA MON MORNING BEFORE
MOVING 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA BY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-211315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211315-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211315-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...S
WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING
TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211315-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT DIMINISHING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211315-
MARMOT BAY-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 PM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

360 
FZAK51 PAFC 211220
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220100-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 981 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT REMAINS STATIONARY AND
DISSIPATES MON NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW FORMS MON AFTERNOON ALONG A
FRONT 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK AND MOVES TO THE EASTERN GULF
TUE EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-220100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220100-
PORT VALDEZ-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220100-
VALDEZ ARM-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220100-
CHINIAK BAY-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220100-
MARMOT BAY-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
320 AM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

075 
FZAK51 PAFC 220013
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221315-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WEAKENS TO 990 MB AND 
MOVES TO 90 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT AND MOVES INLAND NEAR ELFIN 
COVE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-221315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 3 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT....EXCEPT 5 FT 
NEAR THE COAST.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221315-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221315-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT 
BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW 
WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221315-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221315-
MARMOT BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND 
PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF 
BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS IN ICE  FREE WATERS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT OR LESS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

972 
FZAK51 PAFC 221216
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230100-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK EXITS INTO THE EASTERN
GULF THIS AFTERNOON. A 986 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA
DRIFTS EAST AND DISSIPATES BY WED. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
WESTERN GULF BY THU.

$$

PKZ119-230100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230100-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230100-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230100-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230100-
MARMOT BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

703 
FZAK51 PAFC 230016
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231315-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD 992 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT DISSIPATES WED. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-231315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231315-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231315-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231315-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231315-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 25 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 20 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 10 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
434 AM AKST SUN DEC 20 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

CUT-OFF UPPER LOWS ARE OVER THE GULF AND EAST OF KAMCHATKA...WITH A
WEAKENING UPPER LOW OVER WESTERN AK THIS MORNING. A RIDGE HAS
ALSO DEVELOPED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING. A STRONG TRANSPACIFIC JET
IS SHOWING ONLY A SLIGHT ANTICYCLONIC BULGE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS IN WHAT IS OTHERWISE A NEAR ZONAL PATTERN. AT THE
SURFACE...LOWS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...THE WESTERN AK
COAST...NEAR KAMCHATKA AND OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A SURFACE RIDGE
IS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WHILE A SURFACE FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE
KAMCHATKA LOW ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. SNOW SHOWERS HAVE
MOVED INLAND ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...AND PERSIST OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF AND KENAI PENINSULA AS WELL AS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

AS IS OFTEN THE CASE WITH A STRONG ZONAL JET SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...THERE IS SIGNIFICANT VARIABILITY WITH HOW MODELS ARE
HANDLING LOW DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT NORTH OF THE JET. STRETCHING
OF THE LOWS WITH CENTERS IN DIFFERENT LOCATIONS SEEMS TO BE THE
NORM. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OVER THE BERING WHERE THE WESTERN
ALEUTIAN AND KAMCHATKA LOWS MERGE...STRETCH...AND REDEVELOP
DISTINCT LOWS. WHEN SEVERAL MODELS ARE VIEWED TOGETHER...THESE
REDEVELOPED LOWS FORM IN A LINE EXTENDING FROM THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA TO SOUTHEAST AK BY MON NIGHT. SINCE THERE MUST BE ONLY
ONE SOLUTION...THE FORECAST UTILIZES THE EC IN THE EAST...WHICH
HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS. WITH THIS
SOLUTION THE GULF LOW DISSIPATES OVER SE AK MON MORNING AND
ANOTHER LOW FORMS NEAR THE AKPEN AND DRIFTS INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
BY MON NIGHT. IN THE WEST THE GFS WAS PREFERRED...ALTHOUGH ALSO SIMILAR
TO THE EC. WITH THIS CHOICE THE WESTERN AK LOW MOVES INLAND AND
DISSIPATES THIS AFTERNOON. THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN AND KAMCHATKA LOWS
MERGE AND ELONGATE DIAGONALLY ACROSS THE BERING TONIGHT BEFORE
AGAIN DEVELOPING DISTINCT CENTERS OVER THE WESTERN AND EASTERN
BERING MON NIGHT. CONFIDENCE WITH DETAILS OUT WEST IS LOW...BUT
SLIGHTLY HIGHER OVER THE EASTERN DOMAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE EAST
TODAY AND BECOME A NON-FACTOR IN THE WEATHER FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
TONIGHT. THIS HAS INCREASED THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT AND THE WINDS IN
SUCH FAVORED AREAS NEAR GAPS (SUCH AS SEWARD AND WHITTIER) WILL
CONTINUE TODAY THEN WEAKEN TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE WEAK
DEFORMATION ZONE STRETCHING FROM THE GULF LOW THROUGH THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BRING SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS TO THE KENAI...THEN BREAK APART LATER TODAY. THE SOUTH
CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL REMAIN UNDER WEAK HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH
TONIGHT. ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT THE THE UPPER LOW OVER THAT
HAS BEEN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TO MUCH OF
THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL REVOLVE AROUND A WEAKENING STACKED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTING OVER THE MAINLAND THROUGH THE DAY.
NUMEROUS TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
DAY...DECREASING IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN MODERATED BY CLOUD COVER. ON MONDAY...A COLDER AIR
MASS FILTERS IN FROM THE INTERIOR WITHIN A WEAK OUTFLOW PATTERN.
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS...CLEARING CLOUDS...AND COLDER TEMPERATURES
WILL TAKE HOLD THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A VERY COMPLEX FORECAST SHAPING UP OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SEE CYCLOGENESIS AS A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH INVIGORATES IT. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN ALL OVER THE
PLACE WITH THIS FEATURE BUT THE LATEST PICTURE IS THAT THE ENERGY
WILL SPREAD OUT INTO AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH ONE
CONSOLIDATED SURFACE LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING...THEN A SEPARATE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER TOWARD THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LATER TONIGHT.
THE SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT COULD BE A STRONGER COMPACT SYSTEM WITH
A SMALL AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS BUT LIKELY IT WILL BE A FAST
MOVING SYSTEM AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE LARGELY ZONAL FLOW. A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONNECT THESE TWO CIRCULATIONS...STRETCHING
ACROSS THE BERING SEA. AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS THERE WILL BE A
BRIEF SHOT OF STRONG WINDS IN THE ADAK AREA EARLY THIS EVENING BUT
IT WILL BE SHORT LIVED. BEHIND THE FRONT ANOTHER SHOWERY REGIME
WILL STAY IN PLACE WITH WEAKER WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE JET STREAM WILL KEEP THE ACTIVE STORM TRACK SUPPRESSED SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA MAINLAND FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...AND WILL ALLOW FOR
COLD AIR TO SPILL SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA BRINGING TEMPERATURES
WELL BELOW NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE TO LATER PART OF CHRISTMAS
WEEK...ESPECIALLY FOR SOUTHCENTRAL. MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS AND FEATURES IS POOR AT BEST...YIELDING LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST OUTSIDE OF THE FACT THAT BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND OUTFLOW WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION...HOWEVER
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE MAINLAND...ESPECIALLY SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA...AND OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE ONE OF THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM
THE COLD AIR FILTERING THROUGH THE TERRAIN GAPS INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

ACROSS THE BERING REGION...THE MAIN FEATURE THAT WILL BEAR
WATCHING WILL BE THE DEPARTING STRONG LOW HEADING TOWARD THE GULF
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...THEN THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER STRONG LOW
ENTERING THE SOUTHWEST BERING FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC MID- TO LATE
WEEK THAT MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS TO THE REGION AT
SOME POINT DURING THIS TIMEFRAME.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181 185
         GALES 155 165 170 172 173 174 175 176 177
         178 180 181 185 352 411 412 413 414

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...CC