Gale Warning 89, NWS Anchorage, AK

539 
FZAK51 PAFC 252350
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261300-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST GULF ON MON...THEN STALL AND WEAKEN
THROUGH TUE. A 993 MB LOW WILL FORM 630 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK MON
AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 320 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK TUE AFTERNOON AT
984 MB.

$$

PKZ119-261300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT S 10 KT OR LESS FROM MIDDLETON
ISLAND S. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS N OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-261300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 10
KT WITH GUSTS TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-261300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-261300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING W OF NAKED ISLAND.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-261300-
PORT VALDEZ-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-261300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON AND MONDAY NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-261300-
VALDEZ ARM-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 20 KT.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-261300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 
2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-261300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EARLY BECOMING NE 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-261300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-261300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING NE
10 KT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING SE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT NE 15 KT IN THE MORNING N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-261300-
CHINIAK BAY-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-261300-
MARMOT BAY-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT EARLY BECOMING NE. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-261300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-261300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-261300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-261300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
250 PM AKST SUN JAN 25 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

674 
FZAK51 PAFC 261249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270215-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST GULF ON MON...THEN STALL AND WEAKEN
THROUGH TUE. A 986 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
MOVE TO 260 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT AT 980 MB TUE AFTERNOON AND
SLOWLY DRIFT WEST LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-270215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. NE GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-270215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-270215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-270215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-270215-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-270215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-270215-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-270215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-270215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-270215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-270215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-270215-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-270215-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-270215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-270215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-270215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-270215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

899 
FZAK51 PAFC 262355
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271230-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A NORTHWARD MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST GULF TUE
MORNING AND IMPACT THE NORTH GULF COAST WED MORNING BEFORE
DISSIPATING DURING THE DAY WED.

$$

PKZ119-271230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NE 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS
8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271230-
PORT VALDEZ-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271230-
VALDEZ ARM-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 
2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY IN THE EVENING.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271230-
CHINIAK BAY-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271230-
MARMOT BAY-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY
IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-271230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
255 PM AKST MON JAN 26 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH IS PROGRESSING SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM SOUTHWEST
ALASKA INTO THE WESTERN GULF AND WESTERN PORTION OF SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA. THE TROUGH IS JUST BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF DEVELOPING A
NEGATIVE TILT...AS RISING HEIGHTS DOWNSTREAM OVER WESTERN CANADA
AND A STRENGTHENING UPPER JET BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND RIDGE CAUSE
THE TROUGH TO BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING
SNOW HAS ENDED FROM THE WESTERN KENAI TO ANCHORAGE AND MAT-SU.
RADAR DOES SHOW SOME WEAK RETURNS AS COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH MAINTAINS SOME VERY LOW LEVEL LIFT...RESULTING IN
VERY LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES. STRONG GAP WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
THE WESTERN GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND WITH THE ONSET OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION.

STRONG LIFT OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH COMBINED WITH UPSLOPE FLOW IS
PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER MUCH OF THE PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND REGION...WITH MARGINALLY LIGHTER PRECIP OVER THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. OF SPECIAL NOTE...PRECIPITATION STARTED THE
MORNING WITH ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND RAIN AND SNOW. THE
INTENSITY OF THE PRECIPITATION HAS HELPED COOL THE COLUMN AND
CHANGE PRECIP TO ALL SNOW. THEREFORE...NOW EXPECT VALDEZ TO SEE A
GOOD DUMP OF SNOW OUT OF THIS STORM.

BEHIND THE TROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA HAS SETTLED INTO A TRUE ARCTIC
ARM MASS FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS WINTER. THE COLD SPOTTY THIS
MORNING APPEARS TO BE ANIAK WITH A TEMPERATURE OF 29 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO. UPSTREAM OF THIS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS CROSSING THE
BERING SEA BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION. MEANWHILE A
MATURE LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC IS TRACKING EASTWARD PUSHING
AN OCCLUDED FRONT NORTHWARD TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS. THE AIR MASS IN
PLACE RIGHT NOW IS COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW AS
PRECIPITATION ARRIVES.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
AFTER A FEW DAYS OF DEALING WITH KEY DIFFERENCES IN MODEL GUIDANCE
THE LATEST SOLUTIONS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT AS THINGS WIND
DOWN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ATTENTION
SHIFTS TO THE NORTH PACIFIC WHERE MINOR DIFFERENCES ARISE AS A
TROUGH PUSHES NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING SEA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE BULK OF PRECIP WILL INITIALLY BE
FOCUSED OUT AHEAD OF A WARM OCCLUSION. AS THIS FRONT WEAKENS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE TROUGH WILL HELP
FOCUS PRECIPITATION...AND MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON STRENGTH OR
PLACEMENT OF THESE WAVES. WITH A DEEP ARCTIC AIR MASS IN PLACE
OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR SEVERELY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW FROM BRISTOL BAY TO THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS...DEPENDING ON THE EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS GENERALLY HIGH...THOUGH IT
DROPS SIGNIFICANTLY WITH DETAILS OUT WEST AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE FROM
EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE PORTIONS OF THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. THE PRIMARY SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST
ON SUNDAY...BUT CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PERSIST ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF
AN UPPER LOW WHICH FORMS OVER INTERIOR ALASKA. THIS COMBINED WITH
COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CAUSE SNOW SHOWERS TO LINGER IN THESE SAME
AREAS. MEANWHILE...COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE TROUGH COMBINED WITH
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE WILL PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION. WILL INCREASE WINDS IN THE SEWARD/RESURRECTION BAY AND
WHITTIER/PASSAGE CANAL AREAS WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND THE
COLDEST AIR MASS OF THE ENTIRE WINTER MOVING IN.

TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS THE ARCTIC AIR
MASS SETTLES IN. WITH COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO HOLD STEADY OR CONTINUE TO FALL
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. THE COLD ADVECTION WILL LARGELY COME
TO AN END BY SUNDAY NIGHT ALLOWING WINDS TO DIE DOWN. THIS WILL
LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. OF NOTE...WEST
ANCHORAGE (WHERE THE OFFICIAL CLIMATE STATION IS LOCATED) IS
EXPECTED TO OBSERVE THE FIRST SUB- ZERO TEMPERATURES SINCE
DECEMBER 2013.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER TROUGH COLD ADVECTION WILL COME TO END
TONIGHT AND LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLACKEN. THUS...TONIGHT
WILL BE COLDER THAN FRIDAY NIGHT. A VERY GRADUAL MODERATION WILL
THEN BEGIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THERE IS A TREND IN
THE GUIDANCE TOWARD MOVING PRECIP INTO BRISTOL BAY FASTER WITH
ARRIVAL SOMETIME ON MONDAY. PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL TIGHTEN OUT
AHEAD OF A SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT...SO WHENEVER SNOW DOES MOVE IN
THERE COULD BE SOME ISSUES WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SHORT-WAVE BRINGING SNOW TO THE CENTRAL BERING WILL FLATTEN
OUT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HEIGHTS RISE AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC
TROUGH. THUS...DON'T EXPECT ANY CLOUDS OR PRECIP TO SURVIVE BEYOND
THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THE PACIFIC TROUGH AND SURFACE STORM
SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY PUSH PRECIP AND WARMER AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING SEA. THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL REMAIN SOLIDLY ON THE COLD
SIDE OF THE SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT. THEREFORE...IF AND WHEN STEADY
SNOW REACHES THE PRIBILOFS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY. WILL
ISSUE A BLIZZARD WATCH BEGINNING MONDAY WHEN MOST MODELS INDICATE
A HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR STEADY SNOWFALL.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING PATTERN SETTING UP WITH AN
AMPLIFIED POSITIVE TILTED RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA BY TUESDAY. THIS RIDGE WILL EXTEND THROUGH
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS NORTHWARD INTO THE EASTERN SIBERIAN REGION.
IN THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA AREA...THERE IS ANOTHER AMPLIFIED RIDGE
BUILDING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTLINE. THIS RIDGE IS
EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL AREA AND INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW BETWEEN THESE TWO
RIDGES LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC OCEAN. THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA AREA WILL HAVE OFFSHORE FLOW
WITH THE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS SETTING UP BY WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL
BE SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND ALONG
THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA EXTENDING INTO KODIAK ISLAND. THE
SHORTWAVES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE COMPLEX LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
AND PUSH THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE
CENTRAL TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS EXTENDING TO THE WESTERN GULF AND THE
COASTLINES WILL SEE A WARMING TREND. THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH THE
COMPLEX NORTH PACIFIC LOW AS IT GRADUALLY MOVES NORTH TOWARDS
KODIAK ISLAND BY WEDNESDAY WITH CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE
GULF HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 195. SNOW ADVISORY 141.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 129 130 131 170 179.
         HEAVY FRZ SPRAY 121 126 127 128 129 130 131 138
            139 140 141 150 160 165 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SB
LONG TERM...PD