Gale Warning 820, NWS Anchorage, AK

912 
FZAK51 PAFC 292357
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301230-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS EVENING...REACHES THE
CENTRAL GULF BY MON EVENING...THEN REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF 
COAST BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-301230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-301230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-301230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-301230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-301230-
PORT VALDEZ-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-301230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-301230-
VALDEZ ARM-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-301230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-301230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-301230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-301230-
CHINIAK BAY-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-301230-
MARMOT BAY-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-301230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-301230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-301230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-301230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

902 
FZAK51 PAFC 300642 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

UPDATED 121 125 126 129 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301245-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS EVENING...REACHES THE
CENTRAL GULF BY MON EVENING...THEN REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF 
COAST BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-301245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 15 KT NEAR THE COAST.  SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT.  SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-301245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT  AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-301245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-301245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-301245-
PORT VALDEZ-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-301245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-301245-
VALDEZ ARM-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-301245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS
6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-301245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-301245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-301245-
CHINIAK BAY-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-301245-
MARMOT BAY-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT  AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-301245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-301245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-301245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-301245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
942 PM AKST SUN NOV 29 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
404 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH ANCHORED OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA
AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
CONTINUES TO BE THE DOMINANT FORCE FOR THE WEATHER.

THE REMAINS OF THE LOW THAT WAS IN BRISTOL BAY YESTERDAY ARE NOW
OVER THE NUNIVAK ISLAND AREA. THESE ARE PRODUCING WEAK ONSHORE
FLOW OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THAT HAS BROUGHT
SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG TO A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TODAY. COLDER
AIR IS WRAPPING AROUND THIS LOW RESULTING IN MORE CONVECTIVE
SHOWERY CONDITIONS. WITH THE EXPECTED LOW LEVEL COOLING TONIGHT WE
WILL MOST LIKELY SEE AREAS OF FOG OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVERNIGHT.

A LARGE LOW NOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA HAS A FRONT EXTENDING IN AN ARC
INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA THEN SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. SCATTEROMETER WINDS SHOW GALE FORCE WINDS ARE IN
ADVANCE OF THIS LOW AND FRONT AND A SMALL AREA OF STORM FORCE
WESTERLY WIND IS ON THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THIS LOW.

A WEAK FRONT HAS PUSHED INLAND ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST FOLLOWED
BY A RIDGE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT. THIS IS CREATING THE PUSH FOR
THE GUSTY SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS IN THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AS THE RIDGING
WEAKENS AND THE LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST END OF KODIAK ISLAND
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST AND ALSO WEAKEN TONIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. WE WILL THEREFORE
CONTINUE TO USE THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS FOR THE BETTER DETAIL
IN THE FORECAST PROCESS TO HANDLE THE GAP WINDS AND PRECIPITATION
FIELDS OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THE MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW MOVING ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
THROUGH SUN NIGHT AND MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

AN UNSETTLED WEATHER REGIME WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK AS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO ADVECT
MOISTURE NORTH ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. PRECIPITATION WILL BE
LARGELY CONFINED TO COASTAL AND UP-SLOPE LOCATIONS WITH JUST
ENOUGH CROSS BARRIER FLOW TO KEEP LEEWARD LOCATIONS (LIKE
ANCHORAGE AND KENAI) ON THE DRY SIDE. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO
WILL BE POSSIBLE INLAND THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL BUT A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS
EXPECTED OVER THE COMING DAYS AS 500 MB HEIGHTS BEGIN TO DROP. 850
MB TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE -2 TO -4 DEGREES CELSIUS RANGE
WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME PRETTY DECENT INVERSIONS DEVELOPING
ACROSS INLAND AREAS WHICH MAY LEAD TO PATCHY FOG DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS STARTING TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA LATE SUNDAY/EARLY MONDAY AND INCREASE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST WHILE INLAND LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN LARGELY ON THE DRY SIDE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH PERSISTS
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THIS COUPLED WITH A SATURATED AIR
MASS AND A WEAK INVERSION JUST OFF THE SURFACE WILL BRING AREAS OF
FOG ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND PATCHY FOG TO THE KUSKOKWIM. A WARM
FRONT MOVES INTO THE THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY SUNDAY BRINGING
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS FRONT MOVES INTO THE THE SOUTHWEST
SUNDAY NIGHT SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTH TO BRISTOL BAY AND THE
KUSKOKWIM. ON MONDAY WINDS BECOME EAST AS THE FRONT MOVES IN WITH
GUSTY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAPES AND ALEUTIAN RANGE. ONLY
MINOR RAIN AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AS THE STACKED LOW
STAYS TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
LOW PRESSURE PUSHES A FRONT INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS
EVENING THAT MOVES QUICKLY TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY
BEFORE SLOWING DOWN AS IT SLIDES JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA MONDAY. SNOW AND RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ALONG
WITH GUSTY GALE WINDS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. WINDS BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND ADVECT COLDER AIR BACK INTO
THE BERING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

BEGINNING THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON MONDAY EVENING...A BROAD UPPER
LOW CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC WILL
ENCOMPASS THE ENTIRE REGION AS THE NORTH PACIFIC JET REMAINS
CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF 40N. A SECONDARY LOW IN THE VICINITY
OF THE ALASKA PANHANDLE WILL ROTATE WEST INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF...SPREADING RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE GULF OF ALASKA COAST.
INLAND LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE EAST
TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...WITH THIS DOWNSLOPE SHADOW KEEPING
PRECIPITATION MAINLY CONFINED TO COASTAL AND MARINE LOCATIONS.
FARTHER WEST...THE BULK OF COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA...WITH EXTENSIVE INSTABILITY
SHOWERS AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. WITH AN ARCTIC HIGH CENTERED
NORTH OF THE NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA...COLDER SURFACE LEVEL AIR WILL
INFILTRATE SOUTHERN ALASKA...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE AND
COOL BACK TO NEAR NORMAL HEADING INTO THE LATE WEEK. ANOTHER NORTH
PACIFIC LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE ARCTIC TROUGH LATE
WEEK...DEEPENING INTO A DEEP LOW SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. MUCH UNCERTAINTY ARISES BY THIS
POINT...BUT SOME GUIDANCE DRIVES IN A STRONG STORM FORCE LOW
THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT THERE
REMAINS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH TRACK AND POSITION TO REALLY GET
EXCITED AT THIS JUNCTURE. EITHER WAY...THE GENERAL PATTERN OF COLD
AIR OVER THE BERING AND STRONG EASTERLY LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW OVER
SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION LARGELY RELEGATED TO
COASTAL LOCALES...WITH NO DRAMATIC CHANGE IN THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
INLAND. HEADING THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THE NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM
WILL MOVE EAST...WITH STORMINESS CONTINUING TO IMPACT THE
PANHANDLE OF ALASKA AS SOUTHERN ALASKA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF WEAKER LOWS DYING IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. IN OTHER WORDS...NO
SIGNIFICANT INLAND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 132 150 173-176 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SAM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JA