Gale Warning 760, NWS Anchorage, AK

926 
FZAK51 PAFC 090032 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091330-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL REACH THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON. A 996 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP NEAR 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD MONDAY EVENING AND
DISSIPATE IN THE EASTERN GULF TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-091330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W THIS EVENING. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS EVENING BECOMING W 30
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT EXCEPT 20 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ISLAND. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091330-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091330-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR THE PORT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W WIND 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091330-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091330-
MARMOT BAY-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS MIXED WITH SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 PM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR THE OUTER BAY IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

695 
FZAK51 PAFC 091237
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100200-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 996 MB LOW 25 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD DEVELOPS MON EVENING...THEN
QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF TUE MORNING. A STRONG FRONT
ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON AND WILL REACH THE EASTERN
GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-100200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT BY LATE
MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100200-
PORT VALDEZ-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100200-
VALDEZ ARM-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100200-
CHINIAK BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100200-
MARMOT BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
511 AM AKST SUN NOV 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN FEATURE ALOFT THIS MORNING IS A BIG BROAD UPPER LOW
CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA. A LARGE PLUME OF
MOISTURE IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR SATELLITE WITH A SUB-TROPICAL
CONNECTION EXTENDING UP INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A 140-KT JET
IS ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH ACTING TO ADVECT MOISTURE ALOFT
AS WELL AS DEEPEN THE SYSTEM OVERALL OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA.
THE LARGE OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHES FROM SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WHERE IT THEN BECOMES
A NARROW WARM FRONT/COLD FRONT. A STEADY RAIN SHIELD IS PUSHING
ASHORE WITH THE FRONT FROM THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THROUGH INTERIOR
BRISTOL BAY. WIDESPREAD GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WRAP AROUND THE
SYSTEM. THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHCENTRAL IS BETWEEN THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM AND THE INCOMING ONE WITH GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER...ONLY
SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS WITH SOME STRONGER OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR THE MODELS REMAIN BASICALLY THE SAME
AS YESTERDAY. THE LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS IN EVEN BETTER
AGREEMENT THAN YESTERDAY WITH THE LARGE BERING SEA PARENT LOW
PRESSURE. THE JET AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH TIMING/STRUCTURE ARE ALL
VERY SIMILAR AMONG MODELS...COMING INTO THE COOK INLET REGION LATE
TOMORROW EVENING. THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO BE
TIMING/STRENGTH/TRACK OF THE TRIPLE POINT LOW...AND VARYING
DEGREES OF DOWNSLOPE DRYING. LIQUID PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS RANGE
FROM .1 INCHES TO .3 INCHES IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA. EVEN THOUGH
SOME DIFFERENCES ARE PRESENT...THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT ON
BEGINNING PRECIPITATION IN ANCHORAGE BOWL IN THE MID-LATE EVENING
AND ENDING NOT LONG AFTER MIDNIGHT. WEST DOMAIN PREFERRED THE NAM
WHILE THE EAST PREFERRED THE GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST
DURING THE DAY...WITH THE AXIS MOVING INTO THE YUKON THIS
AFTERNOON. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A VERY LARGE BERING SEA CYCLONE
IS ALREADY MOVING INTO KODIAK ISLAND AND WILL PUSH INTO THE
MAINLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS FRONT IS QUITE OCCLUDED
BUT ALSO FAIRLY STRONG AND WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TO MOST AREAS AS IT MOVES THROUGH. THIS PRECIP WILL
BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW FOR INLAND AREAS...WITH RAIN ALONG
THE COASTAL AREAS AND NEAR KACHEMAK BAY. THIS FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN LATER TONIGHT AND THEN EAST OF THE AREA
MONDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE ALSO A BIT TRICKY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS A
TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS
AFTERNOON...MOVE INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY MIDNIGHT AND THEN
PUSH INLAND NEAR VALDEZ LATE TONIGHT. FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL HAVE SOUTHWESTERLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT
WHICH WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING INCREASINGLY
STRONG GUSTS TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA AS WELL AS HIGH SEAS AND
SURF. OBSERVATIONS (BOTH SURFACE AND UPPER AIR) THIS MORNING
CAPTURE THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT BEGINNING
TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AS RAIN. THE FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY OCCLUDE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL HELP COLDER AIR TO ADVECT INLAND AND PRODUCE
A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SNOW. BY TONIGHT...850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO -6 TO -8 DEGREES CELSIUS AND LIKELY ALL
PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE CHANGED OVER TO SNOW. THE STEADY
PRECIPITATION OBSERVED TODAY WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE ON
MONDAY AS COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL THE DEVELOPMENT
OF PRECIPITATION UNDER THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE TOUGH TO PINPOINT DUE TO THE SHOWERY NATURE OF
PRECIPITATION BUT IT LOOKS LIKE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW SHOULD BE
FAIRLY COMMON THROUGH MONDAY WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG UPSLOPE
LOCATIONS. THERE HAS BEEN SOME CONCERN FOR BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE
COASTAL LOCATIONS BUT BECAUSE OF THE SHOWERY NATURE OF THE
SNOW...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF BLOWING SNOW CONDITIONS APPEARS VERY
UNLIKELY. THERE COULD BE BRIEF PERIODS WHERE VISIBILITIES DROP TO
1 MILE OR LESS BUT SHOULD GENERALLY PERSIST LESS THAN ONE HOUR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WIDESPREAD GALE AND STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE
BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IN RESPONSE TO A
STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. A
STOUT WARM FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND BRING SOME LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS OF
60 TO 65 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. COLD AIR WILL QUICKLY
FILTER IN BEHIND THIS FRONT AS IT OCCLUDES OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA...WHICH IS EVIDENT BY LOOKING AT TEMPERATURE TRACES OVER
SHEMYA...ADAK AND ATKA. THIS COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL NOT ONLY
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...BUT ALSO
CREATE A REMOTE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
BERING SEA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL STEEPEN
THE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND INTERACT WITH SOME SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD GENERALLY ACT TO ENHANCE LOCAL
RAINFALL/SNOWFALL RATES BUT WITH ENOUGH INSTABILITY A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK UNDER THE BROAD
TROUGH THAT ENCOMPASSES THE BERING SEA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE OVERWHELMING FORECAST CONCERN FOR THE MID- TO LATE-WEEK
PERIOD IS THE GROWING LIKELIHOOD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
UNDERGO EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS (A.K.A. BOMBOGENESIS) AS IT TREKS
QUICKLY ALONG THE GREAT CIRCLE ROUTE FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
TUESDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA LATE WEEK. THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING POWERFUL
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH AND WEST TO THE FAR SOUTH-
CENTRAL BERING SEA AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EAST THROUGH THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS. THE GFS
AND EC MODELS NOW AGREE ON THE GENERAL PLACEMENT...TRACK...AND
INTENSITY OF THIS LOW...WITH THE CANADIAN MODEL ONLY SLIGHTLY
FASTER.

AS A RESULT OF THIS BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT...THE GRIDDED AND TEXT
FORECASTS WILL NOW SHOW A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN WINDS TO IMPACT
THESE AREAS DURING THIS TIME...BUT WILL REMAIN FOR THIS MORNING'S FORECAST
PACKAGE A BIT BELOW THE FULL STRENGTH AS DEPICTED BY THE GFS
MODEL. HIGH WIND WATCHES AND POSSIBLY WARNINGS MAY BE NEED TO BE
ISSUED FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS EAST THROUGH THE
ALASKA PENINSULA IF CURRENT TRENDS HOLD AND/OR CONTINUE FOR LATE
TUESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THOSE WITH INTERESTS IN OR NEAR
ADAK...ATKA...DUTCH HARBOR/UNALASKA...FALSE PASS...COLD BAY...KING
COVE...AND SAND POINT SHOULD CHECK BACK FREQUENTLY FOR FURTHER
DETAILS ON THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS AS WE APPROACH MID-WEEK.

OTHERWISE...ONSHORE FLOW AND SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASINGLY OFFSHORE FLOW BY THE END OF THE WEEK
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED BERING LOW WEAKENS (YET STILL REMAINS QUITE
STRONG) IN THE CENTRAL GULF. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE COLDEST AIR
MASS OF THIS WINTER SEASON TO BUILD SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND...COLDEST IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. STRONG OFFSHORE
WINDS THROUGH TERRAIN GAPS MAY ALSO BECOME POSSIBLE ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST DURING THIS TIME.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING...145
 		 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...101 111
		 HIGH SURF ADVISORY...155.
MARINE...GALES...119 120 125 131 132 138 150 155 160 165 170
				 172-178 180.
		 STORMS...179 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...CC