Gale Warning 748, NWS Anchorage, AK

220 
FZAK52 PAFC 061214
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070115-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 997 MB LOW 400 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 440 NM NORTH OF
SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON AT 999 MB AND DISSIPATES. A 1003 MB LOW
DEVELOPS 380 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO
230 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AT 966 MB EARLY SUN. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS EARLY SAT AND MOVES EASTWARD
THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ150-070115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ155-070115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING TO 45 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 30 KT GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE EVENING. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-070115-
BRISTOL BAY-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ165-070115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF PORT MOLLER IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ170-070115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NW 35 KT IN THE MORNING E OF DUTCH
HARBOR. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ171-070115-
UNALASKA BAY-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-070115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NW 40 KT IN THE MORNING E OF DUTCH
HARBOR. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-070115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ174-070115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-070115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ176-070115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-070115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ178-070115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ179-070115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ180-070115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ181-070115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-070115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
314 AM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHWEST WIND 25 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. E OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

232 
FZAK52 PAFC 070010
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071245-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 996 MB LOW 430 NM N OF ATTU MOVES TO 40 NM EAST OF ST MATTHEW
ISLAND AS A 1002 MB LOW FRI NIGHT AND DISSIPATES SAT MORNING. A
989 MB LOW 370 NM N OF ATTU SAT MORNING MOVES TO 45 NM NORTHWEST
OF SAVOONGA AND STRENGTHENS TO 959 MB SAT AFTERNOON WITH A FRONT
STRETCHING BACK TO KAMCHATKA. A 1008 MB LOW 470 NM SOUTH OF ATTU SAT
MORNING MOVES TO 140 NM NORTH OF ADAK AND DISSIPATES SAT EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-071245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ155-071245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ160-071245-
BRISTOL BAY-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-071245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ170-071245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ171-071245-
UNALASKA BAY-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ172-071245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ173-071245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ174-071245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-071245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ176-071245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ177-071245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-071245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-071245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ180-071245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-071245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ185-071245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
310 PM AKST FRI NOV 6 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 40 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
501 AM AKST THU NOV 5 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE ALL-ENCOMPASSING FEATURE ALOFT TODAY IS A BEAST OF AN UPPER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE BERING SEA...WHICH HAS EFFECTIVELY
BECOME THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. A PRETTY CONTINUOUS JET STREAM PEAKING
OUT AT 120 KTS RUNS FROM KAMCHATKA DROPPING SOUTHWARD AROUND THE
TROUGH AND CURVING BACK UP INTO THE GULF. THE AFOREMENTIONED
SYSTEM IS FULLY MATURED AND WRAPPED UP IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA
AS THE JET STREAM BEGINS TO OUT-PACE IT AND SHIFT EASTWARD OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE MAIN OCCLUDED FRONT IS CURRENTLY MAKING
LANDFALL EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND MOVING
INTO THE GULF...WHICH IS WHERE THE STEADIEST
PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY RAIN NEAR SEA LEVEL...EXISTS WITH THIS
SYSTEM. DESPITE ENTERING A WEAKENING PHASE OF ITS LIFE CYCLE...THE
SYSTEM STILL PACKS A PUNCH IN THE WIND FIELD WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
IN THE MID 960 MB RANGE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE LOW...AIDED BY MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR IN COLD
ADVECTION...WHICH IS WRAPPING AROUND THE SOUTH-SIDE OF THE SYSTEM.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
AS THE CURRENT SYSTEM IS PAST DEVELOPMENT AND INTO A
MATURE/WEAKENING STAGE...GUIDANCE IS IN REALLY GREAT AGREEMENT
WITH THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF FEATURES BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE
SURFACE. THE ONLY DIFFERENCES ARISE FROM SPATIAL RESOLUTION AND
TERRAIN HANDLING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LARGE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE PATTERN REMAINS
PROGRESSIVE. THE LOW CENTER WILL CROSS KODIAK LATE TONIGHT AND BE
JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. A STRONG FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVE ASHORE TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING STRONG
WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO COASTAL AREAS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
INLAND. SOME INLAND AREAS THAT WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
INCLUDE THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY AND SOUTHERN COPPER RIVER
VALLEY WHERE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE
FAIRLY STRONG ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
THE FRONT AND WITH THE SURFACE LOW TO THE WEST. PRECIPITATION TYPE
IS A CHALLENGE FOR AREAS NEAR COOK INLET THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW PUSHES WARM AIR NORTHWARD. AFTER THE FRONT MOVES INLAND
TONIGHT CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA FOR
CONTINUED SHOWERS...DIMINISHING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. COOLER AIR
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SEEP INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AS THE FLOW BECOMES
NORTHWESTERLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

AS THE ALEUTIAN LOW MOVES ACROSS THE AKPEN TODAY AND
TONIGHT...WIND AND RAIN WILL AFFECT THE REGION DURING THE
DAY...WITH SOME SNOW FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND VALLEY OVERNIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. AS THE LOW CONTINUES MOVING EAST COLDER AIR WILL FILTER
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW
WILL END ON SAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS BRISTOL BAY TODAY WILL KEEP
RAIN...ALONG WITH GALES AND STORM FORCE WINDS...ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE ALEUTIANS. AS THE LOW CROSSES INTO THE GULF THROUGH
SATURDAY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW.
THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE RAIN SHOWERS AND SMALL
CRAFT LEVEL WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
EVEN THOUGH THE MODELS HAVE THE SAME GENERAL IDEA WITH THE MAIN
PRESSURE CENTERS FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST THERE IS STILL QUITE A
BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN TERMS OF IMPACTS. THE LOW THAT WILL BE IN
THE GULF BY FRIDAY HAS THE MOST AGREEMENT WITH IT MOVING OFF TO
THE EAST AS IT WEAKENS THROUGH THE WEEKEND DIMINISHING
PRECIPITATION FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL. THE OTHER PROBLEM IS THE LOW
MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN BERING OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A LOT
OF DIFFERENCE WITH THE TIMING OF THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
LOW. SOME OF THE MODELS BRING IT INTO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY ON
SUNDAY WHILE SOME OF THE ENSEMBLES ARE MUCH SLOWER RESULTING IN AN
ALMOST 24-HOUR TIME DIFFERENCE. THERE IS ALSO DISAGREEMENT AS TO
WHETHER THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN OR SNOW DEPENDING ON
THE STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM AND HOW MUCH WARM AIR IT BRINGS UP FROM
THE SOUTH. THIS RESULTS IN A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST BY LATE
WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES...141 145.
MARINE...GALES...120 131 132 139 150 160 165 171 176-181
 STORMS....119 125 130 155 170 172-175

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...DK/CC