Gale Warning 671, NWS Anchorage, AK

292 
FZAK51 PAFC 241635 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

UPDATED ZONE 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250315-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW 50 NM WEST OF AKHIOK MOVES ONSHORE BY TONIGHT. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT NEAR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF DISSIPATES BY
TONIGHT. ANOTHER STRONG FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SUN
NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-250315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-250315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT...BRIEFLY GUSTING TO 35 KT NEAR THE COAST
THIS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-250315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
WINDS S OF CAINES HEAD THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-250315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-250315-
PORT VALDEZ-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-250315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-250315-
VALDEZ ARM-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR THE SOUTHERN ARM THIS
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-250315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-250315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-250315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-250315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT....BECOMING SW 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE 
BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...BUILDING TO 10 FT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE 
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-250315-
CHINIAK BAY-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-250315-
MARMOT BAY-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-250315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-250315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-250315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-250315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
835 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

173 
FZAK51 PAFC 242306
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251215-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GULF TONIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO
SUN. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON THEN
TRACKS TO THE CENTRAL GULF MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-251215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT INCREASING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-251215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-251215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-251215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT DURING THE EVENING. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-251215-
PORT VALDEZ-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-251215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-251215-
VALDEZ ARM-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-251215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-251215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-251215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-251215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-251215-
CHINIAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-251215-
MARMOT BAY-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-251215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-251215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-251215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-251215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
431 PM AKDT FRI OCT 23 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING
SEA. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND IS IN THE
PROCESS OF INTENSIFYING. THERE IS ANOTHER UPPER LOW TO THE WEST OF
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHICH IS RAPIDLY MOVING EASTWARD. THIS
SYSTEM IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE POLAR JET. A SYSTEM THAT CONTAINS
THE REMNANTS OF A FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS SITUATED WELL
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL JET. THE POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET STREAMS ARE RUNNING
PARALLEL WITH THE POLAR JET JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND THE
SUBTROPICAL JET JUST SOUTH OF 40 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. THESE
JETS ARE CLOSE ENOUGH FOR INTERACTION BETWEEN THEM.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PORTION OF THE FORECAST...WITH SOME DIFFERENCES DEVELOPING BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THERE ARE TWO FAIRLY STRONG LOWS ON SUNDAY FOR WHICH
THE MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER IN THEIR SOLUTIONS. ONE WILL BE WELL
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE OTHER WELL SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE PRACTICAL (ACTUAL WEATHER) IMPACTS OF
THESE DIFFERENCES ARE MINOR...AND ONLY BEGIN TO BRING UNCERTAINTY
INTO THE FORECAST FOR THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS THUS ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FRONT ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO IMPACT
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OUT OF MANY OF THE COASTAL GAPS LATE THIS
EVENING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES NORTHWARD. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
FROM THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...STRONG DOWNSLOPE
WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN LOWER RAINFALL IN ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT HAD BEEN OVER THE BERING SEA IS NOW MOVING
THROUGH BRISTOL BAY...WHICH WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS AND GUSTY
EASTERLY WINDS (ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE) THROUGH
TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL THEN SPREAD INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY/DELTA BY LATE TONIGHT BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THOSE
AREAS. THIS RAIN MAY ALSO BEGIN TO MIX WITH SNOW OVERNIGHT IN
INTERIOR LOCATIONS...HOWEVER WITH OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN
BERING...PROVING A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES THAT WILL MOVE OVER THE
AREA WITH MOIST ONSHORE FLOW. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL ALSO LIKELY
BRING PATCHY FOG INTO THE AREA FOR SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE BRISTOL BAY COAST. SKIES AND
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN BEGIN TO CLEAR ON SUNDAY AS WEAK RIDGING
MOVES OVERHEAD...PROVING MOST AREAS WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAKENING GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST BY SATURDAY
MORNING...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND RAIN
SHOWERS FROM THE PRIBILOFS INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO DIMINISH.
AS THIS LOW DISSIPATES...A NEW AND MUCH DEEPER LOW WILL APPROACH
THE AKPEN BY SATURDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER THERE IS NOW GOOD CONFIDENCE
THAT THIS LOW WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. AS A RESULT THE
ONLY IMPACTS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM ARE STRONG WINDS AND RAIN
TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN/AKPEN FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

OVER THE WESTERN BERING...A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY TO AREAS WEST OF THE DATELINE. THERE
IS ENOUGH COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM THIS
AFTERNOON TO CREATE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WEST OF SHEMYA WHICH
WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND MAY GIVE A FEW ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES
TO THE WESTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING. SHOWERS OVER THE
AREA WILL THEN DIMINISH SATURDAY AS WEAK RIDGING APPROACHES...GIVING
CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TO THE AREA FOR SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTAINING REMNANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL BE CENTERED AROUND 45N BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND SLOWLY
WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
BRITISH COLUMBIA. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT BRUSH CLOSE ENOUGH TO SPREAD
SOME RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THESE
AREAS. IN RESPONSE TO THIS DEEP LOW...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF SUNDAY THEN BUILD
NORTH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA BY MONDAY MORNING...TAPERING OFF
ANY LINGERING SHOWERS IN THAT AREA. THE NEXT STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND BRING
THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM FORCE WINDS AS IT SWINGS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

THE REMNANTS OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WILL MERGE WITH A LARGE LOW NEAR
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF KAMCHATKA ON MONDAY...AND SLOWLY PROGRESS
EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY TUESDAY MORNING.
MODELS ARE STILL STRUGGLING WITH THE DETAILS OF THESE SYSTEMS.
REGARDLESS OF HOW THE MODELS RESOLVE THESE LOWS...THEY WILL LIKELY
BRING RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND
WESTERN BERING SEA EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT IS LIKELY THAT THE CHAMPI
REMNANTS WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN INTO A LARGE ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY MID WEEK. FRONTAL WAVES
WILL BEGIN SWINGING FURTHER NORTH INTO THE WESTERN GULF BRINGING
RAINY AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO COASTAL AREAS TUESDAY AND THEN
SPREADING PRECIPITATION FURTHER INLAND WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY AND
INTO FRIDAY...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MIGRATE INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA WITH A COLD UPPER TROUGH SETTLING OVER NORTHERN AND
INTERIOR ALASKA...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF WET AND WINDY WEATHER
TO PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL. CONFIDENCE IN THIS FEATURE REMAINS BELOW
AVERAGE DUE TO MODEL DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE PLACEMENT OF THE
SYSTEM IN THE GULF.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 125 130 131 139 155 172 174.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...TP