Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 611, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 24, 2015, 3:11 PM AKDT. It was in force for 4 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 24, 2015, 3:11 PM AKDT (23:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 28, 2015, 3:05 PM AKDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
237 FZAK62 PAFC 242311 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 311 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-251400- 311 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 995 MB LOW NEAR 59N 166W MOVES TO 61N 167W AT 1005 MB BY SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATES. A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SAT NIGHT...THEN STALLS AND GRADUALLY WEAKENS THROUGH MON. A 969 MB LOW NEAR 46N 177E SUN NIGHT MOVES TO 50N 179W AT 965 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-251400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 311 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SUN...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$ PKZ412-251400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 311 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ413-251400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 311 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$ PKZ414-251400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 311 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015 .TONIGHT...SW TO NW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. $$
8 follow-up statements
551 FZAK62 PAFC 251146 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 346 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-260100- 346 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS THROUGH MON. A 965 MB LOW NEAR 47N 177E SUN NIGHT MOVES TO 50N 180 AT 969 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-260100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 346 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$ PKZ412-260100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 346 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ413-260100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 346 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$ PKZ414-260100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 346 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. $$
095 FZAK62 PAFC 252332 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 332 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-261330- 332 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS THROUGH MON. A 969 MB LOW NEAR 45N 177E SUN NIGHT MOVES TO 51N 167W AT 978 MB TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-261330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 332 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ412-261330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 332 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ413-261330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 332 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ414-261330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 332 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
505 FZAK62 PAFC 261147 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 347 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-270100- 347 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS INTO TUE. A 976 MB LOW NEAR 47N 179E MOVES TO 50N 173W AT 970 MB LATE MON NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 53N 163W AT 977 MB LATE TUE NIGHT. A FRONT DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN BERING MON AFTERNOON AND PERSISTS THERE THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-270100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 347 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 TO 24 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ412-270100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 347 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ413-270100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 347 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ414-270100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 347 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING E 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
311 FZAK62 PAFC 262320 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 320 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-271330- 320 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 968 MB LOW AT 49N 150E MOVES TO 45N 177E AS A 986 MB LOW TUE MORNING AND DISSIPATES TUE EVENING. A 977 MB LOW NEAR 47N 179E MOVES TO 52N 162W. A 962 MB LOW AT 48N 157W WEAKENS TO 986 MB AS IT MOVES TO 57N 156W. $$ PKZ411-271330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 320 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 TO 24 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$ PKZ412-271330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 320 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$ PKZ413-271330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 320 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ414-271330- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 320 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
651 FZAK62 PAFC 271121 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 321 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-280045- 321 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...A 977 MB LOW NEAR 50N 173W MOVES TO 53N 160W AT 982 MB LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MERGES WITH THE LOW NEAR 58N 150W AT 986 MB LATE WED NIGHT. A STRONG FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING WEAKENS WHILE SLOWLY MOVING TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING BY LATE WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-280045- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 321 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 23 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$ PKZ412-280045- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 321 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$ PKZ413-280045- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 321 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ414-280045- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 321 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
739 FZAK62 PAFC 272301 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 301 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-281400- 301 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 986 MB LOW AT 45N 170E MOVES TO 56N 140W AS A 974 MB LOW BY THU AFTERNOON. A 978 MB LOW NEAR 49N 173W MOVES TO 53N 156W AND DISSIPATES WED AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW AT 51N 154W MOVES TO 57N 153W THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-281400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 301 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 23 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. $$ PKZ412-281400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 301 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 25 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$ PKZ413-281400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 301 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$ PKZ414-281400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 301 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$
569 FZAK62 PAFC 281158 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 358 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-290100- 358 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...A BROAD COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN GULF WILL DRIFT EAST INTO THE GULF BY THU AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN BERING THU. $$ PKZ411-290100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 358 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. $$ PKZ412-290100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 358 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT. $$ PKZ413-290100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 358 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. $$ PKZ414-290100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 358 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. $$
516 FZAK62 PAFC 282305 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 305 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-291345- 305 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 983 MB LOW AT 51N 169W MOVES TO 55N 152W THU AFTERNOON AS A 988 MB LOW AND DISSIPATES THU NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW NEAR 54N 158W MOVES TO 60N 148W FRI MORNING AS A 985 MB LOW. $$ PKZ411-291345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 305 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 TO 25 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. $$ PKZ412-291345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 305 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. $$ PKZ413-291345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 305 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. $$ PKZ414-291345- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 305 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. WINDS STRONGEST W OF 168W. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 24, 5:36 AM AKDT, 9 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 24, 5:36 AM AKDT, 9 hours 35 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
536 AM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MAINLAND ALASKA...CURRENTLY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED
OVER THE EASTERN BERING. EXTENDING FROM THE LOW IS A FRONT
PUSHING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE GULF COLLOCATED WITH A NEGATIVELY-
TILTED UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GULF IS BRINGING MOISTURE INTO MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE MOISTURE IS BEING UPLIFTED INTO THE KENAI
AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS BY THE STRONG WINDS. THE FRONT MARKS THE
BACK EDGE OF THE MOISTURE PLUME AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE
FRONT ON SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. IN A COMMON PATTERN FOR THE COOK
INLET REGION...THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS DOWNSLOPING OFF THE LEE
SIDE OF THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS...CREATING AN AREA WITH NO
PRECIPITATION FROM THE ANCHORAGE BOWL SOUTH ALONG MUCH OF THE
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA. THE DOWNSLOPING IS WARMING AND DRYING THE
LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. WHERE UPSLOPING RESUMES AGAIN ON
THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE...THE REFLECTIVITY VALUES
SHOWN ON THE KENAI RADAR PICK RIGHT BACK UP AGAIN. THE 00Z
ANCHORAGE SOUNDING ALSO SHOWS THE EFFECTS OF THE
DOWNSLOPING...WITH A STOUT INVERSION EVIDENT FROM RIGHT OFF THE
SURFACE. WIDESPREAD SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY CLOSER TO THE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA CONTINUES THIS
MORNING...THOUGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LIGHT.
BERING SEA... THE BROAD SURFACE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING LIES
EAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING. OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...A SHORTWAVE EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW IS MOVING EAST. THE SHORTWAVE IS BUCKLING THE JET. AS IT
PROGRESSES EAST IT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ENERGIZED AND
NEGATIVELY-TILTED AS IT TAPS COLDER AIR OVER THE BERING. THIS WILL
RESULT IN RAPID CYCLOGENESIS SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS GOING
INTO TONIGHT.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT A SIMILAR SYNOPTIC PATTERN
THROUGH MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK...BUT ALSO CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH
THE DEVELOPMENT OF TWO STRONG LOWS...THE FIRST ACROSS THE NORTH
PACIFIC SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...THE OTHER BEING THE
LEFTOVER REMNANTS OF FORMER TYPHOON CHAMPI OVER THE WESTERN
BERING. THE FIRST SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL ONLY BE A
GLANCING BLOW TO PARTS OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN ALASKA
PENINSULA...AS WELL AS THE ASSOCIATED COASTAL MARINE WATERS. THE
GFS AND NAM ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE DEVELOPING THIS STRONG STORM FORCE
LOW FARTHER NORTH...BRINGING IN STRONGER GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS
TO THOSE AREAS. THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN REGIONAL AND GLOBAL MODELS
ARE FARTHER SOUTH. FOR NOW...A MORE NORTHERN SOLUTION WAS FAVORED
GIVEN BOTH THE LATEST MODEL TRENDS AND CURRENT SATELLITE
DATA...WHICH IS HINTING AT THE NORTHERN LOW ALONG THE POLAR JET
BEING MORE DOMINANT. THIS BRINGS STORM FORCE WINDS INTO SOME OF
THE COASTAL WATERS...AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE WESTERN ALASKA
PENINSULA. OVER THE BERING WITH THE REMNANTS OF CHAMPI...THE SREF
AND ECMWF WERE FAVORED...WHICH SUPPORTS A STORM FORCE REMNANT LOW
OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS AS CHAMPI RECURVES
NORTHWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. OVER SOUTHCENTRAL...THE
NAM AND CANADIAN REGIONAL WERE FAVORED DUE TO THEIR DEPICTION OF
DOWNSLOPE PRECIPITATION PATTERNS ACROSS INTERIOR LOCATIONS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MODERATELY HIGH.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF MOVES ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON
AND WEAKENS OVER THE INTERIOR TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD GALES ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF STORMS
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS MORNING. STRONG GAP FLOWS ACROSS
TURNAGAIN ARM/PORTAGE VALLEY WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON WITH
FRONTAL PASSAGE. BRISK SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. BRISK
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE MATANUSKA VALLEY WILL DIMINISH
THIS EVENING. WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL MAINLAND WILL BECOME
RELATIVELY LIGHT OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN SO THROUGH SUN. RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL GIVE WAY TO SHOWERS OVERNIGHT WITH
DRYING ON SUN UNDER INCREASING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. THE COAST
THOUGH ON SUN MAY SEE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS.
ANOTHER FRONT MOVING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN GULF AND
KODIAK ISLAND.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...SAT AND
SUN)...
THE FRONT HAS MOVED INLAND FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH
MINIMAL IMPACTS AND LITTLE IF ANY SNOW MIXING IN WITH THE RAIN.
NOW WE WILL WATCH A WEAK LOW SPINNING THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING
TODAY CONTINUE TO PUSH RAIN SHOWERS ONSHORE AND BRINGING SOME
GUSTY WINDS TO THE BRISTOL BAY COAST. THIS LOW WILL TRACK NORTH
ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE DAY. THEN ALL OF THE ENERGY IN THE
AREA WILL GO INTO A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY
BY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME RIDGING STARTING TO
BUILD OVER THE MAINLAND AND CONTINUED WARM SOUTHEAST FLOW. WHILE
THE RIDGE WILL BRING SOME DRYING WITH IT...IT SHOULD ALSO LEAD TO
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD FOG SUNDAY MORNING...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
DENSE IN SPOTS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...SAT AND
SUN)...
THIS IS WHERE THE FOCUS WILL BE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS AS
TWO FAIRLY STRONG LOWS WILL TAKE SHAPE. THE FIRST WILL BE A
DEEPENING SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PUSHING
NORTH-NORTHEAST WILL BE MET BY A FINGER OF THE POLAR JET THIS
MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN IMPRESSIVE PHASING AND CAUSE THE
CENTRAL PRESSURE TO DROP SOMEWHERE IN THE RANGE OF 30 TO 40 MB
RANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH
THE EXACT DETAILS OF THIS FEATURE (SEE MODEL DISCUSSION) BUT THEY
ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT NOW THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER
GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CREEP NORTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAIN WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA. THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MEANDER INTO THE
GULF BY MON...SO EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AK
PENINSULA THROUGH SUN.
FURTHER WEST...VIGOROUS COLD AIR ALOFT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES BETWEEN SHEMYA AND ADAK. THESE SHOULD
TRACK EAST AND DISSIPATE BY TONIGHT. BUT SOME OF THAT COLD AIR
WILL REMAIN AND WILL CAUSE ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OUT
THERE MON MORNING. AGAIN...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE PARTLY
RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS SURFACE LOW'S DEVELOPMENT. EXACTLY WHERE THE
CIRCULATION CENTER TRACKS IS STILL UP FOR DEBATE. HOWEVER...IT
DOES APPEAR TO BE A STRONG...TIGHT CIRCULATION WITH AT LEAST
STORM FORCE WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THE TRENDS TODAY TO
SEE IF A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN ORDER.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
BY MONDAY MORNING THE LARGE RATHER DEEP VERTICALLY STACKED LOW
WILL BE LOCATED WELL SOUTH OF THE WESTERN GULF...GRADUALLY
FILLING AS IT DRIFTS EAST THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF ON MONDAY
BRINGING EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY GALES WITH IT. THE FRONT WILL
WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT
TO STALL AROUND THE SOUTHERN KENAI TUESDAY. NORTHERLY OFFSHORE FLOW
AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE INLAND SHOULD KEEP PRECIPITATION MAINLY
CONFINED TO THE COASTAL AREAS. AN ACTIVE NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM
WILL SPIN ADDITIONAL...PROGRESSIVELY STRENGTHENING FRONTAL
SYSTEMS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
BRINGING WINDY CONDITIONS AND SPREADING PRECIPITATION FURTHER
INLAND.
FURTHER WEST A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD GALES AND AN AREA OF STORM
FORCE WINDS WITH IT. AS THIS DEEP LOW AND THE DEEP LOW SOUTH OF
THE GULF WEAKEN THEY WILL PHASE INTO A VERY LONG WEST TO EAST
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNNING ALL THE WAY FROM 160E TO 130W. SMALLER
SCALE CIRCULATIONS SPINNING AROUND IN THE BROADER TROUGH WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS UNSETTLED WITH AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWER COVERAGE
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS...ALASKA PENINSULA AND MUCH OF THE BERING AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH MIDWEEK. ON THURSDAY A TRANSIENT RIDGE
ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THEN PROGRESS EAST
BRINGING A BRIEF DRIER BREAK WITH IT BEFORE THE NEXT FRONTAL
SYSTEM SWEEPS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 172.
GALE WARNING 125 129 150 155 170 171 174 178.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW/JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...JRThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 3:35 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:35 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:35 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:54 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:54 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:05 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Oct 24, 3:06 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Oct 24, 3:06 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:12 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Oct 24, 3:12 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.