Gale Warning 64, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Jan 14, 2015, 3:00 PM AKST (00:00 UTC)

Expired

Jan 15, 2015, 3:30 AM AKST

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

859 
FZAK52 PAFC 150000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151230-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 981 MB LOW 140 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN OVER THE FAR
SOUTHWESTERN BERING SEA WED NIGHT AND THU. A 961 MB LOW 210 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL TRACK TO NEAR 57N 159W THU AFTERNOON
THEN WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ150-151230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E... NE WIND
25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151230-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-151230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
PORT MOLLER...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151230-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT PACIFIC SIDE...15 KT BERING SIDE.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-151230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 14, 5:25 AM AKST, 9 hours 35 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
525 AM AKST WED JAN 14 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA EXTENDING THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER BASIN INTO THE BROOKS
RANGE AREA AND THROUGH THE EASTERN SIBERIAN REGION. THERE IS AN
UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW FORMING NEAR 55N 150W THIS MORNING WITH A
974 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE AT 50N 150W. THE SATELLITE
IMAGERY IS SHOWING A LARGE COMMA CLOUD WITH THE CLOUD SHIELD
EXTENDING THROUGH THE GULF SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
AREA. THE ASCAT SCATTEROMETER WINDS ARE DEPICTING SOUTHEASTERLY SMALL
CRAFT WINDS THROUGHOUT THE GULF BRINGING IN MORE WARM AIR TO THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND AREAS. THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL BRING A
WEATHER FRONT TO THE EASTERN GULF EXTENDING INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF WHICH WILL BRING MORE RAIN MAINLY ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COASTLINE THROUGH THURSDAY...WHILE THE INLAND AREAS WILL HAVE
DOWNSLOPE DRYING CONDITIONS. THERE IS A SECOND NORTH PACIFIC LOW
UPSTREAM LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS RESULTING IN A
LARGE SWATH OF CLOUDS AND MOISTURE SPREADING INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS AND STARTING TO SPILLOVER INTO THE LOWER CENTRAL BERING
SEA. THESE NORTH PACIFIC LOWS ARE ACCOMPANIED BY A MERIDIONAL 190
KNOT SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
REGION AT 500 MB HAS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA EXTENDING INTO THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THIS IS RESULTING
IN SHOWERY PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
MID 20S IN THE INLAND AREAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN SPOTTY FREEZING
RAIN TO OCCUR THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THIS COINCIDES WITH THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THROUGH MIDDAY
TODAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TWO NORTH
PACIFIC LOWS APPROACHING THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY
WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS MERGE THE TWO LOWS INTO ONE LOW JUST SOUTH
OF SAND POINT REGION BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE NAM WAS THE OUTLIER
WITH THE QPF FIELDS WITH THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD BEING SLOWER
THAN THE OTHER MODELS AS THE WEATHER FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE GULF
INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE PREFERRED MODELS OF CHOICE
WERE THE GEM-REG AND THE EC. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE
AVERAGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE MODELS SHOW SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH THE POSSIBLE TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMING BY EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

YET ANOTHER STRONG LOW IS ROLLING UP OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC
TOWARD THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND BRINGING A STRONG WARM FRONT
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO BE MOSTLY RAIN
OVER MOST OF THE AREA AS THERE IS A LOT OF WARM AIR IN THE SYSTEM.
STRONG WINDS WILL KEEP THE DOWNSLOPE EFFECT STRONG AND THEREFORE
RAINFALL ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE QUITE
LIMITED. THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL SEE SOME SNOW AS IT WILL BE
THE COLDEST AREA...BUT DOWNSLOPING WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION THERE AS WELL. THE CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IS
LIMITED AS TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY ABOVE FREEZING OVER A GOOD
PART OF THE AREA WITH WARMER AIR MOVING IN. BY THURSDAY NIGHT
ENOUGH COLDER AIR WILL BE FILTERING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL TO BRING
SOME SNOW BACK INTO THE MIX.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND THU)...
HEADACHES CONTINUE WITH PRECIPITATION TYPE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY THAT MOVED QUICKLY FROM THE KING
SALMON AREA UP THROUGH BETHEL HAS BROUGHT ANOTHER PUSH OF WARM AIR
AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS HAS CAUSED MANY PLACES TO ACTUALLY SEE THEIR
TEMPERATURES CLIMB OVERNIGHT. FOR THAT REASON...WE HAVE CANCELLED
THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. IT REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE DELTA AS SOME PLACES FROM BETHEL TOWARDS THE COAST
REMAIN BELOW FREEZING WITH A RATHER ACTIVE RADAR THIS MORNING.

AND WITH MINIMAL BREAK...THE ATMOSPHERE IS SETTING THE STAGE TO DO
IT ALL OVER AGAIN. A STRENGTHENING LOW IS MOVING FROM THE GULF OF
AK TOWARDS THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. MODELS HAVE
TRENDED FASTER WITH THIS FEATURE OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS...SO WE
BUMPED UP THE TIMING SOMEWHAT ON PRECIPITATION AND WINDS. THE
INITIAL WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE OVER THE INTERIOR PORTION OF
BRISTOL BAY THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING THE BEST CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION. AFTER THIS...DEEP LAYER FLOW SHOULD BECOME MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY AND START TO DOWNSLOPE LOCATIONS IN THE LEE OF THE
ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS
BRISTOL BAY BY FRI MORNING AS IT BEGINS TO WEAKEN. BUT IT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH WARM...MOIST AIR EVEN NORTH OF THE KILBUCKS. SO
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN CREATE A CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN FOR SPOTS
THAT CAN HOLD ONTO COLD ENOUGH AIR. WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR
FUTURE HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL RUNS TO NAIL DOWN ANY SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS AND ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS...BUT RIGHT NOW NOTHING LOOKS
SIGNIFICANT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...WED AND
THU)...INDEED THE LOW APPROACHING FROM THE GULF IS THE
PREDOMINANT LOW AND STEALING ENERGY FROM THE CIRCULATION SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE PREDOMINANT LOW WILL CREATE SOME GALE
FORCE WINDS FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN ALEUTIANS TODAY WHILE SMALL
CRAFT CONDITIONS DOMINATE ELSEWHERE. WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUITE
QUIET OVER THIS AREA THROUGH MOST OF THU. BUT MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH SOME ARCTIC AIR STARTING TO SPILL INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING FROM SIBERIA LATE THU INTO FRI. THIS SHOULD BRING A
WIDESPREAD AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS AND PLENTY OF COLD AIR
SHOWERS. IT SHOULD ALSO ALLOW THE ICE EDGE TO START TO GROW
SOUTHWARD.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW WILL TAKE UP RESIDENCE OVER THE EASTERN
BERING FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE
BERING AND RIDGING OVER WESTERN CANADA AND AK. THIS WILL KEEP WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW MOVING OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AK. COLD AIR WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF
THE LOW...WITH SNOW SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW COLD AIR TO ONLY
AFFECT THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA DURING THAT
TIME. ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL APPROACH THE
ALEUTIANS WITH WIND...AND SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
         STORMS 119 120 131 138
         GALES 130 132 136 137 139 150 155 160 165 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...DS

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.