Gale Warning 569, NWS Anchorage, AK

582 
FZAK51 PAFC 132310 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141215-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE GULF THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FRONT
ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF TONIGHT AND THEN MOVES INTO THE
EASTERN GULF MON. A 999 MB LOW FORMS 160 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT
MON EVENING THEN MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SEWARD AT 995 MB TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-141215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-141215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-141215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-141215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-141215-
PORT VALDEZ-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-141215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-141215-
VALDEZ ARM-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-141215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-141215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-141215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-141215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-141215-
CHINIAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-141215-
MARMOT BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-141215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-141215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-141215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

525 
FZAK51 PAFC 141140
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150045-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON.
A 999 MB LOW DEVELOPS 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT THIS EVENING AND REMAINS
STATIONARY...THEN DISSIPATES TUE AFTERNOON. A 997 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR
THE COOK INLET AND MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AT 995 MB EARLY
WED.


$$

PKZ119-150045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-150045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-150045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-150045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT DIMINISHING THIS MORNING. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-150045-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-150045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-150045-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-150045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-150045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-150045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-150045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-150045-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-150045-
MARMOT BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-150045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-150045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-150045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-150045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT...GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR THE OUTER BAY THROUGH
THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

306 
FZAK51 PAFC 142300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151200-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 997 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
TUE NIGHT THEN MOVE NORTH AND DISSIPATE WED. 

$$

PKZ119-151200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...SOUTH WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151200-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151200-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151200-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151200-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-151200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 14 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
505 AM AKDT SUN SEP 13 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS EXTREMELY
CONVOLUTED ACROSS THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY AND WILL MAKE FOR A
STRANGE PATTERN FOR THE DAYS AHEAD. WORKING FROM WEST TO
EAST...THE SUBTROPICAL JET SURGES FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA INTO THE WESTERN BERING AT ABOUT
150 KT. THIS IS USHERING THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TYPHOON KILO INTO
THE AREA. NEXT UP IS A FINGER OF THE POLAR JET DIVING DOWN FROM
THE BERING STRAIT INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AT 100 KT. OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC IS POSSIBLY THE STRANGEST PART OF THE PATTERN. THE REMNANT
MOISTURE OF WHAT ONCE LONG-AGO WAS HURRICANE JIMENA IS TRYING TO
STREAM NORTHWARD. IT IS NOW A CLOSED LOW WITH ABOUT A 100 KT JET
SUPPORTING IT. ON ITS WEST AND EAST FLANKS ARE TWO AREAS OF
RIDGING WHICH GIVES THE ENTIRE COMPLEX THE LOOK OF A REVERSE OMEGA
BLOCK. FINALLY...THE SUBTROPICAL JET CONTINUES FROM THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE GULF OF AK INTO SOUTHERN CANADA AT ABOUT 120 KT. ALL
THIS TO SAY THAT MUCH OF THE STATE WILL REMAIN UNDER THE SOMEWHAT
UNUSUAL WET NORTHWEST FLOW.

THE COLD FRONT THAT SWEPT THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL SATURDAY IS NOW
WEAKENING OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. IT BROUGHT ABOUT A HALF
INCH OF RAIN TO WEST ANCHORAGE AND OVER AN INCH TO THE UPSLOPE
REGIONS OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY. WITH SO MUCH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...THERE IS PLENTY OF GROUND FOG MOVING IN AND OUT OF THE
AIRPORTS THIS MORNING. A WEAKENING OCCLUSION IS PUSHING A FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD AREA OF LIGHT RAIN THROUGH THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE...BUT THE PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT ACROSS
THE AK RANGE TONIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ALL
FEATURES IN THE SHORT TERM (THROUGH MON MORNING). THIS RESULTS IN
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE DURING THIS PERIOD. FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AND
THE GULF OF AK...A NAM/GFS COMBO WAS PREFERRED. AFTER THAT...THE
MAIN ISSUES THAT EMERGE ARE IN HANDLING WHAT HAPPENS ACROSS THE
BERING UNDER THE STOUT NORTHWESTERLY JET. SYSTEMS SHOULD DEVELOP
AND MOVE QUITE QUICKLY IN THAT FLOW...SO MARGIN FOR ERROR COULD BE
RATHER HIGH...ESPECIALLY REGARDING TIMING OF FEATURES. WHILE THE
AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN RUSSIA AND THE BERING STRAIT IS
NOT TERRIBLY COLD RIGHT NOW...850 MB TEMPERATURES DO DROP TO NEAR
-8C BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WITH SST'S STILL RUNNING NEAR
10C...THIS CONTRAST WILL MAKE THE SCENE RIPE FOR CYCLOGENESIS. THE
WEST FORECAST IS BASED INITIALLY ON A GFS/EC COMBO WITH MORE A
BLEND TO HANDLE THE UNCERTAINTY THAT DEVELOPS AS WE GO THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SOUTHWEST FLOW DEEPENS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH TODAY SPREADING
WETTING RAINS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER IN UPSLOPE AREAS ALONG THE
CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LESSER
AMOUNTS IN THE COPPER BASIN. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH THE
INTERACTION OF THE TURNAGAIN ARM JET COULD PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH AND WEST ANCHORAGE
OVERNIGHT. WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WILL BACK AROUND TO A
MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION TODAY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE FRONT AND
SPREAD NORTH TO THE COOK INLET REGION/SUSITNA VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT. GAP FLOWS WILL ALSO INCREASE ACROSS THE
REGION...MOST NOTABLY TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

ON MON...RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WILL GIVE WAY
TO SHOWERS AS MINOR WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD CYCLONIC UPPER
FLOW PROPAGATE WESTWARD. GAP FLOWS AND WINDS ACROSS COOK INLET
AND THE MAINLAND SHOULD DIMINISH...WITH WINDS ALONG THE COPPER
RIVER THE SLOWEST TO WEAKEN. WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WILL
REMAIN RELATIVELY STRONG AND SHIFT TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A RAPIDLY ADVANCING FRONT WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH
WIDESPREAD RAIN FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY. AS THE WARM FRONT
PASSES...A WARM SECTOR (WITH PLENTIFUL TROPICAL MOISTURE) WITH
STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL PUSH TO THE COAST AND
HIGHER ELEVATIONS INLAND. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
AND WILL BRING SHOWERY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION...WITH UPSLOPE
RAIN CONTINUING ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE KUSKOKWIM...ALASKA...
AND ALEUTIAN RANGES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SOUTHWEST GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
BERING WILL MOVE EAST TO BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA
COAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. BEHIND THE TRAILING COLD
FRONT...WINDS WILL MODERATE WITH JUST SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ANY
WEAK DISTURBANCES THAT MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE BERING IN FAST
ZONAL FLOW THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ARCTIC TROUGH OVER THE NORTH MAINLAND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL
SLOWLY DESCEND TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BY MID WEEK. THIS WILL
DIRECT SHORTWAVES FROM SIBERIA THROUGH THE NORTHERN STREAM AND
INTO THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS...CREATING A SHOWERY REGIME
UNDER PERSISTENT COLD AIR ADVECTION AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. OVER
THE MAINLAND...THE ARCTIC TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD THROUGH THE
END OF NEXT WEEK...PRODUCING ENOUGH FORCING FOR AT LEAST A CHANCE
OF RAIN WITH LIGHT WINDS. AFTERWARDS THE MODELS STRUGGLE WITH THE
EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE TROUGH...BUT ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH
A TROUGH AXIS PERSISTING OVER THE MAINLAND INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS
MEANS THAT COOL AND SHOWERY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 138 150 155 160 165 170 179-181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MSO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...DEK/DS