Gale Warning 516, NWS Anchorage, AK

275 
FZAK51 PAFC 221705 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

UPDATED AREA 120 AND 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230330-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 170 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES TO 90 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT AT 996 MB EARLY SUN...THEN REMAINS STATIONARY AND WEAKENS TO
1010 MB EARLY MON.

$$

PKZ119-230330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT FROM MIDDLETON
ISLAND NORTH AND WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT S OF CAINES HEAD DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH NORTHERN AND
WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 35 KT THROUGH WESTERN AND NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230330-
PORT VALDEZ-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230330-
VALDEZ ARM-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER THROUGH THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230330-
CHINIAK BAY-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230330-
MARMOT BAY-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
905 AM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE INNER BAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE OUTER BAY.
SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 2 FT IN THE INNER BAY LATE IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 KT IN THE INNER BAY IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

577 
FZAK51 PAFC 222324
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231245-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 991 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE NEAR YAKUTAT 
AT 1003 MB SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 1000 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN MORNING AND THEN
MOVE TO 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF PORT ALEXANDER AT 1009 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-231245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231245-
PORT VALDEZ-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231245-
VALDEZ ARM-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231245-
CHINIAK BAY-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231245-
MARMOT BAY-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TONIGHT... VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW WIND 15 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
324 PM AKDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

935 
FZAK51 PAFC 231114
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240015-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT
AT 1008 MB EARLY MON THEN DISSIPATES. AN AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES OVER THE GULF INTO MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-240015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. WINDS
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASS IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN AND
WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240015-
PORT VALDEZ-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240015-
VALDEZ ARM-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240015-
CHINIAK BAY-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240015-
MARMOT BAY-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
314 AM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

003 
FZAK51 PAFC 232310
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241145-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 30 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO 215 NM SOUTH OF
PORT ALEXANDER AT 1012 MB MON AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF MON
NIGHT AND TUE.

$$

PKZ119-241145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-241145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-241145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-241145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN AND
WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-241145-
PORT VALDEZ-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 MPH NEAR VALDEZ. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-241145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-241145-
VALDEZ ARM-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-241145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-241145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-241145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-241145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-241145-
CHINIAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-241145-
MARMOT BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-241145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-241145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-241145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-241145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN AUG 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
418 PM AKDT FRI AUG 21 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MOST OBVIOUS AND IMPRESSIVE FEATURE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY IS AN IMPRESSIVE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS IN THE PROCESS
OF RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE DEVELOPING
FRONT IS LIKELY ALREADY PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS IN THE NORTH
WEST AND SOUTH QUADRANTS. IN A LOT OF WAYS THIS DEVELOPING STORM
HAS A LOT GOING FOR IT...WITH FAVORABLE JET STREAK DYNAMICS ALONG
WITH AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND A DEEP
LAYER OF WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR AVAILABLE IN THE GULF. THIS IS
RESULTING IN A SURFACE LOW THAT HAS DEEPENED ABOUT 10 MB IN THE
LAST 12 HOURS...AND WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN ANOTHER 10 BEFORE
BOTTOMING OUT IN THE HIGH 980S LATE TONIGHT.

ADDITIONALLY...BECAUSE THE UPPER TROUGH IS RAPIDLY CLOSING OFF
INTO AN UPPER LOW AT THE SAME TIME THE SURFACE LOW IS DEEPENING
RAPIDLY...A DEEP LAYER OF ASCENT IN THE AFOREMENTIONED WARM AIR
IS GENERATING AND MAINTAINING AN UNUSUAL OUTBREAK OF STRONG
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST
COASTAL WATERS OF THE GULF THAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

INLAND...THICK MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT
DIURNAL HEATING IN MOST AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO STOP CONVECTIVE
SHOWERS ALREADY FORMING ALONG THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS AND WESTERN
COPPER RIVER BASIN. SOME OF THE SHOWERS FROM THE NORTHWEST GULF
ARE ALSO MAKING IT ACROSS THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS TOWARD
THE POPULATION CENTERS ON THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND ALSO
ANCHORAGE.

WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...WINDS ARE GENERALLY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AS DEEP LAYER HIGH PRESSURE IN THE BERING SEA SLOWLY
EXPANDS EASTWARD. SOME SHOWERS ARE FORMING ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF
THE ALASKA RANGE...BUT IN GENERAL THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND IS GENERALLY UNDER A HEAVY MARITIME INFLUENCE AFTER DAYS
OF ONSHORE FLOW.

WAY OUT WEST...THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIAN REGION IS EXPERIENCING
LIGHT WINDS AND WIDESPREAD MARINE FOG/STRATUS WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION AND SUBSIDENCE (FROM THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE)
REINFORCING LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS. MEANWHILE...THE
ALASKA PENINSULA IS SEEING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AS MASS MOVES
TOWARD THE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE GULF.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT...WITH ONLY MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN THE EXACT TRACK AND PRESSURE OF THE LOW IN THE
GULF. THE GEM REGIONAL IS VERIFYING THE BEST AS OF 18Z/10 AM THIS
MORNING...AND WAS UTILIZED IN THE BEGINNING OF THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST TODAY. THE MOST APPRECIABLE MODEL DIFFERENCE AT THIS TIME
INVOLVES A FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE DOWN THE
FRONT/EAST SIDE OF THE BROAD BERING SEA RIDGE AND INTO THE GULF ON
SUNDAY. NAMELY...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THIS
FEATURE WILL DIG OUT A LITTLE MORE OF THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE GULF
OF ALASKA AND EVEN PULL/DEFORM THE SURFACE LOW POSITION IN THE
GULF A BIT TO THE SOUTH. THE NAM COMPLETELY MISSES THIS
FEATURE...AND AS A RESULT THE 12Z NAM WAS DISCARDED DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA THIS EVENING...WITH A SECONDARY REGION OF WEAKER ASCENT
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA. EVEN WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
OVERHEAD...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SHOWERS...ALONG WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE KENAI PENINSULA...HAVE MANAGED TO
FORM IN ASSOCIATION WITH DIURNAL HEATING THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. MORE EXTENSIVE SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
FORMED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. AS THE LOW DEEPENS IN THE GULF OVERNIGHT...INLAND
SHOWERS WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE OFFSHORE...
RESULTING IN INCREASING NORTHERLY GAP WINDS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
GENERAL DRYING TREND ACROSS INTERIOR ALASKA ON SATURDAY WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE COPPER BASIN...CHUGACH MOUNTAINS...AND TALKEETNA
MOUNTAINS AS MOISTURE FROM THE GULF LOW SURGES INLAND. THE LOW
WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT EAST SUNDAY...BUT BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL
LINGER...ALONG WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY FROM THE WESTERN COPPER
BASIN EASTWARD AS SHOWERS AND CLOUDS REMAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE
DEPARTING LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN AREA OF INSTABILITY ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL KEEP A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. OTHERWISE
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL
KEEP SHOWERY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE
KUSKOKWIM RIVER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN OF THE AKPEN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP SOME SHOWERS
ALONG THE BERING COAST TONIGHT. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
BERING...SHOWERS WILL END OVER MUCH OF THE CHAIN. THE NEXT FRONT
WILL ENTER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH SMALL CRAFT WINDS AND RAIN
SAT...INCREASING TO GALES ON SUN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL EXIT TO THE SOUTHEAST
BY MONDAY...MAKING ROOM FOR A NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE WHICH WILL BUILD
OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND...THE
PREVIOUSLY ESTABLISHED GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
AS THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF TRACKS FURTHER EASTWARD. THAT
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO USHER IN SOME DRIER AIR ACROSS
MUCH OF THE MAINLAND...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW WEAK WAVES
COMING ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE EARLY IN THE WEEK THAT CARRY THE
POTENTIAL TO TRIGGER SOME AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS ALONG HIGHER
TERRAIN.

THE MODELS THROUGH TUESDAY ARE IN FAIR OVERALL AGREEMENT...BUT
BEGIN TO DIVERGE BY MIDWEEK. MAINLY THEY CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH
REGARDS TO THE NORTHERN ENERGY STREAM PUSHING OFF EASTERN SIBERIA
AND AN UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
MORNING. THE ECMWF...BEING THE MORE FAVORABLE SOLUTION...PHASES
THESE TWO SYSTEMS INTO A BROAD TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE BERING
AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BY THURSDAY...AND PUSHING THE
NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE FARTHER SOUTH. THE 12Z RUN OF THE GFS KEEPS
THE RIDGE FARTHER NORTH WITH THE NORTHERN ENERGY STREAM TRACKING
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BY FRIDAY...THEN REBUILDING
STRONGER RIDGING OVER THE BERING INTO THE WEEKEND. BY NEXT
WEEKEND...THE MODEL SPREAD GROWS EVEN LARGER WITH THE GFS KEEPING
RIDGING OVER THE BERING AND THE EC DIGGING ANOTHER TROUGH THROUGH
THE BERING FROM THE NORTH. EVEN THOUGH MODELS HAVE COME INTO
BETTER AGREEMENT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN GIVEN THE
AFOREMENTIONED MODEL DIFFERENCES FROM TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE STARTED TO AGREE ON THE REMNANTS OF ATSANI
TRACKING FARTHER WEST OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THAN PREVIOUSLY
DEPICTED...KEEPING THE SYSTEM WEST OF THE DATE LINE AND SOUTH OF
50N THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 130 131 132 150.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...TP