Gale Warning 483, NWS Anchorage, AK

696 
FZAK51 PAFC 151142 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTEDD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

CORRECTION TO ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160015-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTH AND EASTERN GULF AS A
PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THIS
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TO THE CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY
AND NORTHERN GULF COAST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-160015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-160015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-160015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-160015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-160015-
PORT VALDEZ-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-160015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-160015-
VALDEZ ARM-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-160015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-160015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-160015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-160015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-160015-
CHINIAK BAY-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-160015-
MARMOT BAY-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-160015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-160015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-160015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-160015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
339 AM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

843 
FZAK51 PAFC 152328
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161245-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTH AND EASTERN GULF AS A
PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THIS
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TO THE CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY
AND NORTHERN GULF COAST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-161245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161245-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161245-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON E OF
AUGUSTINE ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR KENNEDY ENTRANCE. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161245-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161245-
MARMOT BAY-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-161245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-161245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 PM AKDT WED JUL 15 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

957 
FZAK51 PAFC 161149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170045-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL LIFT NORTH 
TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT THEN INLAND ON FRIDAY. POST
FRONTAL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN GULF
THROUGH FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF.

$$

PKZ119-170045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING
S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170045-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170045-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT EARLY. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170045-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170045-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT TOWARD EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO S DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO S AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-170045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

694 
FZAK51 PAFC 162359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171315-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA MOVES INLAND
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A BROAD AREA
OF BRISK SOUTH WINDS INTO FRIDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF ON SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ119-171315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING
S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S WIND 25
KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171315-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT TOWARD
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171315-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171315-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171315-
MARMOT BAY-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AROUND MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT THU JUL 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AROUND MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

570 
FZAK51 PAFC 171159
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180115-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL LIFT NORTH
AND INLAND TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ119-180115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-180115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-180115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-180115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-180115-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-180115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.


$$

PKZ128-180115-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-180115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-180115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ131-180115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-180115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-180115-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-180115-
MARMOT BAY-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-180115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-180115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-180115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-180115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
418 PM AKDT TUE JUL 14 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE UPPER LEVELS IS AN EXPANSIVE TROUGH
WITH TWO LOBES THAT IS BEGINNING THE PROCESS OF RETROGRADING AND
MERGING. THE EASTERN LOBE OF THE TROUGH... CENTERED OVER THE
NORTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA... HAS KEPT THE UPPER LEVELS COLD FOR
THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WHICH HAS INCREASED THE TOTAL ATMOSPHERIC
INSTABILITY OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA. THIS IN TURN HAS ALLOWED
FOR AFTERNOON SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS WEAK
DISTURBANCES PASSED THROUGH WITH TERRAIN INTERACTION.

THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AND A WEAK
SURFACE LOW ALSO CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA IS
CONTINUING TO PUMP GULF MOISTURE ON SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW INTO THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND COASTAL KENAI PENINSULA. RESIDUAL CLOUD
COVER IS CROSSING OVER THE KENAI MOUNTAINS INTO THE COOK INLET
REGION. CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS ALREADY BEGUN WHERE MORNING
SUNSHINE AND A MOIST ATMOSPHERE HAVE COUPLED WITH TOPOGRAPHIC
ENHANCEMENT BOTH ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE KILBUCK
MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE WRANGELL MOUNTAINS AND THE ALASKA RANGE
IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH 24 HOURS REMAINS PRETTY GOOD. ALL OF THEM
AGREE THAT THE EASTERN LOBE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WILL WEAKEN AND RETROGRADE WESTWARD TO MERGE WITH
THE WESTERN LOBE SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. MEANWHILE THE
WESTERN LOBE WILL AMPLIFY AND DIG SOUTHWARD INTO A POSITIVELY
TILTED TROUGH. THAT WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY A SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ORIENTED JET STREAK ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY. THIS GENERAL SCENARIO IS AGREED UPON BY ALL OF
THE MODELS...BUT DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS EMERGE QUICKLY IN THIS
PATTERN. THE NAM IS SLOWER THAN THE GLOBAL MODELS (ECMWF/GFS) WITH
BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL...THUS THE
GLOBAL MODELS WERE FAVORED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE THERMAL TROUGH IS POSITIONED OVER THE UPPER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY EXTENDING TOWARDS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THIS
FEATURE WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS THERE WILL BE SOME ISOLATED WET
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AHKLUN AND KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS AS THE
THERMAL TROUGH MOVES FARTHER NORTH. BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING A
WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL ENTER THE REGION.
THIS WILL PUT A DAMPER ON ANY WET THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DUE TO THE
ONSHORE FLOW AND MARINE LAYER MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE INTERIOR.

THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA REGION WILL HAVE ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN AND THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS
THIS EVENING. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL COINCIDE WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING. BY
WEDNESDAY THE REGION WILL CONTINUE WITH ONSHORE FLOW WITH SOME
MOISTURE MAKING INTO THE INTERIOR. BY THURSDAY A WEATHER FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COASTLINE. THIS WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SHOWERY PATTERN IS ON THE DECLINE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
RESPONSIBLE TROUGH IS WEAKENING IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT
WITH A FEW MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS THIS EVENING. THERE WILL
STILL BE LINGERING SHOWERS TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN MOST AREAS BUT
THEY WILL BE CONFINED FIRST TO HIGHER TERRAIN...MOVING OFF OF THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

IN THE EVENING WEDNESDAY A FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA WHICH WILL CHANGE THE PATTERN OVERHEAD. RAIN WILL
OVERSPREAD MOST AREAS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON THURSDAY. GAP WINDS
IN FAVORED AREAS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO VALUES NOT SEEN IN A WHILE
ACROSS THE AREAS...ESPECIALLY TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE COPPER RIVER
VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
A BIT MORE SUNSHINE TODAY THAN PREVIOUS DAYS HAS HELPED TO
INITIATE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THE AIRMASS IS SLOWLY LOSING INSTABILITY AS TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WARM AND LAPSE RATES DECREASE. THE WEAKENING UPPER LOW
SOUTH OF KING SALMON IS CURRENTLY ACTING AS A FOCUS FOR DEEP
CONVECTION...BUT THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH
TOMORROW. IN ORDER FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP TOMORROW
THERE WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE SOME SORT OF DYNAMIC FORCING
MECHANISM AS PURE THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY ALONE WILL NOT BE
SUFFICIENT. THE REMNANTS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW WILL BE
DRIFTING NORTHWARD TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND MAY BE JUST STRONG
ENOUGH TO PROVIDE THIS LIFT...THUS HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE ONE MORE
DAY OF THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE THE STRONG LOW COMING UP FROM THE
BERING SEA BRINGS A ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS AS WE
HEAD INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE WILL SEE THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM THE APPROACHING
FRONT...AND WILL LIKELY SEE GUSTS JUMP INTO THE 40-50 MPH RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY)...
A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC IS
ABOUT TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING BEFORE
SPREADING EASTWARD DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. THE LOW CENTER ITSELF
IS HOVERING AROUND 990 MB...BUT WINDS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH
BEYOND THE SMALL CRAFT (25-30 KT) RANGE AS THE LOW BECOMES
VERTICALLY STACKED AND GRINDS UP INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG SOUTHWEST JET STREAK
MOVES INTO THE ALASKA DOMAIN ON THURSDAY MOST OF THE HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...WITH ONLY THE EASTERN
ALASKA PENINSULA SEEING A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF MODERATE RAIN
HEADING INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

MEANWHILE...FURTHER WEST...MARINE FOG/STRATUS WILL REMAIN
WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING...LIKELY SEEING ONLY BRIEF
RELIEF AS THE LOW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA HAS LIMITED
INFLUENCE MIXING THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE IN THE FAR WESTERN REACHES
OF THE AREA. LIGHT WINDS WILL SLOWLY BECOME STRONGER AND NORTHERLY
THROUGH THURSDAY...THOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
EARLY THURSDAY WILL QUICKLY SHIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE EASTERN
BERING BY THE AFTERNOON...AS A STRONG JET STREAK SETS UP OVER
THE AKPEN. MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND TOWARD A MUCH LESS
AGGRESSIVE PHASING OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY COMING OFF EASTERN
RUSSIA WITH THE UPPER LOW TRACKING INTO THE WESTERN COAST OF
ALASKA BY THE END OF THE WEEK. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO BLANKET THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND...WITH SOME AREAS ALONG THE KENAI/CHUGACH MOUNTAINS
EXPERIENCING SOME DOWNSLOPING DUE TO STRONGER CROSS BARRIER FLOW
ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...WITH MODELS NOW SHOWING THE WAVE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST ON THURSDAY SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE
EAST...BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL QUICKLY BUILD OVER THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...DOWNSLOPING WILL QUICKLY FADE AND STEADIER RAINFALL WILL
BUILD OVER THE KENAI/CHUGACH MOUNTAINS BY FRIDAY. IT IS WORTH
NOTING THAT RUN TO RUN MODEL CONSISTENCY HAS NOT BEEN GOOD OVER
THE PAST FEW DAYS. THERE HAS BEEN IMPROVEMENT THOUGH WITH THE
MODEL RUNS TODAY...SO THERE IS NOW MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THIS
SOLUTION.

MODELS THEN COME INTO FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE PARENT TROUGH
SHIFTING NORTHWARD OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...GIVING WAY TO AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
EASTERN BERING AND MUCH OF THE MAINLAND BY TUESDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...THE FINER DETAILS SUCH AS STRENGTH AND POSITIONING STILL
NEED TO BE WORKED OUT...AS WELL AS HOW EACH MODEL IS HANDLING THE
WEAKER WAVES CIRCULATING AROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE DIFFERENTLY.
THUS THE FORECAST LEANED HEAVIER ON THE WPC ENSEMBLE APPROACH.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&