Gale Warning 460, NWS Anchorage, AK

030 
FZAK51 PAFC 082104 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

UPDATED AREA 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090315-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
THIS MORNING...THEN MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY TONIGHT AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN GULF BY TUE NIGHT. A 991 MB LOW OVER
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKINAK AT
1000 MB TUE NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-090315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090315-
PORT VALDEZ-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090315-
VALDEZ ARM-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090315-
CHINIAK BAY-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090315-
MARMOT BAY-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
104 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

533 
FZAK51 PAFC 082306
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091145-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE TO
THE CENTRAL GULF MON NIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN GULF TUE
NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN TUE AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO
75 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 1005 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-091145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091145-
PORT VALDEZ-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING.
RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091145-
VALDEZ ARM-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 35 KT NEAR THE WESTERN COAST. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 15 FT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091145-
CHINIAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091145-
MARMOT BAY-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
432 PM AKDT SUN JUN 7 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
CURRENTLY ACROSS THE ALASKAN AREA...THERE IS STILL A DOMINANT
UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT WITH A TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING BACK TO THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA. A BROAD TROUGH EXTENDS
EASTWARD FROM THERE TO THE GULF OF ALASKA. ALONG THE DATELINE NEAR
THE POLE SITS ANOTHER UPPER LOW. WITH THIS PATTERN...A MORE OR
LESS ZONAL JET EXTENDS FROM 170E TO 160W WITH A CORE OF 145 KT.
THE EXIT REGION OF THE JET IS SUPPORTING A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AS EVIDENCED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO GALE FORCE
WINDS ACCOMPANY THIS LOW BUT AREAS OF RAIN ARE SPREADING TO THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. OVER THE MAINLAND...A COUPLE OF
SHORT WAVES COMBINED WITH A SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIR MASS ARE POPPING
CONVECTION. ONE SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA
OUT OF THE BERING STRAIT LOW SPARKING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. IT IS ALSO BRINGING SOME MODERATE
WINDS TO THE COAST. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING THROUGH
THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA TODAY AND WILL PHASE WITH THE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WAVE MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE MAINLAND TONIGHT.
THE AIR MASS OVER THE MAINLAND IS QUITE UNSTABLE AND WE HAD ONE
REPORT OF SMALL HAIL OUT OF A THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
PATTERN CHANGE ON THE WAY FOR THE BERING SEA AS A DEEPER TROUGH
WILL GIVE WAY TO A MORE ZONAL PATTERN BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
GIVEN THIS TRANSITION...SURPRISINGLY NUMERICAL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE PATTERN SWITCH THROUGH THE WEEK.

THE CURRENT BERING LOW WILL SPLIT AND PHASE WITH THE POLAR LOW AS
WELL AS THE LOW MAKING ITS WAY OUT OF THE KAMCHATKA REGION OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE PIECES THAT PHASE TOGETHER WITH THE NORTH
PACIFIC JET HELP TO CONSTRUCT A MODERATE LOW NEAR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY WITH A GOOD FRONT PUSHING
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGHS FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE NORTHERN GULF LIFT OVER
THE MAINLAND LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
AHEAD OF THE MAIN LOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT MOVING INTO THE
WESTERN GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME...THE
PHASING OF THE UPPER FEATURES PUMPS UP THE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
GULF INTO THE YUKON. RIDGE BUILDS IN THE WESTERN BERING BEHIND
THIS FEATURE IN THE EASTERN BERING. THE SURFACE LOW/UPPER LEVEL
LOW SWING INTO THE GULF TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AND START TO LOSE
INTENSITY AS THE JET REMAINS SOUTH AND POINTED TO BRITISH
COLUMBIA. AT THIS SAME TIME...THE POLAR LOW DIVES INTO THE CHUKCHI
SEA WEDNESDAY. AS THE PATTERN MOVES FORWARD THURSDAY...THE LOW
TRANSITIONS TO A TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND CONTINUES TO
SWING EAST TOWARD THE PANHANDLE AS THE RIDGE IN THE WESTERN BERING
STRETCHES OVER THE ENTIRE BERING SEA. THE POLAR LOW DIGS A TROUGH
OVER EASTERN RUSSIA AS ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA
REGION. A PIECE OF THE POLAR LOW PHASES WITH THE KAMCHATKA LOW
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BUILDING THE UPPER RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH
SUNDAY. MEANWHILE...THE OTHER PORTION OF THE POLAR LOW REMAINS IN
THE ARCTIC/BEAUFORT SEA AREA KEEPING NORTHERN ALASKA COOL AND WET.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...MONDAY
AND TUESDAY)...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ONCE AGAIN
POPPED UP ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH EVEN SOME SMALL HAIL
REPORTED IN PALMER. THESE SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AS THEY MUST
CONTEND WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND SHORTWAVE RIDGING
BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY...THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE THE DEVELOPING
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. A NEW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
RIDE THE JET RIGHT ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND INTO THE WESTERN
GULF BY TUESDAY. A COASTAL RIDGE WILL BUILD ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. THIS WILL PRODUCE A RATHER TIGHT
GRADIENT OVER MUCH OF THE REGION MAKING FOR WINDS UP TO 55 MPH IN
TURNAGAIN ARM AND 35 MPH FOR THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN...THESE DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL HELP RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES TO REACH CRITICAL DRY LEVELS AS WELL. WE HAVE ISSUED A
RED FLAG WARNING TO ADDRESS THIS.

FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MAT-SU VALLEY TONIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY...A WEAK DEFORMATION ZONE WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN THE PARENT
LOW OVER THE BERING STRAIT AND THE WEAKENING SYSTEM IN THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF. THIS WILL MAKE FOR AN AREA OF LIGHT RAIN
DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY.
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON INCREASING DEEP LAYER SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO START TO DRY OUT THESE AREAS IN THE LEE OF THE
CHUGACH.

FOR TUESDAY...THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD FROM THE
EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA UP THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE
STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST KEEPING STRONG GUSTS
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO KEEP MAINLY
INLAND LOCATIONS MOSTLY DRY WITH JUST A FEW STRAY SHOWERS MAKING
IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE THIS EVENING WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE IS MOST UNSTABLE.
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST COAST MONDAY MORNING AND STALLS
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH MIDWEEK BRINGING COOLER CONDITIONS
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE FRONT
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A LONGER DURATION OF HIGHER WINDS ACROSS THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN A
SURFACE LOW FROM THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND RIDGING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WITH A SECOND
FRONT PUSHING UP FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. BOTH FRONTS PROGRESS EASTWARD SPREADING RAIN FROM
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THEN NORTH INTO THE BERING AND SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND THROUGH TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
WESTERN BERING WILL ALSO SEE ISOLATED SHOWERS AS THE PARENT LOW
NEAR THE BERING STRAIT CONTINUES TO SEND SHORTWAVES TO THE SOUTH.
NORTH TO WEST FLOW RETURNS ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS BEHIND
THE FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE POLAR LOW IN THE ARCTIC WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWARD LATE
IN THE WEEK. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING OUT OF THIS LOW AND
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA WEDNESDAY. THE COOLER AIR ALOFT ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE CONDUCIVE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE ALASKA RANGE EASTWARD. THURSDAY THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL WHICH WILL KEEP A FEW SHOWERS AROUND
BUT THE AIR ALOFT WILL BE WARMING WHICH WILL LIMIT MOST OF THE
SHOWER ACTIVITY. ON FRIDAY HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK
OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WILL BRING WARMER
WEATHER TO MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS A CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS AS
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT THE RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...120 130 131.
FIRE WEATHER...141.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...EZ