Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 46, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 7, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 7, 2015, 3:17 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2015, 3:17 AM AKST (12:17 UTC)
Expired
Jan 9, 2015, 3:31 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

355 
FZAK51 PAFC 071217
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080145-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF WED EVENING THROUGH
THU AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN BY THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-080145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-080145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-080145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR SEWARD IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-080145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-080145-
PORT VALDEZ-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-080145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-080145-
VALDEZ ARM-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-080145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BY
LATE MORNING. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-080145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-080145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-080145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-080145-
CHINIAK BAY-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-080145-
MARMOT BAY-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-080145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-080145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-080145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-080145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
317 AM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
6 follow-up statements
199 
FZAK51 PAFC 080016
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081330-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 145 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK THU
AFTERNOON AT 986 MB THEN MOVE TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT
1003 MB FRI AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE GULF WED NIGHT THROUGH THU AND WEAKEN THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-081330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NORTHERLY GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-081330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-081330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN TOWARD MORNING.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-081330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-081330-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-081330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-081330-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-081330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-081330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-081330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-081330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS
CAPE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-081330-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-081330-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-081330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-081330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-081330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-081330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
674 
FZAK51 PAFC 080851 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

UPDATED ZONES 120 130 131 138

PKZ197-082115-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 145 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK THU
AFTERNOON AT 986 MB THEN MOVE TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT
1003 MB FRI AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE GULF WED NIGHT THROUGH THU AND WEAKEN THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-082115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NORTHERLY GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-082115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 50 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE MORNING.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-082115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN TOWARD MORNING. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-082115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-082115-
PORT VALDEZ-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-082115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-082115-
VALDEZ ARM-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-082115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-082115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-082115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...


.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE LATE MORNING.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-082115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS
CAPE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-082115-
CHINIAK BAY-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-082115-
MARMOT BAY-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-082115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-082115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-082115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-082115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1151 PM AKST WED JAN 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
456 
FZAK51 PAFC 081218
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090100-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 110 NM SOUTH
OF KODIAK CITY FRIDAY MORNING AT 997 MB THEN WEAKEN AND STALL THROUGH
LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-090100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090100-
PORT VALDEZ-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090100-
VALDEZ ARM-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT BY LATE MORNING AND SE 25
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090100-
CHINIAK BAY-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090100-
MARMOT BAY-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
318 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
759 
FZAK51 PAFC 081536
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

UPDATED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST 
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090415-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 110 NM SOUTH
OF KODIAK CITY FRIDAY MORNING AT 997 MB THEN WEAKEN AND STALL THROUGH
LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-090415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090415-
PORT VALDEZ-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090415-
VALDEZ ARM-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT BY LATE MORNING AND SE
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090415-
CHINIAK BAY-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090415-
MARMOT BAY-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
636 AM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
711 
FZAK51 PAFC 090023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091315-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN THU EVENING. A 988 MB LOW
120 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SITKINAK FRI AFTERNOON THEN STALL AND WEAKEN THROUGH SAT.

$$

PKZ119-091315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091315-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091315-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091315-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091315-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
142 
FZAK51 PAFC 091231
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100115-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN THROUGH LATE FRI NIGHT.
A 997 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND WILL REMAIN STATIONARY AND WEAKEN
THROUGH SAT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE
GULF THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-100115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100115-
PORT VALDEZ-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100115-
VALDEZ ARM-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100115-
CHINIAK BAY-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100115-
MARMOT BAY-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
331 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 6, 4:40 PM AKST, 10 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 6, 4:40 PM AKST, 10 hours 37 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
440 PM AKST TUE JAN 6 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A HIGH LATITUDE CLOSED BLOCKING HIGH IS CENTERED OVER FAR EASTERN
SIBERIA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING DUE SOUTH ACROSS THE BERING
SEA. A CLOSED UPPER LOW WHICH TRACKED SOUTHWARD ACROSS MAINLAND
ALASKA IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA.
THIS BROUGHT A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR TO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. AS THE UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVE
OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE BERING SEA AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF
STRATO-CUMULUS HAS DEVELOPED...AND THERE ARE LIKELY SOME SNOW
SHOWERS FALLING OUT OF IT.

MEANWHILE A DEEP TROUGH AND LARGE CUT-OFF LOW ARE CENTERED OVER
THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WITH A BUILDING RIDGE ALONG THE WESTERN US
COAST ALL THE WAY UP TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND THE EASTERN GULF. A
WARM FRONT JUST OUT AHEAD OF THIS IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE GULF TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS IS
THE BEGINNING OF A TRANSITION BACK TO WARMER AND MORE ACTIVE
WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA.

LASTLY...A HIGH AMPLITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...TRACKING UP THE
WEST SIDE OF THE BERING SEA RIDGE. THERE IS A WEAK LOW (SOMEWHERE
AROUND 999 MB) AT THE SURFACE PRODUCING SOLID GALE FORCE WINDS
THANKS TO THE VERY STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN IT
AND THE SURFACE HIGH OVER EASTERN SIBERIA (AROUND 1040 MB).

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN GUIDANCE WITH PLACEMENT OF THE
CLOSED UPPER LOW (AND SURFACE LOW WHICH FORMS UNDERNEATH IT) AS IT
STALLS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS CREATES SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN THE WIND AND PRECIP FORECAST OVER THE EASTERN BERING
AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS. HOWEVER...MORE SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES
ARISE WITH TRACK AND STRENGTH OF A SURFACE LOW MOVING OUT OF THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SOLUTIONS VARY FROM
A WEAK LOW RAPIDLY TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE EASTERN BERING TO
A MUCH STRONGER LOW STALLING OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THESE
DIFFERENCES HAVE THE GREATEST IMPACT ON THE WIND FORECASTS...BUT
CERTAINLY AFFECT PRECIP FORECAST AND EXTENT OF LOW LEVEL WARMING
OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THE GFS SHOWS THE
BEST RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY WITH ITS DEPICTION OF A WEAK FAST
MOVING LOW (FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY THE ECMWF). SINCE INHERITED GRIDS
ARE CLOSE TO THIS SOLUTION WILL STICK WITH IT UNTIL AND UNLESS SEE
EVIDENCE THAT THE DEEPER AND SLOWER SOLUTION IS CORRECT.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH ON WHERE THE MAIN CORRIDOR OF
PRECIP WILL SET UP THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...FROM KODIAK ISLAND TO
BRISTOL BAY AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THERE IS ALSO HIGH CONFIDENCE
THAT SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER AIR WILL OVERRIDE THE COLDER AIR IN
PLACE CREATING GOOD POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THE MODEL DIFFERENCES RESULT IN MUCH LOWER CONFIDENCE IN
THE EXACT TIMING OF PRECIP AND TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO FREEZING
RAIN. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ALSO BELOW NORMAL AS YOU HEAD NORTH
AND EAST TO INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA...FOCUSED AROUND THE UNCERTAINTY IN ARRIVAL TIME OF PRECIP
AND WARMER AIR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY IN THE VICINITY OF A WARM FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN
GULF AS DRY NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
AK. A WETTER AND WARMER PATTERN WILL THEN RETURN TO THE AREA
STARTING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE RIDGE EXTENDING OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW IS RE-ESTABLISHED...WITH
A WEAK LOW APPROACHING KODIAK ISLAND FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS OVERRUNNING PRECIP BEGINS AND NORTHERLY
FLOW KEEPS COLD AIR ENTRENCHED AT THE SURFACE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
FREEZING RAIN APPEARS TO BE OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
KENAI PENINSULA...WITH STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW LOOKING TO KEEP
ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU MOSTLY DRY AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER...ANY
PRECIP THAT DOES FALL IN THESE AREAS WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE FORM
OF FREEZING RAIN...SO KEPT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR NOW AND WILL
HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BIG STORY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WILL BE THE THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN. AREA SOUNDINGS SHOW A DEEP COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE
RIGHT NOW. HOWEVER...THE WARM FRONT CROSSING THE GULF WILL
CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD INTO BRISTOL BAY LATE TONIGHT AND ON UP TO
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ABOVE FREEZING AIR
OVERRIDING THE SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN WILL BE BRIEF ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH
SURFACE FLOW SHIFTING FROM NORTHEAST TO EAST DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY AND STRONG DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE. THIS WILL BRING AN END TO STEADY PRECIP AND ALSO
CAUSE SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO RISE QUICKLY ABOVE FREEZING. THE
BIGGER CONCERN FOR FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME ICE ACCUMULATION IS
DILLINGHAM NORTH AND WEST WHERE PRECIP WILL BE ENHANCED IN UPSLOPE
FLOW AND WHERE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL HOLD IN SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES
AT THE SURFACE FOR A MUCH LONGER TIME. THERE IS EVIDENCE TO ISSUE
A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE. THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN WHEN TEMPS WILL WARM UP ENOUGH TO END THE FREEZING
RAIN THREAT FROM DILLINGHAM NORTH AND WEST. FOR NOW WILL PUT
ADVISORY OUT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT WITH SUCH A COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE RIGHT
NOW DON'T HAVE A WHOLE LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN WHEN AIR MASS WILL
WARM ENOUGH FOR FREEZING RAIN. IN ADDITION...DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS
MAY LIMIT PRECIP INLAND. FOR NOW WILL JUST MENTION A CHANCE OF
FREEZING RAIN THERE. THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
REMAIN DRY UNTIL THURSDAY WHEN UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY
AND MOISTURE AND WARMER AIR HEAD INLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WHILE COLD AIR MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA
WITH THE UPPER LOW CENTER WARMER AIR AND MOISTURE WILL FEED IN
BEHIND THE UPPER LOW CENTER. THIS WILL INCREASE BAROCLINICITY AND
LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW. WITH A WELL DEFINED LOW AND
AMPLE MOISTURE WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM WILL INCREASE POPS ACROSS
THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS TO LIKELY OR HIGHER.
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE LOW SO
PRECIP WILL FALL AS ALL SNOW.

OUT OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS THE WEEKS LONG PATTERN
OF STORMS TRACKING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN
BERING WILL COME TO AN END. AS THE CURRENT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EXITS
TO THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY A SHORT-WAVE RIDGE WILL BUILD
IN. THIS WILL KEEP STORM SYSTEMS SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN (AT LEAST TEMPORARILY). THUS...QUIET CONDITIONS
WILL SETTLE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE FORECAST PATTERN REMAINS RATHER COMPLEX THROUGH THE LONG TERM
WITH SPECIFIC DETAILS TOUGH TO PIN DOWN. BIG PICTURE WISE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES UP THROUGH
CANADA AND INTO NORTHERN ALASKA WHILE A BROAD AND COMPLEX UPPER
TROUGH PERSISTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH PACIFIC WITH PERIODIC
INCURSIONS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA...ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA. THE
SUPPORTING JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE SOUTH BETWEEN 30N AND 40N
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE STRONGEST LOWS GENERALLY
FOLLOWING IT AND ALSO REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
BITS OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY AND SMALLER LOWS HOWEVER PERIODICALLY
BREAK OFF AND LIFT NORTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA...AND SPIN UP AT
TIMES AS THEY INTERACT WITH STRONG THERMAL GRADIENTS.

ALL THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BIG PICTURE SOLUTION
OF THE LARGE LOW COMPLEX REMAINING IN PLACE WITH THE BLOCKING RIDGE
PERSISTENT OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF THE
RIDGE BREAKING DOWN THROUGH THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS. SO HAVE GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN THE TREND OF TROUGHS AND FRONTS ROTATING UP AND
BRINGING A NUMBER OF ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION AND GENERALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER THE SPECIFIC TIMING OF EACH WILL BE VERY
TOUGH TO FORECAST GIVEN THE COMPLEXITY OF THE BIG MESSY UPPER
TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND THAT THE FACT THAT MOST OF WHAT WILL BE
TRACKING NORTH WILL BE SMALL LOWER ENERGY FEATURES THAT THEY
MODELS WILL STRUGGLE TO RESOLVE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 161.
MARINE...GALE 120 127 130 131 138 150 160 178 180.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 3:34 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC32 hr
Jan 6, 3:34 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Jan 6, 3:34 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Jan 6, 3:34 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC23 hr
Jan 6, 3:49 PM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC45 hr
Jan 7, 3:13 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Jan 7, 3:17 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jan 7, 3:24 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.