Gale Warning 416, NWS Anchorage, AK

701 
FZAK52 PAFC 092301 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

CORRECTED 150

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101145-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO
1008 MB 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL MON AFTERNOON. A 1001 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT NIGHT AND TRACK
TO 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 1000 MB SUN NIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING AND MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA MON.

$$

PKZ150-101145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING. N OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE. SEAS 6
FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-101145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND
25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-101145-
BRISTOL BAY-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-101145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EARLY BECOMING W 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-101145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. W OF DUTCH HARBOR...S WIND 20 KT
EARLY BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. E OF DUTCH HARBOR...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING
NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-101145-
UNALASKA BAY-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT...BECOMING W 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
SW 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-101145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. FROM DUTCH HARBOR W...S WIND 15 KT
BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...EXCEPT
VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING E OF DUTCH HARBOR. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-101145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-101145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT EARLY INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-101145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-101145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-101145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-101145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT NW 10 KT N AND W OF SHEMYA. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-101145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EARLY BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-101145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-101145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-101145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
301 PM AKDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
418 PM AKDT FRI MAY 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE STATE AND DOWN
INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC CONTINUES TO BRING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE
SOUTHCENTRAL. THERE IS GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH THIS FLOW
BRINGING RAIN TO AREAS ALL ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WITH SOME
SHOWERS MAKING IT FURTHER INLAND. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER WINDS
OVER THE MOUNTAINS ARE DOWNSLOPING OUT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION
ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. THIS TROUGH IS BEING HELD IN
PLACE BY RIDGING THAT SITS OVER WESTERN CANADA AND ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE TROUGH ANOTHER RIDGE IS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING. THE
BERING RIDGE IS WEAKER AND QUICKLY MOVING EAST AS IT WEAKENS.
BEHIND THE RIDGE A NORTH PACIFIC LOW IS MOVING TOWARDS THE
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW IN THE GULF BUT
THEY ARE HAVING MORE ISSUES WITH THE WESTERN LOW NEAR THE
ALEUTIANS. AS THIS LOW TRACKS INTO THE BERING TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY THE GEM AND EC MOVE IT QUICKLY INTO THE NORTHERN BERING
WHILE THE AMERICAN MODELS KEEP IT MORE IN THE CENTRAL BERING. WITH
THE BETTER RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE EC AND GEM THE MORE
NORTHERN TRACK WAS PREFERRED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WITH THE FLOW ALOFT RETURNING TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION RAIN
SHADOW EFFECTS HAVE RETURNED TO THE STANDARD LOCATIONS IN THE LEE
OF THE CUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS WITH PRECIPITATION IN THESE
AREAS LIMITED TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS. ALONG THE GULF
COAST...ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS RAIN CONTINUES TO
BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ONLY LOOKING AT MINIMAL CHANGES IN THIS PATTERN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ADDITIONAL FRONTAL WAVES ROTATING UP TO
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND ANOTHER ON SUNDAY.
OVERALL QPF AMOUNTS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER DOWN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BUT IT WILL STILL REMAIN RATHER DAMP ALONG THE COAST.

SOUTHEASTERLIES WILL INCREASE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
THE GAPS AND PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS SUCH AS
TURNAGAIN ARM...THE KNIK RIVER VALLEY AND THE COPPER RIVER AS A
SURFACE RIDGE STRENGTHENS ALONG THE COAST...OUT AHEAD OF THE GULF
LOW. FURTHER INLAND GAP WINDS WILL BE A POTENTIAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERN WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAINING LOWER IN THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. WITH A RELATIVELY COOL AIR MASS AND SOME INCREASE IN
MOISTURE FROM THE COASTAL AIR MASS FILTERING INLAND...RHS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA FALLING TO A MINIMUM
AROUND 35 PERCENT BUT WITH THE STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THIS WILL
BEAR CONTINUED WATCHING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RIDGING JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST WILL MOVE NORTH TOWARD NORTON
SOUND TONIGHT...AND WILL COMBINE WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO THE
WESTERN GULF TO INCREASE THE OFFSHORE NORTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL
SERVE TO PROGRESSIVELY DRY THE AREA OUT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...A STRENGTHENING SHORTWAVE
AND A DEFORMATION ZONE WILL DEVELOP AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN AND SHOWERS TO EASTERN BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RAIN AND NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
TONIGHT AND THEN IMPACT THE PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
SATURDAY AS THE LOW MOVES SWIFTLY NORTH THROUGH THE BERING. A NEW
LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG THE WEAKENING FRONT BY SUNDAY MORNING
SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR BRINGING RAIN TO THE AKPEN AND EASTERN
BERING DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN
ALMOST STATIONARY THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE LOOSING SUPPORT AND
DISSIPATING. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
FEATURE WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ALONG THE GULF COAST...EXCEPT
FOR SOME SHOWERY PRECIPITATION FOR THE INLAND AREAS AND  DRIER
CONDITIONS ALONG THE CHUGACH AND WESTERN KENAI MOUNTAINS DUE TO
DOWNSLOPING THROUGH MONDAY. BY TUESDAY AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION FROM THE
WEST. BY THURSDAY THIS RIDGE WILL DEVELOP INTO AN UPPER LEVEL
CLOSED HIGH OVER THE INTERIOR. THERE WILL BE WARMER TEMPERATURES
WITH THIS RIDGE WITH DIURNAL SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACCOMPANIED BY A THERMAL TROUGH FORMING IN THE INTERIOR AS WERE
HEADING INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE MODELS WERE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THESE FEATURES AND FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
ABOVE AVERAGE.

ON THE BERING SEA SIDE...THE STRONG ZONAL JET STREAM OVER THE WESTERN
TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE TRANSITIONING
TO A SOUTHERLY MERIDIONAL FLOW BY TUESDAY. THIS COINCIDES WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A GALE
FORCE LOW WILL BE REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE BY MONDAY BEFORE
BECOMING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA. THIS
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE EARLY PART
OF NEXT WEEK BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SHOWERY PRECIPITATION BY
MIDWEEK. DOWNSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE BUILDS THROUGH THE
EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS BY TUESDAY AND MOVES EASTWARD. THIS WILL
BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MODELS CONTINUE
TO STRUGGLE WITH THE PLACEMENT/STRENGTH OF THIS NORTH PACIFIC LOW
APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 173 174 AND 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...PD