Gale Warning 403, NWS Anchorage, AK

090 
FZAK62 PAFC 251111
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
311 AM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-260100-
311 AM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 976 MB LOW NEAR 55N 171E MON MORNING MOVES TO 56N 174E
AT 984 MB TUE MORNING BEFORE MOVING TO 59N 172E AT 995 MB
WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-260100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
311 AM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-260100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
311 AM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-260100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
311 AM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-260100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
311 AM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

336 
FZAK62 PAFC 252303
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
303 PM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-261400-
303 PM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
THE 979 MB REMNANTS OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN NEAR 55N 173E WILL REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON...WHILE WEAKENING TO 986
MB. THEN IT MOVES TO 59N 171E AT 995 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-261400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
303 PM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ412-261400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
303 PM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ413-261400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
303 PM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-261400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
303 PM AKDT MON MAY 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

942 
FZAK62 PAFC 261144
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
344 AM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-270145-
344 AM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 982 MB LOW NEAR 56N 173E WILL WEAKEN TO 995 MB WED AFTERNOON
NEAR 58N 170E AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 44N 170E WED
MORNING WILL INTENSIFY TO 970 MB WED NIGHT NEAR 51N 177E.

$$

PKZ411-270145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
344 AM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ412-270145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
344 AM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ413-270145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
344 AM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-270145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
344 AM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

271 
FZAK62 PAFC 262302
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
302 PM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-271330-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 986 MB LOW NEAR 57N 173E WILL MOVE TO 59N 171E AT 996 MB WED
AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 984 MB LOW NEAR 47N 175E WED
EVENING WILL MOVE TO 52N 178E AT 976 MB THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-271330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-271330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ413-271330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ414-271330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
302 PM AKDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
421 AM AKDT SUN MAY 24 2015

CORRECTED AFC MARINE GALE WARNINGS

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE ZONAL JET STREAK REMAINS STREAKING OFF THE JAPAN REGION
EASTWARD WITH THE EXIT REGION OF THE JET ENTERING THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS NEAR SHEMYA. WITH A CLOSED LOW AT 500 MB AND A GALE
FORCE LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE IS POSITIONED JUST WEST OF
SAINT PAUL ISLAND THIS MORNING. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS LOW...THE
WESTERN TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA ARE BEING IMPACTED WITH
WESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERY PRECIPITATION. AN
ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM THIS SYSTEM THROUGH THE
EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THIS IS BRINGING GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS
OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND FLOWING INTO THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
REGION. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING A SWATH OF MOISTURE AND
STRATUS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST
REGION. IN THE GULF...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS REFLECTED AT
THE SURFACE. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE IS POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN
GULF EXTENDING THROUGH THE KENAI PENINSULA...THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AND INTO THE KOTZEBUE AREA. THIS IS PREVENTING ANY MOISTURE
AND PRECIPITATION FROM ENTERING THE COPPER RIVER BASIN EASTWARD.
WHILE THE GULF HAS MARINE LAYER STRATUS UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE
AND THE SPORT MODUS 24-HOUR MICROPHYSICS RGB IMAGERY IS SHOWING
THE DENSER FOG NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COASTLINE NEAR ICY CAPE THIS
MORNING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION (SHORT TERM)...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH REMNANT OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN
AS IN MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND THE NEW GALE FORCE LOW
DROPPING DOWN FORM THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW WILL TRACK
INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA BY MONDAY BEFORE MOVING BACK TOWARDS
THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA BY TUESDAY. THE GULF WILL HAVE THE RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK INTO THE GULF BY TUESDAY AND
STRENGTHEN THROUGH REST OF THE WEEK. THE PREFERRED MODELS OF
CHOICE WERE THE ECMWF/GFS. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE
AVERAGE HEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (SUNDAY AND MONDAY)...

COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY GRIND
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS MORNING. THE BAND OF
PRECIPITATION HAS NOW MOVED PAST ANCHORAGE...BUT WILL STALL OVER
THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND WESTERN COPPER RIVER VALLEY TODAY AND
SLOWLY WEAKEN IN PLACE. MOST OF THE COOK INLET REGION WILL BE
DRIER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT BREAKS OF SUNSHINE WILL STILL BE HARD
TO COME BY AS THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH IN THE BERING SEA
CONTINUES TO SLING EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS INTO SOUTHERN
ALASKA. FOR THE START OF THE WEEK...BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY PROMINENT. WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LINGERING
OVER THE AREA...ANY BREAKS OF SUN THAT DO DEVELOP WILL LIKELY LEAD
TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS MOST INLAND
AREAS. HOWEVER...WITH DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY REMAINING QUITE
LIMITED...NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.FIRE WEATHER...

CLOUDS SPREADING INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TODAY WILL
BRING AN END TO THE STRING OF RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OF RECENT DAYS. HOWEVER...WITH THE
BAND OF RAIN FALLING APART OVER THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
BASIN MUCH OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL STILL REMAIN QUITE LOW/DRY TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A LOW IN THE BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN OVER MOST OF SOUTHWEST. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE THE DRIEST...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY REGION. MORE STEADY RAIN WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY MEMORIAL
DAY AS A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MERGES WITH THE BERING SEA LOW AS IT
TRACKS INLAND. RAIN WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY LATE MONDAY AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AS DIURNAL HEATING ENHANCES INSTABILITY. COASTAL LOCATIONS
WILL DRY OUT MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES INLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE LARGE BUT WEAKENING LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TODAY...WITH SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS DISSIPATING THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
FROM THE WESTERN BERING TO THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH A GALE FORCE WARM FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN
BERING...THEN SPREADING EAST TOWARD THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS ON TUESDAY...BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT THAT A RIDGE OF VARYING STRENGTH WILL
PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN AK MAINLAND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE HIGH WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE NORTH GULF COAST AND SOME INLAND SHOWERS THROUGH TUE.
AS THE RIDGE INCREASES IN STRENGTH IT WILL CUT OFF THE ONSHORE
FLOW AND PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A SLIGHT
WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE WILL AGAIN ALLOW ONSHORE FLOW TO BRING RAIN
TO THE COAST AND SHOWERS TO INLAND AREAS AT THE END OF THE WEEK.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING. THIS
WILL KEEP RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND SW AK THROUGH
NEXT WEEK...ENHANCED AT THE END OF THE WEEK AS A LOW AND
ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE CHAIN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...173 175 176 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PLD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AD/RF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...DS