Gale Warning 293, NWS Anchorage, AK

943 
FZAK51 PAFC 282025 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

UPDATED ZONES 126 AND 127

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290330-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 120 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK SAT NIGHT AT 983 MB AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT
WEAKENS TO 992 MB SUN NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF
WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF AND DISSIPATE SAT EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-290330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290330-
PORT VALDEZ-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290330-
VALDEZ ARM-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290330-
CHINIAK BAY-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290330-
MARMOT BAY-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE  WATERS
2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-290330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1225 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

419 
FZAK51 PAFC 282300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291130-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 35 NM WEST
OF SITKINAK SUN NIGHT AT 990 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE ON MON. A 
WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN
TO WESTERN GULF SAT NIGHT AND SUN.

$$

PKZ119-291130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-291130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-291130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUST 25 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-291130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-291130-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-291130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-291130-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-291130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-291130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-291130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-291130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-291130-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-291130-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 KT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-291130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-291130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-291130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-291130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
458 AM AKDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE OVERALL PATTERN REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED THIS MORNING AS A
BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE NORTHERN PACIFIC
WITH AN EMBEDDED COMPLEX LOW CENTERED NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
NUMEROUS WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THIS LOW ARE THE
MAIN FEATURES IMPACTING THE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION. RAIN
CONTINUES ALONG THE GULF COAST AS ONE OF THESE WAVES PUSHES INLAND
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WITH LOCATIONS IN THE LEE OF THE
CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS STAYING MOSTLY DRY AS A RESULT OF
STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW. MEANWHILE...THE NEXT SYSTEM IS TAKING
AIM ON THE WESTERN GULF AS A DEEP LOW APPROXIMATELY 350 MILES
SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWARD. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT IS ENTERING THE SOUTHERN GULF WELL AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
LOW...BRINGING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO KODIAK ISLAND. AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE IS PUSHING WESTWARD THROUGH THE BERING...BRINGING RAIN
TO THE AKPEN/EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW TO THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD SHORT TERM AGREEMENT AND HAVE CONVERGED
ON A SOLUTION FOR THE TRACK OF THE NEXT LOW SET TO IMPACT THE
GULF AS IT APPROACHES KODIAK ISLAND BY SUNDAY MORNING. MAINLY USED
THE GFS FOR THE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE. ALSO UTILIZED THE
ENHANCED DETAIL OF THE CANADIAN (GEM) REGIONAL MODEL IN THE FIRST
36 HOURS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE DOMAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF TODAY TAKING A SLIGHTLY MORE
WESTERLY PATH THAN IT LOOKED YESTERDAY IT WILL KEEP THE MAJORITY
OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IN WARM AND MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THERE
WILL BE A BIT OF RAINFALL OVER THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS WITH JUST
SOME ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS REMAINING FOR THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS. SOME HIGHER ELEVATIONS SUCH AS TURNAGAIN PASS AND
THOMPSON PASS WILL SEE SOME SNOW MIXED IN DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS BUT AREAS NEAR SEA LEVEL WILL PRETTY MUCH JUST EXPERIENCE
RAIN AS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE. THIS PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE DOMINATE WEATHER FEATURE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL BE THE 973 MB LOW APPROACHING KODIAK WITH THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING INLAND TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN
CAPES AND ALASKA PENINSULA REGION OF BRISTOL BAY BEFORE
DISSIPATING TONIGHT. AS THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE
REGION...EXPECT A DRYING AND COOLING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY LATE SUNDAY AS A
SECOND WEAK LOW THAT FORMS SOUTH OF COLD BAY MIGRATES EASTWARD TO
NEAR KODIAK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AT THE SURFACE...THE CENTRAL/EASTERN BERING SEA REMAINS FIRMLY
IN CYCLONIC FLOW FROM THE LOW APPROACHING KODIAK ISLAND THIS
MORNING WITH BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS FROM THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS
SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. PRECIPITATION...MAINLY
RAIN...WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER MOST OF THE AREA WITH THE BEST
CHANCES FROM ATKA TO DUTCH HARBOR AS THE MARINE FLOW OFF THE
BERING COMBINED WITH A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING. TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN BERING
ENDING PRECIPITATION OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.

FURTHER WEST...A LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT NEAR KAMCHATKA IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...BRINGING A SWATH OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS. PRECIPITATION IN THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO STAY MOSTLY
SNOW AS THERE IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF WARM AIR ADVECTION
INTO THE REGION WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY AS A LONG
WAVE TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING AND GULF OF ALASKA.
PRECIPITATION WILL MAINLY STAY OVER AREA WATERS AND SURROUNDING
COASTS. ON MONDAY THE CLOSED LOW CENTER SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
BEGINS TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AS ANOTHER LOW CENTER RACES ALONG
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE SURFACE LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT STORM SYSTEM PASSES THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. AT THIS POINT THERE IS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
TRACK OF THIS LOW BETWEEN THE OPERATIONAL MODELS...WITH A 400
MILE DIFFERENCE IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE CENTERS. THE ECMWF TRACKS
THIS SYSTEM JUST NORTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND THE GFS TRACKS SOUTH
OF THE ISLAND. THE ECMWF WOULD BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES PUSHING A
FRONT INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND THE GFS SOLUTION IS ON THE COOLER
SIDE WITH THE WARM FRONT SKIRTING THE SOUTHERN GULF.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 130 131 174.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RLF
LONG TERM...KH