Gale Warning 241, NWS Anchorage, AK

156 
FZAK51 PAFC 092256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101145-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1011 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE. A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN GULF LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-101145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-101145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST IN
THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-101145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-101145-
PORT VALDEZ-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101145-
VALDEZ ARM-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-101145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS INCREASING TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-101145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-101145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-101145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-101145-
CHINIAK BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101145-
MARMOT BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-101145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-101145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-101145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-101145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

564 
FZAK51 PAFC 101142
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110045-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL APPROACH
THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN GULF
WED AFTERNOON THROUGH THU MORNING. 

$$

PKZ119-110045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110045-
PORT VALDEZ-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110045-
VALDEZ ARM-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN
ISLANDS.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN
ISLANDS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE COAST.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110045-
CHINIAK BAY-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110045-
MARMOT BAY-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
342 AM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. NEAR THE OUTER BAY...N WIND 20
KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. NEAR THE OUTER BAY...N WIND 20
KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
408 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
BASICALLY A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH A
LONG WAVE TROUGH TO DEVELOP OVER THE STATE LATER THIS WEEK.
CURRENTLY...THERE IS A STRONG CLOSED LOW/VORT MAX ROTATING INTO
WEST COAST THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A JET
CORE OF 110 KT WHICH IS MAKING IT RATHER VIGOROUS. A SECOND
STRONG SURFACE LOW/UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA WITH A
JET CORE OF 120 KT. A WEAK SHORT WAVE RIDGE IS PRESENT AS WELL IN
THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AHEAD OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW. A THIRD
FEATURE IS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE SEA OF OKHOTSK
WHICH WILL FEED SOME ENERGY TOMORROW TO THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

AT THE SURFACE...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WEST COAST PRODUCING
STRONG SNOW SHOWERS REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A MILE AT
TIMES. THESE SHOWERS WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS LOW WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL LATE
TONIGHT WITH CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL. THIS
FEATURE WILL ALSO REINFORCE THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. AS A RESULT...STRONG TO VERY STRONG GAP
(WEST TO EAST AND NORTH TO SOUTH) WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT.
THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW PUSHED A WARM FRONT TO THE CHAIN THIS
MORNING WITH SNOW AND WIND. TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ENOUGH THAT
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE NOT APPEARING. THE SURFACE LOW WRAPS UP
TONIGHT AS COLDER AIR IS PUSHED INTO THE SYSTEM TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
ONCE AGAIN THE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. THE COLD AIR HAS FILTERED OVER THE MAINLAND WITH THE
FIRST WAVE YESTERDAY. THE SECOND SURGE OF COLD AIR ARRIVING WITH
THE STRONG CLOSED LOW CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
ANOTHER WAVE WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE ARCTIC WEDNESDAY FOR
ANOTHER SHOVE OF COLD AIR OVER THE BERING AND WESTERN ALASKA.
SUFFICE TO SAY...A COLD TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK. THERE IS NOT MUCH SPREAD IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH THE EUROPEAN AND NORTH AMERICAN MODEL GUIDANCE.

OVERALL...THE STRONG CLOSED LOW MOVES THROUGH THE MAINLAND TO THE
YUKON BY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS IS WHEN THE GRADIENT AND STRONG GAP
WINDS WILL DIMINISH. A TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE MAINLAND WITH
DRY AND COLD CONDITIONS PERSISTING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE
STACKED LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TO BE REINFORCED BY A
COUPLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND DIG THE CLOSED LOW INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC. AS THIS CLOSED LOW FLOWS TO NEAR 40N 160W
TUESDAY...IT WILL PHASE SOMEWHAT WITH A LOW CURRENTLY NEAR 35N
150W. THE RESULTANT SURFACE FEATURE WILL BE AN ELONGATED LOW
STRETCHING FROM 40N 160W TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE OF ALASKA. AT
THIS TIME...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL BE PREVALENT OVER
THE MAINLAND TO THE BERING SEA WITH A FRONT APPROACHING THE FAR
WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SYSTEM YESTERDAY...THE AIR MASS IS
UNSTABLE FOR SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWERS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AS EVIDENT
BY RADAR AND SATELLITE AND WEB CAMS. IN ADDITION...THE FEATURE
YESTERDAY DEVELOPED A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST ALLOWING FOR GAP WINDS TO INITIATE. THE STRONGER GAP
FLOW ARE FROM THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTATION. HOWEVER...NORTH TO
SOUTH GAPS ARE DOING WELL TOO. THE UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL
INCREASE SHOWER ACTIVITY AND GAP WINDS OVER THE AREA. DUE TO THE
GAP WIND THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS...THERE COULD BE A NICE LAKE
EFFECT EVENT OVER THE BARREN ISLANDS TO KACHEMAK BAY TONIGHT.
COMBINED WITH THE WINDS...THE KACHEMAK BAY AREA COULD EXPERIENCE
BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. AS THE CLOSED LOW
PASSES...PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST AREAS. THEREFORE...MODERATE TO STRONG GAP
WINDS WILL BE PREVALENT. SOME BLOWING SNOW WILL BE PRESENT THROUGH
MOUNTAIN PASSES AS WELL. WITH THE THOMPSON PASS GAP FLOW...WIND
CHILLS COULD REACH NEAR 30 BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE OVERHEAD OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT
OF COLD AIR ADVECTION...GUSTY WINDS...AND SNOW SHOWERS. AREA
SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN THE NEAR SURFACE
LAYER...SO SOME OF THESE SHOWERS MAY BE HEAVY. THIS WILL ALSO
ALLOW STRONGER WINDS TO MIX DOWN FROM ALOFT. THE AXIS OF STRONGEST
COLD AIR ADVECTION HEADS RIGHT ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHICH
WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG GAP WINDS. UP TO THIS POINT CLOUD COVER
AND GUSTY WINDS HAVE KEPT SURFACE TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING VERY
FAR. THAT WILL CHANGE IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LOW TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS CLOUDS DECREASE AND THE AIR MASS STABILIZES. TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL QUICKLY WHERE SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS LIGHTEN AND THERE
WILL BE LITTLE RECOVERY IN TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY. THE COOLING
TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH A LITTLE BIT
OF WIND WILL PERSIST IN COASTAL AREAS KEEPING TEMPS A LITTLE
WARMER THAN INLAND LOCALES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A MATURE LOW HEADING TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE
CHAIN TONIGHT THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
BEFORE HEADING BACK SOUTH. A WET SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...BUT WARM AIR WILL PUSH
JUST FAR ENOUGH NORTHWARD TO CHANGE PRECIP TO RAIN. A SHORT-WAVE
MOVING OUT OF RUSSIA WILL DROP INTO THE BACK SIDE OF THIS
SYSTEM...HELPING TO STRENGTHEN THE BAROCLINICITY WHICH WILL
STRENGTHEN WINDS AND INTENSIFY PRECIP. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE UNINHABITED ISLANDS OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
BETWEEN SHEMYA AND ADAK. AS THIS SYSTEM EXITS ON TUESDAY COLDER
AIR WILL MOVE BACK SOUTH WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING AND AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...OFFSHORE FLOW...AND OUTFLOW WINDS WILL
CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTH MAINLAND THROUGH THURSDAY. OVER
THE BERING...A LOW SKIRTING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC ON WEDNESDAY...DRAGGING COLD AIR AND SNOW
SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE REGION THAT SHOULD PERSIST INTO THURSDAY.

ANOTHER SYSTEM LOOKS TO ENTER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON THURSDAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
WESTERN BERING. THIS WILL BRING A PERIOD OF STORMY AND MORE ACTIVE
WEATHER TO THE BERING SEA REGION THAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK. OVER THE GULF THERE CONTINUES TO BE DISCREPANCIES IN
THE MODELS WITH THE STRENGTH OF AN ARCTIC TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND
AND RESULT LOW OVER THE GULF. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE
EXTRAORDINARILY CONSISTENT WITH A MUCH DEEPER AND WARMER SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE NORTH GULF COAST ON FRIDAY...WHILE THE EC AND GEM
BRING A MUCH WEAKER AND (IMPORTANTLY) COOLER SYSTEM TOWARDS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE. AFTER COORDINATION WITH WPC AND WFO JUNEAU
THIS MORNING...IT WAS DECIDED TO CONTINUE TO TREAT THE GFS AS AN
OUTLIER AND INSTEAD THE EXTENDED FORECAST USED AN EC/GEM BLEND ON
FRIDAY. CONFIDENCE HOWEVER CONTINUES TO BE FAIRLY LOW...AND MODEL
TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY WATCHED OVER THE COMING DAYS.

BY LATE NEXT WEEKEND...THERE IS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A
FAMILIAR PATTERN WILL RETURN TO MAINLAND ALASKA AS A BUILDING
NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE MAKES ITS RETURN. BECAUSE OF THIS IT NOW
APPEARS THAT THE MAINLAND WILL RETURN TO THE WARM AND STORMY
PATTERN SEEN FOR MOST OF THIS WINTER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK (IF NOT
BEFORE AS THE GFS HAS BEEN INDICATING).

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 130 131 177 178.
 GALE WARNING 119 120 125 127 128 129 132 137 139 150 160 170 173
174 175 176.
 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 126 127 129 130 131 138 139 140 141 150
160 165 179 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SB
LONG TERM...DEK