Gale Warning 239, NWS Anchorage, AK

364 
FZAK51 PAFC 091200
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100115-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1010 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 25 NM SOUTHWEST OF VALDEZ MON MORNING.
THE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 1012 MB BY
TUE MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY WED MORNING OVER THE PANHANDLE.

$$

PKZ119-100115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. N GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE MORNING. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100115-
PORT VALDEZ-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100115-
VALDEZ ARM-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER DEVELOPING BY
MIDDAY. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DEVELOPING DURING THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100115-
CHINIAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100115-
MARMOT BAY-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO NW WIND 20 KT BY MIDDAY.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

156 
FZAK51 PAFC 092256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101145-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1011 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE. A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN GULF LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-101145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-101145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST IN
THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-101145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHWEST BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-101145-
PORT VALDEZ-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101145-
VALDEZ ARM-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-101145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS INCREASING TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-101145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-101145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-101145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-101145-
CHINIAK BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101145-
MARMOT BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-101145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-101145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-101145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-101145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
256 PM AKDT MON MAR 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
511 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

PROGRESSIVE FLOW PERSISTS THIS MORNING WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH
EXTENDING BETWEEN RIDGES OVER EASTERN RUSSIA AND THE CANADIAN
ROCKIES. EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS TROUGH IS AN UPPER LOW NEAR THE
BERING STRAIT. A TROUGH IS ALSO SOUTHWEST OF ATTU. A 110 KT ZONAL
JET IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING. AT THE SURFACE...THE JET
IS DRIVING THE LEADING EDGE OF A SURGE OF COLD AIR INTO SW AK WITH
SOME SNOW SHOWERS. A LOW SOUTH OF ATTU HAS A FRONT AFFECTING THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL IS PARTIALLY CLEARING SKIES AND ALLOWING FOR WIDESPREAD
BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD SURGE WILL REACH THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN
RANGES THIS AFTERNOON AND FLOW INTO SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND SUN.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER MAINLAND AK THROUGH MON NIGHT. AT
THE SAME TIME LOW PRESSURE WILL SET UP ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
AND LINGER INTO MON. THE RESULT WILL BE A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST SETTING UP SIGNIFICANT GAP
FLOWS. MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
SOUTH OF ATTU WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH MON
NIGHT. THE FORECAST UTILIZES THE EC...WITH SOME GEM REGIONAL TO
CAPTURE GAP OUTFLOW DETAIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY TODAY DEALS WITH THE MOVEMENT OF A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IN ADVANCE OF THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THERE HAS BEEN SOME CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE KENAI, CHUGACH, AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS
EARLY THIS MORNING REVEALING A GOOD AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IS STILL
IN THE AREA. THERE HAVE ALSO BEEN A FEW WEAK ECHOES ON RADAR AS
WELL. THIS DEVELOPMENT IS EARLIER THAN INDICATED ON MODELS WHICH
SHOWED THE CLOUDS AND A FEW SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THIS IS INDICATED
MORE THAN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF
MORE WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS TODAY THAN INDICATED IN THE CURRENT
FORECASTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
BRISTOL BAY AREA THIS MORNING AS MOIST ONSHORE FLOW UPSLOPES
TOWARD THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. THESE SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF IN THE
MORNING WHILE SNOW SHOWERS WILL RE-DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST COAST
OF ALASKA THIS MORNING AND PUSH INLAND DURING THE DAY. A STOUT
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TAP INTO THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND
FROM THE SYSTEM THAT PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT/MONDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION TO MUCH OF THE AREA. IN ADDITION TO INCREASING SHOWER
ACTIVITY...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO RAMP UP LATE THIS MORNING WHICH
WILL CREATE BLOWING SNOW CONCERNS ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
THE WESTERN CAPES OF THE BRISTOL BAY AREA. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS BUT WILL BE BRIEF DUE TO THE SHOWERY NATURE OF THE
PRECIPITATION. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING BUT WINDS WILL
TAKE A WHILE TO SLACKEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THIS WILL LEAD TO
WIND CHILL VALUES FROM 10 BELOW TO 30 BELOW ACROSS THE AREA FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL WEAKEN
ON MONDAY AND BRING AN END TO WIND CHILLS...ALTHOUGH WELL BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

MUCH OF THE BERING SEA WILL BE RELATIVELY TAME OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AND AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE BERING SEA. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
WILL BE SEEN OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE RIDGE THROUGH MONDAY. TOWARD THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...A VERY
WET AND WINDY PATTERN IS SHAPING UP AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES SOUTH OF SHEMYA. THIS LOW WILL CLASH
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE BERING SEA TO CREATE A VERY
COMPACT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THAT WILL
BRING STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE COASTAL WATERS AND WIND GUSTS
UPWARDS TO 70 MPH BETWEEN SHEMYA AND ADAK. HEAVY SNOW AND RAIN
WILL FALL ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS OVER THE NEXT 60 HOURS WITH
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SMALLER ISLANDS
BETWEEN SHEMYA AND ADAK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AS THE LOW OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST DRIFTS EAST AND WEAKENS
TUESDAY...OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL ALSO SLOWLY
DIMINISH INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. OFFSHORE FLOW AND RIDGING
WILL ALSO TAKE OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY UNDER CLEAR
SKIES THROUGHOUT THE AREA. OVER THE BERING...THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW
ENTERING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY WILL BRING CONTINUED
GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG WITH SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS LOW WILL THEN RETURN TO THE NORTH
PACIFIC ON WEDNESDAY AND BECOME ABSORBED IN A COMPLEX LOW THAT WILL
BECOME THE FOCAL POINT FOR THE WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
LATE NEXT WEEK.

THIS COMPLEX LOW REMAINS A CHALLENGE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST AS
THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE IF ANY IMPROVEMENT IN THE MODEL AGREEMENT
SINCE YESTERDAY. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH AN
ARCTIC TROUGH THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE MAINLAND ON WEDNESDAY...AND
AS A RESULT IS MUCH DEEPER WITH THIS COMPLEX LOW AS IT MOVES INTO
THE GULF ON THU-FRI. ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE COIN...THE EC CONTINUES
TO BE WEAKER WITH THE ARCTIC TROUGH...DEEPER WITH A LOW IN THE
BERING SEA...AND MUCH FURTHER EAST WITH THE GULF LOW WITH RIDGING
OVER THE MAINLAND. AFTER COORDINATION WITH WPC THIS MORNING IT WAS
DETERMINED THAT THE EC WILL BE THE PREFERRED SOLUTION IN THE LONG
TERM FOR THE TIME BEING AS THE GFS IS PROBABLY TOO DEEP WITH
ARCTIC TROUGH WITH A BUILDING NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE. WITH LARGE
VARIABILITY IN THE MODELS...CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST
BEYOND THURSDAY IS QUITE LOW.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...
 GALES...120 127 129 132 150 173 175 176
 STORMS...130 131 177 178
 HVY FRZG SPRY...130 131 137-139 150 160 165 179-181 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DEK/CC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1022 AM AKDT SUN MAR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     SNOW             CANTWELL                63.37N 148.92W
03/07/2015  E5.0 INCH                           AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            4 TO 5 INCHES OF ESTIMATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION
            REPORTED BY STATE TROOPERS NEAR CANTWELL. STILL SNOWING
            AS OF MIDNIGHT.

0402 AM     SNOW             TRAPPER CREEK           62.24N 150.42W
03/07/2015  M12.0 INCH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            12 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE PARKS HIGHWAY FROM TALKEETNA
            SPUR ROAD TO MILEPOST 163.

0700 AM     SNOW             7 S TALKEETNA           62.24N 150.09W
03/07/2015  M6.5 INCH                           AK   COCORAHS

0532 PM     SNOW             8 SE EAGLE RIVER        61.24N 149.40W
03/07/2015  M2.7 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            2.7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SINCE 5PM FRI. HEAVIEST FELL
            BETWEEN NOON AND 2PM TODAY.

0559 PM     SNOW             8 NW HOMER              59.72N 151.68W
03/07/2015  M2.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL

0559 PM     SNOW             PAXSON                  63.09N 145.61W
03/07/2015  M12.0 INCH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. MIDNIGHT TO 6PM 3/7.

0559 PM     SNOW             41 NNE TALKEETNA        62.88N 149.59W
03/07/2015  M16.0 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FINAL SNOWFALL TOTAL MEASURED THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

JPW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1047 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2015

AKZ111-090430-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
1047 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2015

...AVALANCHE DANGER FOR HATCHER PASS...

AN AVALANCHE WARNING IS IN EFFECT AT HATCHER PASS FROM SATURDAY,
MARCH 7,2015 AT 20:00 TO SUNDAY, MARCH 8, 2015 AT 20:00.

THE AVALANCHE HAZARD IS RATED HIGH ACCORDING TO THE NORTH AMERICAN
PUBLIC AVALANCHE DANGER SCALE.

VERY DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS. TRAVEL IN AVALANCHE TERRAIN
NOT RECOMMENDED. NATURAL AVALANCHES LIKELY, HUMAN TRIGGERED
AVALANCHES VERY LIKELY. LARGE AVALANCHES IN MANY AREAS; OR VERY
LARGE AVALANCHES IN SPECIFIC AREAS.

FOR MORE INFORMATION: HTTP://WWW.HATCHERPASSAVALANCHECENTER.ORG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1125 AM AKDT SUN MAR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1123 AM     SNOW             15 NE TALKEETNA         62.49N 149.76W
03/08/2015  M13.0 INCH                          AK   PUBLIC

            SNOW TOTAL FROM MAR 7TH.

&&

JPW