Gale Warning 180, NWS Anchorage, AK

942 
FZAK51 PAFC 201216
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210100-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI MORNING WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF BY FRI EVENING...THEN WILL REMAIN ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. THE GULF WILL REMAIN IN
SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-210100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210100-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210100-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210100-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210100-
MARMOT BAY-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 AM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

663 
FZAK51 PAFC 210000
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211300-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS
EVENING. A RESIDUAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH THEN REMAINS ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING.

$$

PKZ119-211300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING.
GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ISLAND.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ISLAND. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211300-
PORT VALDEZ-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211300-
VALDEZ ARM-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211300-
CHINIAK BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211300-
MARMOT BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
300 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

324 
FZAK51 PAFC 210742 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

UPDATED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-212015-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS
EVENING. A RESIDUAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH THEN REMAINS ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH LATE SAT NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING.

$$

PKZ119-212015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-212015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-212015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-212015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT
NEAR HINCHINBROOK ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ISLAND.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-212015-
PORT VALDEZ-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-212015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-212015-
VALDEZ ARM-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-212015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-212015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-212015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-212015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-212015-
CHINIAK BAY-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-212015-
MARMOT BAY-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-212015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-212015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-212015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.  
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-212015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1042 PM AKST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

526 
FZAK51 PAFC 211214
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220045-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK TROUGH REMAINS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH LATE
SAT NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING. SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES IN THE
GULF THROUGH MON.

$$

PKZ119-220045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING
TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220045-
PORT VALDEZ-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220045-
VALDEZ ARM-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220045-
CHINIAK BAY-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220045-
MARMOT BAY-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
314 AM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

660 
FZAK51 PAFC 220002
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221245-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT REMAINS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING...THEN CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW
IN THE GULF THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-221245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING
E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221245-
PORT VALDEZ-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221245-
VALDEZ ARM-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEA 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221245-
CHINIAK BAY-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221245-
MARMOT BAY-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
302 PM AKST SAT FEB 21 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
515 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL AMPLIFIED RIDGE IS POSITIONED NEAR 50N 140W AND
EXTENDS THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND INTO THE BERING STRAIT REGION. ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THIS RIDGE THERE IS A BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH
THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...EXCEPT FOR A CLOSED LOW
NEAR 48N 173W. AT THE SURFACE THERE IS A GALE FORCE NORTH PACIFIC
LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING THROUGH NIKOLSKI INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA. SATELLITE
IMAGERY IS SHOWING THE LARGE COMMA SHIELD SPREADING INTO THE
CENTRAL TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SPILLING OVER INTO THE EASTERN
BERING SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE WARM AIR THROUGH THE
ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA. THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS ARE REPORTING TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
40S WITH STEADY RAIN THIS MORNING. ASCAT SCATTEROMETER WINDS ARE
SHOWING SOUTHEASTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE NORTH PACIFIC SIDE
OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. SOUTHWEST ALASKA CONTINUES WITH ONSHORE
FLOW BRINGING STRATUS THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH PATCHY FOG THIS
MORNING. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND IS REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE WITH A WEAK LOW JUST
SOUTH OF CAPE SAINT ELIAS. THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM IS SUPPORTED BY A
50 KNOT WESTERLY JET STREAK OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. THIS SYSTEM
WILL LOSE ITS SUPPORT AND DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE WEAK LOW IN THE
NORTHERN GULF BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THE MODELS STRUGGLED WITH ONLY THE GEM-REG
SHOWING A LOW FORMING SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. WHILE...THE
ECMWF/GFS AND THE NAM MODELS WERE ONLY SHOWING A TROUGH OVER THE
AREA. IN THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIANS THIS MORNING...A NORTH
PACIFIC LOW IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF ATKA. THERE IS AN ASSOCIATED
WEATHER FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM EXTENDING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA TODAY. THE MODELS THEN
STRUGGLE WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES EASTWARD AND CROSSES OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SATURDAY. THE ECMWF/GFS KEEP THIS SYSTEM AS
A BROAD LOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE BERING SEA. THE PREFERRED
MODELS OF CHOICE WAS THE NAM/GEM-REG THROUGH 36 HOURS BEFORE
TRANSITIONING TO ECMWF/GFS BLEND FOR REST OF SHORT TERM. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (THURSDAY AND FRIDAY)...

THE DRAMATIC AMPLIFICATION OF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE HAS
BEGUN TO NOSE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TODAY. THIS BROAD-SCALE
SUBSIDENCE WILL LEAD TO A SUNNY DAY TODAY ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS
OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (EXCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND). PATCHY FOG THAT
DEVELOPED AROUND COOK INLET SHOULD BURN OFF DURING THE MORNING IN
THE FACE OF UNFILTERED LATE-FEBRUARY SUNSHINE. THE RIDGE AXIS OF
THIS BUILDING RIDGE WILL PASS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...USHERING IN
THE BEGINNING OF ANOTHER DRAMATIC ROUND OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARM
AIR ADVECTION. CURRENT THINKING REMAINS UNCHANGED THAT THIS WARM
AIR ADVECTION WILL HELP TO STRENGTHEN SUBSIDENCE TEMPERATURE
INVERSIONS AND WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FOG DEVELOPMENT ONCE AGAIN
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY EVEN MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THE NIGHT JUST
FINISHED (WEDNESDAY NIGHT).

THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY...WITH ASSOCIATED RAINFALL STARTING THE DAY OVER KODIAK
ISLAND THEN SPREADING UP TO THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA BY LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. THE JET STREAM WILL BE MORE SOUTHERLY WITH THIS
APPROACHING STORM COMPARED TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY ORIENTATION
DURING THE STORM 2 DAYS AGO...THUS EXPECT THE TYPICAL DOWNSLOPE
AREAS FROM THE KENAI UP THROUGH ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU TO GET IN
ON THE PRECIP MORE THAN USUAL. THE GOOD AND BAD NEWS IS THAT
PLENTY OF WARM AIR WILL ALSO SURGE INTO THE AREA AND SO PRECIP AT
VIRTUALLY ALL LOCATIONS IS EXPECTED TO BE REGULAR RAIN DURING THIS
STORM...INSTEAD OF THE DREADED FREEZING RAIN SO COMMON WHEN COLD
AIR IS TRAPPED IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STOUT NORTH PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL MAKE EASTWARD PROGRESS THROUGH SATURDAY
TOWARD THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. WITH SOME LOW LEVEL COLD AIR IN
PLACE...THE INITIAL WARM FRONT MAY SUPPORT SOME SNOW ACROSS PARTS
OF BRISTOL BAY AND THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM DELTA...BUT THIS SHOULD
QUICKLY CHANGE TO RAIN ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS. THE ONE HOLD OUT
AREA WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST DELTA AS WELL AS ACROSS THE
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WHERE COLDER AIR MAY LINGER LONGER. A FEW
ISOLATED POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN CAN NOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS THE BRISTOL
BAY REGION...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND THROUGH THE
GAPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE IS A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
WITH A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION SPILLING OVER
INTO THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING SEA. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOW STRATUS WITH RAIN ALONG THE CHAIN
AND A WINTRY MIX TOWARDS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THIS MORNING. THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MIDDAY. THE NORTH
PACIFIC LOW SOUTH OF ATKA THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
EASTWARD AND BECOME ELONGATED RUNNING PARALLEL WITH THE CHAIN.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MORE MOISTURE AND
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BEFORE SPILLING OVER
INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL REMAIN
WITH NORTHERLY WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
ON SATURDAY...THE NORTH PACIFIC DELUGE WILL BE IN FULL SWING AS A
NORTH PACIFIC TROUGH SPREADS WARM MARITIME AIR INTO SOUTHERN
ALASKA. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE IMPACTING MOST OF THE GULF COAST TO
KODIAK ISLAND...WITH RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS. SOME
ISOLATED AREAS OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE COPPER BASIN. A SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE ALONG THE JET STREAM WILL HELP SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF PERIODS OF ACCUMULATING RAIN ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH RAIN SHOWERS
PERSISTING INTO SUNDAY. EVENTUALLY THE NORTH PACIFIC TROUGH WILL
MOVE EAST LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING
FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA. THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A
ONE DAY BREAK IN THE RAIN-FEST...WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR
INFILTRATING ALASKA TUESDAY. THEREAFTER...ALL THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT A FASTER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE/LESS
AMPLIFIED UPPER AIR PATTERN. AS IS TYPICAL IN THESE PATTERNS...THE
TIMING OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS IS LESS CERTAIN...SO
FORECAST CONFIDENCE DROPS RAPIDLY BY MIDWEEK. HOWEVER...THERE DOES
SEEM TO BE A REPRIEVE FROM THE ANOMALOUSLY WARM WEATHER REGIME BY
MIDWEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 130 132 136-138 150 155 160 165 170 175-177
               180.
         STORM 131.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD/JRA
LONG TERM...JRA