Gale Warning 163, NWS Anchorage, AK

474 
FZAK52 PAFC 150027
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151345-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 160 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ATKA TONIGHT AT 992 MB THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC ON SUN. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 170 NM SOUTH OF SAND
POINT SUN AFTERNOON AT 972 MB THEN TO 80 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR
AT 975 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-151345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151345-
BRISTOL BAY-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ165-151345-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151345-
UNALASKA BAY-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151345-
ADAK TO KISKA-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151345-
KISKA TO ATTU-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151345-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151345-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151345-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-151345-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

966 
FZAK52 PAFC 151255
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160200-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 170 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT SUN
AFTERNOON AT 972 MB THEN TO 90 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 984 MB
MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-160200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-160200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-160200-
BRISTOL BAY-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-160200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-160200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-160200-
UNALASKA BAY-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-160200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-160200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-160200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-160200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-160200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-160200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-160200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-160200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-160200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-160200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-160200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

886 
FZAK52 PAFC 160012
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-161245-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 970 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO NEAR COLD
BAY AT 972 MB MON AFTERNOON THEN TO NEAR MEKORYUK TUE AFTERNOON AT
990 MB.

$$

PKZ150-161245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-161245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-161245-
BRISTOL BAY-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-161245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 40 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-161245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-161245-
UNALASKA BAY-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-161245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-161245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-161245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-161245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 20 DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-161245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ177-161245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-161245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-161245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-161245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-161245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-161245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
412 PM AKST FRI FEB 13 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LOW WHICH DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ON THURSDAY HAS
BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA THIS
MORNING. IT WILL NOW BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE UPPER JET SUPPORT
HEADS OFF TO THE EAST AND THE LOW IS FORCED WESTWARD DUE TO
RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA. AN OCCLUDED FRONT IS
TRACKING OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WITH
PRECIP MOVING INTO THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA. FOG WAS QUITE
EXTENSIVE OVERNIGHT FROM THE WESTERN KENAI TO ANCHORAGE AND THE
MAT VALLEY... BUT MOST OF THAT HAS DISSIPATED AND ARRIVAL OF
CLOUDS WILL KEEP FOG FROM REFORMING TONIGHT.

OUT WEST A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS LINGERING NEAR DUTCH HARBOR. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTH FROM THIS LOW TO AROUND THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS
IS PUSHING SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING. SNOW CONTINUES
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS...WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING
SNOW ON THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. EAST OF THE BOUNDARY MUCH WARMER AIR
IS PRODUCING AREAS OF RAIN ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN
ALASKA PENINSULA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THERE ARE MINOR DIFFERENCES IN TRACK OF THE LOW OVER THE GULF AND
LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR...BUT NOTHING WHICH GREATLY AFFECTS THE
SENSIBLE WEATHER. CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED GREATLY WITH GULF LOW
TRACKING TO COOK INLET REGION SATURDAY EVENING. GENERALLY PREFER
THE DETAILS OF THE HI-RES MODELS AS THE LOW NEARS THE SOUTHERN
KENAI PENINSULA. THIS IS A FAVORABLE TRACK FOR STRONGER WINDS
ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND POSSIBLY EVEN A LITTLE WIND GETTING INTO
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MAT VALLEY. ANY WIND AT ALL WILL HELP
SURFACE TEMPS JUMP WELL ABOVE FREEZING. ALL OF THIS WILL BE
REFLECTED IN THE AFTERNOON FORECASTS. ACROSS THE WIDER FORECAST
AREA CONFIDENCE IS GENERALLY ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SURFACE LOW IN THE
NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT BRINGING PERIODS OF RAIN TO COASTAL AREAS
WITH A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WORKING INLAND. PATCHY FOG WILL
DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT...HOWEVER WILL NOT BE AS DENSE AS THIS
MORNING DUE TO A DRIER AIR MASS AND INCREASING CLOUDS.

MAINLY SMALL CRAFT WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF LOW
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. AS THIS LOW PUSHES CLOSER TO COOK INLET
SATURDAY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS TURNAGAIN ARM
AND COOK INLET. STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE AND
TURNAGAIN ARM SHOULD PEAK SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN TAPER DOWN
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE NEXT SYSTEM ORGANIZES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF EARLY SUNDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY GALE WINDS OR STRONGER ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES NORTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A COUPLE OF ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS MOVING UP FROM THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC BEHIND THE LOW OVER THE GULF WILL PHASE JUST
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
STRENGTHEN THE TROUGH...BUT IT WILL STILL BE ON THE WEAK SIDE.
THUS EXPECT PRECIP TO BE LIGHT AND SHORT-LIVED AS IT MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. MARGINALLY COOLER AIR WILL BE MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH
WITH THE TROUGH. THERE MAY BE SOME RAIN ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA...
BUT EXPECT AREAS NORTH AND WEST TO BE COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW.
ATTENTION WILL THEN SHIFT TO A MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM WHICH WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL
BAY AREAS SOMETIME SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL EXIT TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. MORE IMPORTANTLY THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHICH HAS BEEN
SITTING OVER THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING (NEAR THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS) WILL PUSH SOUTHWESTWARD AND THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME
MUCH MORE HOMOGENEOUS. THIS WILL BRING AN END TO STEADY SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ON THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME
SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION...BUT NOTHING ORGANIZED.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A SEASONABLY STRONG NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BE
IN THE PROCESS OF TRACKING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND NORTH
GULF COAST. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE IMPACTING COASTAL LOCATIONS...WITH
SIGNIFICANT DOWNSLOPE SHADOWING KEEPING MOST INLAND LOCATIONS
LARGELY DRY WITH ONLY SPORADIC SHOWERS. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE THE
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY...AS WELL AS
MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE LOW TRACK REMAINS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...WITH THE GFS FAVORING A TRACK OVER THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS...WHILE THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN GDPS FAVOR THE EASTERN
BERING CLOSER TO BRISTOL BAY. WITH THAT SAID...THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR STRONG ACCELERATED GAP WINDS
THROUGH FAVORED TERRAIN SUCH AS TURNAGAIN ARM AND THROUGH THE
ILIAMNA GAP. DOWNSLOPE WARMING WILL BE AIDED MONDAY EVENING AND
NIGHT AS THE FRONT LIFTS INLAND...WITH WARMER MARITIME AIR
SWEEPING INTO MOST OF SOUTHERN ALASKA. THIS WILL HELP PUSH
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK
WEEK.

A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ALOFT EMANATING FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC WILL SUPPORT AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN INTO THE
WEEKEND...WITH CONTINUED WARM ANOMALIES ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 120 130 131 139
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SEB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SEB
LONG TERM...JA