Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2015

Brisk Wind Advisory 8, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 7, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Feb 7, 2015, 2:59 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 7, 2015, 2:59 PM AKST (23:59 UTC)
Expired
Feb 8, 2015, 3:07 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

912 
FZAK52 PAFC 072359
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-081300-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 982 MB LOW 80 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH
OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT AT 985 MB THEN TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY LATE SUN NIGHT AT 998 MB. A 980 MB LOW WILL BE
180 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY BY MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-081300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-081300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-081300-
BRISTOL BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ165-081300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
11 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT E OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS
8 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT E OF PORT MOLLER. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY FROM PORT MOLLER E.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-081300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-081300-
UNALASKA BAY-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-081300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-081300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-081300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-081300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-081300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-081300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-081300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT W OF SHEMYA. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT W OF SHEMYA.
SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-081300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-081300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S.
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-081300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT.

$$

PKZ185-081300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
259 PM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
562 
FZAK52 PAFC 081231
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090130-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 986 MB LOW 35 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWEST AND
WEAKEN THROUGH MON. A 972 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO
575 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 968 MB SUN NIGHT...THEN WILL MOVE
TO 650 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT BY MON NIGHT AT 972 MB.

$$

PKZ150-090130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-090130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-090130-
BRISTOL BAY-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ165-090130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-090130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-090130-
UNALASKA BAY-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-090130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-090130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-090130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-090130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-090130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-090130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-090130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-090130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-090130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-090130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT.

$$

PKZ185-090130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
331 AM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$
748 
FZAK52 PAFC 090007
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091330-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH TUE
AFTERNOON WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. A WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS ON
MON THEN INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON TUE.

$$

PKZ150-091330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E
OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091330-
BRISTOL BAY-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ165-091330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM PORT MOLLER
E.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091330-
UNALASKA BAY-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S
OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 25 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM CAPE
NEWENHAM S.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM CAPE
NEWENHAM S.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ181-091330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-091330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
307 PM AKST SUN FEB 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Feb 7, 5:32 AM AKST, 9 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 7, 5:32 AM AKST, 9 hours 27 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
532 AM AKST SAT FEB 7 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER NORTHEASTERN RUSSIA WHILE OFF TO THE EAST
LOW PRESSURE SITS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THESE TWO IS PRODUCING A STRONG PUSH OF NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE
SOUTHWEST PART OF THE STATE. MEANWHILE...PUSHING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE IS A STRONG PV ANOMALY THAT IS MAKING
ITS WAY TO THE SOUTHWEST. ADDITIONALLY COLDER AIR IS BEING BROUGHT
INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST AT ALL LEVELS FROM THE
NORTHERLY FLOW.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
SYNOPTICALLY THE MODELS ARE DOING FAIRLY WELL WITH THE MAIN
FEATURES BUT PROBLEMS ARISE WITH THE HANDLING OF SOME OF THE
SMALLER FEATURES. THE MAIN ONE TO NOTE IS A WEAK SURFACE LOW ALONG
THE COASTLINE OF THE NORTHERN GULF. ALL MODELS ARE KEYING IN ON
THE MAIN LOW FURTHER SOUTH...BUT THEY ARE ALL ALSO MISSING THE
SMALLER LOW. THIS COMES INTO PLAY AS THE MAIN LOW TRACKS TOWARDS
KODIAK WITH THE MODEL DIFFERENCES BECOMING PROBLEMATIC BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
EVEN THOUGH MUCH OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT HAS MOVED OFF TO THE
WEST...HIGH PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND COLD AIR BUILDING IN FROM THE
NORTH ARE KEEPING WINDS STRONG...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE GAPS.
THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND.
THE COLD NORTHERLY FLOW IS ALSO DRY WHICH WILL HELP IN KEEPING
MORE CLEAR SKIES FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THIS BEING ESPECIALLY
TRUE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST.

THE PROBLEM IN THE GULF IS THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF THAT WILL
MOVE TO JUST SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND BY SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH
THE MODELS DISAGREEING ON LOCATION AND INTENSITY OF THIS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN IMPACTS TO KODIAK IS LOWERED. THE HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE PART OF THE FORECAST IS THAT THERE WILL BE STRONG NORTH
TO NORTHEAST WINDS AS THE LOW MOVES OFF THE EASTERN COAST. THERE
IS ALSO CONFIDENCE THAT THERE WILL BE SNOW...BUT WHERE THE
HEAVIEST SNOW FALLS AND HOW MUCH FALLS ARE MORE CHALLENGING. THERE
IS A LOT OF DIFFERENCE BASED ON THE VARIOUS LOW TRACKS AND
INTENSITIES. HOWEVER...WITH STRONGER WINDS AND SOME ASSURANCE THAT
AT LEAST SOME SNOW WILL FALL BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY)...
NORTHERLY FLOW INCREASES TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY OCCUR THIS
MORNING AS A COLDER AIR MASS FILTERS SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WIND CHILLS HAVE ALREADY DROPPED BETWEEN 20 TO 40 BELOW ZERO IN
THE GUSTIEST LOCATIONS. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WINDS BEGIN TO TAPER
DOWN AND WIND CHILLS SHOULD WARM ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA.
HOWEVER...THE LATEST MODELS ARE STARTING TO INDICATE A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. IF THIS OCCURS...THE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL NEED TO BE
EXTENDED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY)...
A COLD DENSE AIR MASS OVER THE WESTERN BERING PROGRESSES TO THE
CENTRAL BERING TODAY BRINGING GUSTY GALES ACROSS THE EASTERN
BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA. STRONGER GRADIENT WINDS PICK UP
ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY. SHORTWAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW FROM TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS...ONE IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC AND ANOTHER OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA...INITIATE A FEW
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT BIG PICTURE WISE
SUPPORTING THE IDEA OF A MAJOR PATTERN SHIFT NEXT WEEK. OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH GRADUALLY ON MONDAY AS A WEAKENING
SURFACE LOW DISSIPATES IN THE NORTHERN GULF...RELAXING THE
OFFSHORE COASTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE INLAND
AND COLD DENSE INTERIOR AIR HOWEVER WILL KEEP GUSTY DOWNSLOPE AND
GAP WINDS GOING...THOUGH SLIGHTLY LIGHTER AND BECOMING
PROGRESSIVELY SHALLOWER THROUGH MIDWEEK.

A RIDGE ALOFT WILL BEGIN BUILDING OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA ON
MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING CLOSED LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND ALEUTIANS. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS IT SHIFTS EAST
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND WESTERN ALASKA WHERE IT WILL PERSIST AND
STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL BRING A
SERIES OF INCREASINGLY WARM FRONTAL SYSTEMS UP INTO THE GULF AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BEGINNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. INITIALLY THE FRONTAL
SYSTEMS WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MAKING IT PAST THE COAST AS THEY
RUN INTO THE COLD DRY OFFSHORE FLOW. HOWEVER EACH ONE WILL MAKE IT
A BIT FURTHER INLAND AND PROGRESSIVELY ERODE THE COLD AIR FROM
THE TOP DOWN. FREEZING RAIN BECOMES A POTENTIAL CONCERN TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT NEAR THE GULF COAST AND WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY FURTHER INLAND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD 171
         WIND CHILL ADVISORIES 152 155 161

MARINE...

STORMS 130 138

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 125 126 127 128 130 138 139 140 141 150
155 165 170 179 185

GALES 119 120 127 128 131 132 136 137 139 150 155 160 165 170 179
180 181

 FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JER/DS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 6, 3:11 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Feb 6, 3:11 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 6, 3:27 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Feb 6, 3:27 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC60 hr
Feb 6, 4:02 PM AKSTBlizzard WatchAFC13 hr
Feb 7, 3:26 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Feb 7, 3:26 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Feb 7, 3:26 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 7, 5:00 AM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC28 hr
Feb 7, 6:58 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC29 hr
Feb 7, 9:24 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC18 hr
Feb 7, 2:59 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC7 days
Feb 7, 2:59 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC6 days
Feb 7, 2:59 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC61 hr

Nearby

Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every brisk wind advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.