Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 327, NWS Albuquerque, NM

October 19, 20154 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 19, 2015, 5:38 PM MDT for 4 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 19, 2015, 5:38 PM MDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired
Oct 19, 2015, 6:45 PM MDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.5 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties McKinley County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Juan County, NM, Sandoval County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2015-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 29 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2015-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 93 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-140 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1292 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 19, 3:26 PM MDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 3:26 PM MDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 19, 5:27 AM MDT, 12 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
527 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ501>540-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
527 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME LOCALLY STRONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALLY STRONG STORMS ARE LIKELY FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY THEN AGAIN OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO
THURSDAY. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO MAY LEAD TO
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN DRAINAGES AND
LOW LYING AREAS. ELEVATED FLOWS AND SOME MINOR RIVER FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE PECOS AND CANADIAN RIVER BASINS.

TEMPERATURES MAY BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
ABOVE 11000 FT WEDNESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MINOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GUYER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 19, 3:02 PM MDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 19, 3:50 PM MDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 19, 4:08 PM MDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
408 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0404 PM     HAIL             10 W ROSWELL            33.37N 104.70W
10/19/2015  M1.00 INCH       CHAVES             NM   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1502421

RJOJOLA
Local storm report, Oct 19, 4:50 PM MDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
450 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     HAIL             7 SE CUERVO             34.95N 104.34W
10/19/2015  E0.88 INCH       GUADALUPE          NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1502422

SHOEMAKE
Special weather statement, Oct 19, 5:02 PM MDT, 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
502 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ532-200000-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
502 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY
UNTIL 600 PM MDT...

AT 502 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR VARIADERO...OR 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF SANTA
ROSA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CONCHAS LAKE STATE PARK...VARIADERO...CONCHAS DAM...CONCHAS AND BELL
RANCH.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE CONCHAS DAM AND CONCHAS LAKE STATE
PARK.

BOATERS SHOULD MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3523 10442 3540 10453 3573 10404 3540 10393
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 241DEG 29KT 3540 10440

KJ
Special weather statement, Oct 19, 5:30 PM MDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
530 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ501-504-200015-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
530 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SAN JUAN...NORTH
CENTRAL MCKINLEY AND NORTHWESTERN SANDOVAL COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM
MDT...

AT 530 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF PUEBLO PINTADO...OR 24 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CROWNPOINT...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COUNSELOR...NAGEEZI AND PUEBLO PINTADO.

&&

LAT...LON 3588 10798 3629 10788 3622 10737 3579 10780
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 201DEG 22KT 3593 10782

50

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 19, 4:51 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCatron39 min
Oct 19, 6:02 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSocorro43 min
Oct 19, 6:25 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSocorro35 min
Oct 19, 7:05 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQSocorro40 min
Oct 19, 7:12 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSocorro33 min
Oct 19, 7:46 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQSocorro29 min
Oct 19, 1:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQChaves31 min
Oct 19, 2:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQValencia26 min
Oct 19, 2:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQQuay66 min
Oct 19, 2:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay21 min
Oct 19, 2:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ50 min
Oct 19, 3:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQValencia31 min
Oct 19, 3:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQChaves43 min
Oct 19, 3:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves50 min
Oct 19, 3:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe36 min
Oct 19, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves47 min
Oct 19, 4:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay46 min
Oct 19, 4:33 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQChaves57 min
Oct 19, 4:44 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQGuadalupe2 hr
Oct 19, 4:50 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQGuadalupe115 min
Oct 19, 4:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay, San Miguel49 min
Oct 19, 5:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQSan Miguel58 min
Oct 19, 5:10 PM MDTTornado WarningABQQuay14 min
Oct 19, 5:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ45 min
Oct 19, 5:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay14 min
Oct 19, 5:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQGuadalupe41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.