Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 324, NWS Albuquerque, NM

October 19, 2015Chaves County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 19, 2015, 3:58 PM MDT for Chaves County, New Mexico. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 19, 2015, 3:58 PM MDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired: Oct 19, 2015, 4:45 PM MDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

County Chaves County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 271 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -140 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1292 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 19, 3:26 PM MDT, 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 3:26 PM MDT, 32 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 19, 5:27 AM MDT, 10 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
527 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ501>540-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
527 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME LOCALLY STRONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALLY STRONG STORMS ARE LIKELY FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY THEN AGAIN OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO
THURSDAY. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO MAY LEAD TO
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN DRAINAGES AND
LOW LYING AREAS. ELEVATED FLOWS AND SOME MINOR RIVER FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE PECOS AND CANADIAN RIVER BASINS.

TEMPERATURES MAY BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
ABOVE 11000 FT WEDNESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MINOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GUYER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 19, 10:32 AM MDT, 5 hours 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1032 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 AM     HAIL             1 S SOCORRO             34.04N 106.90W
10/19/2015  E1.25 INCH       SOCORRO            NM   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1502419

SHOEMAKE

Special weather statement, Oct 19, 1:59 PM MDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
159 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ538-192030-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
159 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL 230
PM MDT...

AT 159 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROSWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTHERN ROSWELL.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE TWO RIVERS DAM.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 10483 3330 10488 3345 10463 3328 10453
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 242DEG 7KT 3328 10477

SHOEMAKE

Special weather statement, Oct 19, 2:39 PM MDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
239 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ533-534-192145-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
239 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL GUADALUPE AND
SOUTHWESTERN QUAY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

AT 239 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWKIRK...OR 28 MILES EAST
OF SANTA ROSA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TUCUMCARI...QUAY AND MONTOYA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 303 AND 328.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3481 10439 3499 10444 3522 10382 3483 10369
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 257DEG 26KT 3493 10418

KJ

Special weather statement, Oct 19, 2:55 PM MDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
255 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

NMZ532>534-192145-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
255 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GUADALUPE...
SOUTHEASTERN SAN MIGUEL AND WEST CENTRAL QUAY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
MDT...

AT 255 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEWKIRK...OR 25 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SANTA ROSA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CONCHAS LAKE STATE PARK...CONCHAS DAM...NEWKIRK...CUERVO AND CONCHAS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 289 AND 303.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE CONCHAS DAM AND CONCHAS LAKE STATE
PARK.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3511 10408 3499 10444 3521 10455 3555 10397
      3518 10380
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 257DEG 25KT 3521 10437

KJ

Special weather statement, Oct 19, 3:02 PM MDT, 56 minutes before

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Local storm report, Oct 19, 3:50 PM MDT, 8 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 19, 4:51 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Catron	39 min
Oct 19, 6:02 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	43 min
Oct 19, 6:25 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	35 min
Oct 19, 7:05 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Socorro	40 min
Oct 19, 7:12 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	33 min
Oct 19, 7:46 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Socorro	29 min
Oct 19, 1:59 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	31 min
Oct 19, 2:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Valencia	26 min
Oct 19, 2:39 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Quay	66 min
Oct 19, 2:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Quay	21 min
Oct 19, 2:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		50 min
Oct 19, 3:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Valencia	31 min
Oct 19, 3:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	43 min
Oct 19, 3:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves	50 min
Oct 19, 3:24 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	36 min
Oct 19, 4:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Quay	46 min
Oct 19, 4:33 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Chaves	57 min
Oct 19, 4:44 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Guadalupe	2 hr
Oct 19, 4:50 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Guadalupe	115 min
Oct 19, 4:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Quay, San Miguel	49 min
Oct 19, 5:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Miguel	58 min
Oct 19, 5:10 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Quay	14 min
Oct 19, 5:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		45 min
Oct 19, 5:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	McKinley, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Juan	67 min
Oct 19, 5:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Quay	14 min
Oct 19, 5:49 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.