Severe Thunderstorm Warning 166, NWS Albuquerque, NM

613 
WWUS55 KABQ 142157
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
357 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMC041-142215-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0166.000000T0000Z-150614T2215Z/
ROOSEVELT-
357 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY...

AT 356 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ARCH...OR 16
MILES EAST OF PORTALES...AND IS DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE 
SOUTHWEST.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARCH AND ROGERS. 

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE GRULLA NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND WILL LIKELY 
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED 
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3396 10324 3420 10315 3420 10305 3418 10304
      3397 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 023DEG 3KT 3410 10308 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

44

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1214 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
SHRA AND TSRA DEVELOPING AS OF THIS PRODUCT ISSUANCE FROM SANGRE
DE CRISTOS ON EAST AS WELL AS IN SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT LIKELY ACROSS REST OF NORTHERN MTS AS WELL
AS THE REST OF THE CENTRAL MT CHAIN ON EAST. STRONG TO SEVERE TSRA
FAIRLY LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF THIS AREA...MAINLY BETWEEN 1930Z AND
03Z...WITH HAIL...GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 55 KTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND TORRENTIAL RAIN. TCC AND LVS LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED THE
EARLIEST...SAF A BIT LATER. ABQ AND AEG LESS LIKELY TO BE
IMPACTED...BUT STILL POSSIBLE...MAINLY AFTER 21Z. VSBY AND CIGS
WILL BE BRIEFLY LOWERED IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. GUP AND FMN
HAVE JUST SLIGHT CHANCES OF BEING IMPACTED AS DRIER AIR EASING IN
THERE. THE BULK OF STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD DISSIPATE PRIOR TO
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. BETWEEN 09Z AND 16Z MON THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR EITHER PATCHY MVFR TO IFR CIGS OR VSBY EAST OF A LINE FROM
ROUGHLY RTN TO ROW.

43

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...258 AM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015...
.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM DAY IS FORECAST...FAVORING THE
MOUNTAINS AND THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS. THE EASTERN
PLAINS WILL LIKELY NOT SEE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKE YESTERDAY...
BUT A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. A BACKDOOR FRONT WILL BRING
MOISTURE WEST INTO CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE
MONDAY...WITH AN UPTICK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED. MORE
DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST TUESDAY...BUT WILL BEGIN A
DOWNTREND THEREAFTER AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER
THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UP DURING THIS
PERIOD...TO ABOVE NORMAL MOST AREAS BY WEDNESDAY THEN CONTINUE
ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DISORGANIZED
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER NEW MEXICO AND
NORTHERN MEXICO. TODAY LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM
DAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL PWATS REMAINING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. BEST
CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN PLAINS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TODAY FOR THE NORTHERN TWO-
THIRDS OF NEW MEXICO...BUT A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE LIKELY...
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A ROSWELL TO TUCUMCARI LINE.

PRESSURE HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PULLS EAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
TO THE WEST. UPSLOPE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
MONDAY...MERGING WITH A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT AND ALLOWING LOW LAYER
MOISTURE TO SURGE WEST. THIS MOISTURE SURGE WILL KEEP
THUNDERSTORMS GOING INTO TUESDAY DESPITE INCREASING PRESSURE
HEIGHTS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY TREND UP EARLY
WEEK..BUT WILL GO ABOVE NORMAL MOST AREAS BY WEDNESDAY AND STAY
THERE INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND AS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
SUBTROPICAL HIGH EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS OVER THE REGION. KABQ IS
FORECAST TO EXCEED 90 DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY AND STAY THERE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

11

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE FORESEEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THE AIRMASS OVER NM REMAINS VERY MOIST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN
TIER OF THE STATE. SOME DRYING IS DEPICTED BY MODELS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WESTERN TIER OF THE STATE...BUT THIS IS A BIT HARD
TO FULLY BUY INTO. THUS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS HAVE BEEN
LEFT IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN HIGH TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OVER THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NM. SHOULD
DEWPOINTS DROP A FEW DEGREES SUCH AS FORECAST MODELS INDICATE FOR
THE WESTERN ZONES...SOME MINIMUM RH VALUES MAY APPROACH 20
PERCENT...BUT THESE WILL BE THE LOWEST IN THE THE FORECAST AREA.
OTHERWISE PREVAILING SURFACE/20FT WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH A
LIGHT WIND REGIME ALSO PERSISTING ALOFT. EXPECT GOOD TO EXCELLENT RH
RECOVERY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA.

INTO MONDAY A SURFACE FRONT WILL BACK INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER
OF THE STATE...ADVANCING SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE DAYTIME. THE
FRONT SHOULD SPILL INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE ADVANCING TOWARD THE AZ/NM BORDER MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL SPREAD HEALTHIER DEWPOINTS INTO NM...ULTIMATELY RECHARGING
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. FOR
MONDAY STORMS WILL FOCUS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN IN AN UNSTABLE UPSLOPE FLOW...AND BY TUESDAY THE CONCENTRATION
OF STORMS WILL FAVOR AREAS BETWEEN THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TO THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. SOME ENHANCED WIND GUSTS WILL BE FOUND
DOWNWIND OF GAPS/CANYONS WITHIN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN MONDAY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE ANY WIND CONCERNS WILL BE LIMITED
TO LOCALIZED THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS.

FORECAST MODELS THEN SHOW A DRYING TREND THAT SLOWLY TRANSPIRES
THROUGH THE WEDNESDAY TO SATURDAY TIME FRAME AS AN EXTENSION OF THE
EASTERN PACIFIC HIGH BUILDS TOWARD NM. THIS WOULD LEAD TO LESS
COVERAGE OF STORMS AND AN UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER BACK
DOOR FRONT COULD THEN ARRIVE BY NEXT SUNDAY...DRAWING IN MOISTURE
FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT WOULD LIKELY FAVOR THE EASTERN
ZONES...PARTICULARLY THE NORTHEASTERN ONES.

52

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
500 AM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ501>540-151200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
500 AM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OF MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
212 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ529-532-533-142100-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
212 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GUADALUPE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM MDT...

AT 211 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES EAST OF TECOLOTE...OR 16 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF LAS VEGAS...MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANTON CHICO...COLONIAS...DILIA...TECOLOTITO AND SAN AGUSTIN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3547 10516 3549 10495 3510 10479 3509 10519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 350DEG 27KT 3540 10505

KJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
221 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ538-142100-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
221 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL 300
PM MDT...

AT 219 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROSWELL...MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROSWELL AND MIDWAY.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 285 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 92 AND 104.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE TWO RIVERS DAM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A
SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3314 10477 3335 10483 3348 10449 3316 10440
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 255DEG 9KT 3329 10472

43

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
241 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ536-142100-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
241 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY
UNTIL 300 PM MDT...

AT 240 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WEST CAMP TO NEAR ARCH...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARCH.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE GRULLA NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3399 10319 3424 10311 3425 10304 3404 10305
      3403 10304 3402 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 238DEG 21KT 3420 10302 3407 10310

43

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
256 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ532-533-142145-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
256 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL GUADALUPE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

AT 256 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF DILIA...OR 27 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LAS VEGAS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLONIAS.

HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND IN LOW SPOTS. FAST
RUNNING WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL ARROYOS AND DITCHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3510 10491 3537 10496 3538 10495 3537 10491
      3533 10491 3532 10493 3532 10492 3534 10485
      3533 10479 3536 10479 3539 10480 3509 10455
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 313DEG 17KT 3532 10488

KJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
258 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ530-531-142200-
UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
258 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN UNION AND
NORTHEASTERN HARDING COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

AT 258 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF BUEYEROS...OR 26 MILES
NORTHWEST OF AMISTAD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AMISTAD...HAYDEN AND ROSEBUD.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3576 10368 3616 10367 3619 10331 3588 10304
      3579 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 333DEG 22KT 3611 10357

KJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
309 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 SSE ROSWELL           33.32N 104.50W
06/14/2015  M58 MPH          CHAVES             NM   ASOS

            KROW ASOS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1502285

TRM