Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1242 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CWA INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WILL KEEP MENTION
OUT OF MOST TAF SITES FOR NOW DUE TO LIMITED COVERAGE. FROM
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...MLC LOOKS TO HAVE A GREATER CHANCE AND WILL
ADD VCTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...FEW TO BROKEN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN COMMON OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1016 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS POSITIONED NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER
THIS MORNING WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAD DEVELOPED NEAR THE FRONT...MOVING SOUTH ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WERE COMMON.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CWA TODAY...WITH ADDITIONAL CHANCES POSSIBLE
NEAR THE FRONT OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
TONIGHT. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE CLOUD COVER THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD TRY TO SCATTER OUT...INCREASING DAYTIME HEATING.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW FOR A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR A
THUNDERSTORM TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG WINDS BEING
THE MAIN HAZARD. THUS...WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE POP GOING FOR
TODAY AND ADD MINOR TWEAKS TO SKY AND TEMP GRIDS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  98  76  98 /  20  10  10  10
FSM   73  97  74  98 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   74  95  74  96 /  10  10   0   0
BVO   71  99  71  99 /  20  20  10  10
FYV   72  93  71  92 /  30  30  10  10
BYV   73  93  74  94 /  30  30  10  10
MKO   72  96  73  96 /  10  10   0   0
MIO   72  96  73  97 /  30  30  10  10
F10   72  96  75  96 /  10  10   0   0
HHW   72  97  73  97 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...20

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1132 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

OKZ057-062-181700-
CRAIG OK-MAYES OK-
1132 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL NOON CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN CRAIG AND NORTHEASTERN MAYES

AT 1132 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES EAST OF
WHITE OAK...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...VINITA...BIG CABIN...WHITE OAK...
SPAVINAW...STRANG...ADAIR...PENSACOLA...LANGLEY...SPAVINAW STATE PARK
AND CHEROKEE STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3640 9500 3638 9500 3630 9527 3665 9534
      3670 9515
TIME...MOT...LOC 1632Z 340DEG 18KT 3660 9522

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1247 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

OKZ063-068-181830-
CHEROKEE OK-DELAWARE OK-
1247 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 130 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE

AT 1247 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
LEACH...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...LEACH AND SCRAPER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3605 9480 3602 9480 3594 9506 3616 9509
      3616 9501 3623 9501 3627 9491
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 339DEG 16KT 3617 9500